icbinb
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MD issued for Arkansas.
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0850
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1115 AM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011
AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AR INTO NRN MS/SWRN TN
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 321...
VALID 221615Z - 221745Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 321
CONTINUES.
A FEW STRONGER CORES CONTINUE TO REGENERATE UPSHEAR ATOP OUTFLOW
FROM PREVIOUS CONVECTION OVER CNTRL AR. WITH STRONG INSTABILITY IN
PLACE AND A PERSISTENT FEED OF MOISTURE NEWD...THIS TREND MAY
PERSIST INTO THE AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...OVERALL ORGANIZATION OF THIS
ACTIVITY APPEARS MINIMAL...WITH SPORADIC HAIL CORES LIKELY AND HEAVY
RAIN.
SHEAR PROFILES IN THIS AREA ARE FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS
THOUGH...AND EVEN A BRIEF TORNADO. THUS...WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR
THIS AREA FOR ANY UPSCALE GROWTH.
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Could be an interesting landing for those Tour 3 folks arriving! Plenty of storms around DFW.
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As long as you don't get someone kicking the back of your chair all trip all is well. Have a good un.
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Just think of fluffy bunnies and Heineken. It will all be fine!
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You'll be a lot happier once you are drinking in Dallas. Have you got your nicorette?
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Sounds like one of those days you will always talk about. Lovely photos from just a see text!
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Great stuff. Just the sort of chase day everyone loves, keeping you on your toes!
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Even the timing of the bus ride to the terminal was planned around a break in the storms! I think we were all happy to exchange that show for a four hour late departure.
We started by doing shuttle runs into the building to check the radar as the storms were out to our south west. The MCS then made a lurch east towards to us, and we saw the gust front coming towards us. Managed a few pics before we got battered by the wind and rain, then the lightning show started. We were pretty much surrounded by cells not knowing which way to look. One particularly close CG had us all with stupid grins on our faces while the Car Rental staff looked on bemused.
During a brief lull in the MCS, we darted to the terminal building where we quickly checked in, then proceeded to a westerly facing window. Very few planes took off or landed for several hours while the storms lingered. After a visit to the bar to celebrate our success, we spotted some beautiful mammatus to finish the day. Pics to follow when I'm a bit less tired!
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Some ridiculous dew points here already. Severe thunderstorm watch for us folks still in Irving. Could be a bumpy take off! Good luck tour 2, I have a good feeling about today.
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What time are you folks getting there tomorrow? Still have shopping and packing to do, but its only a short bus ride from here so i'm aiming for seven o'clock.
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I'm another one in the yet to pack club. Doing the last bits of shopping today. Getting properly excited now.
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I seem to remember last year the models were looking good before tour 1, then it ended up quieter than expected. This year will be the reverse. Think positive people!
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A bit too close for comfort!
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Am I allowed to get stupidly excited yet?
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Would be good if someone can put in here the NOAA Weather Radio Link - Probably need the Stations including Little Rock (AR) Tulsa (OK) Springfield (MO) Memphis (TN) etc etc
Also would be good to have the links to ChaserTv and SevereStudios for Virtual Chasing, moreso for Saturday/Sunday as more chasers will be Streaming over better Terrain and also it is the weekend so busier.
Regards
Paul S
http://www.nws.noaa.gov/nwr/streamaudio.htm
Gonna be a few late nights coming up!
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Meant to ask this a while ago but what is everyone hoping to see this year, for newbies and returning chasers.
For myself I would love to get to my Half Century of Tornadoes currently on 43 so Seven to go
I would also like to cross off a few more States that I have not seen a Twister yet so Missouri, South and North Dakota, Wyoming and New Mexico would be on that list.Stats show it is very close in my States per Tornado Count
Kansas 11
Texas 11
Oklahoma 10
To be honest, I had a superb time last year, so the same again would be good enough for me! But as much as I loved the night-chases, a daytime tornado would be easier for us all!
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URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 10
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
105 PM CST TUE FEB 1 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA
THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
PARTS OF EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 105 PM UNTIL
800 PM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 85 MILES NORTHWEST OF
EVERGREEN ALABAMA TO 40 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF GULFPORT
MISSISSIPPI. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 9...
DISCUSSION...A BROKEN SQUALL LINE WILL CONTINUE EWD ACROSS SE LA AND
SRN MS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...REACHING SW AL AROUND 23Z. OTHER
CONVECTION IS DEVELOPING IN ADVANCE OF THE LINE FROM SE LA INTO SE
MS ALONG THE LLJ AND MOIST AXIS. A SPECIAL 18Z SOUNDING FROM LIX
SHOWED THAT THE PRIMARY INSTABILITY IS STILL BASED JUST ABOVE THE
SURFACE...BUT VERY STRONG LOW-LEVEL SHEAR IS STILL SUPPORTIVE OF
DAMAGING WINDS AND A COUPLE OF TORNADOES...ESPECIALLY GIVEN THE MORE
CELLULAR CONVECTIVE MODES NOW OBSERVED.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24045.
...THOMPSON
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SPC have a slight risk for SE Texas later today. Saturday night is a good night for a virtual chase. Although they don't mention a tornado risk, and only have a 2% risk on the map.
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Thanks for putting that up. It was such a beautiful storm. Good things come to those who wait.
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Chase day one tour 1 2010
Kansas with a brief visit into Nebraska
We ended the day with a pizza in a motel , I am not sure if it wasn't Concordia, Kansas or not.
Good day though
Tom
I think you were right with Concordia. Got the pizza ordered in because of severe thunderstorms outside! That poor delivery man.
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Well i'm another step closer. Just booked my flights with BA. Flying out 11.25 on the 28th April, and returning 17.50 on the 10th May. At least this year I ain't got passports and Esta to worry about!
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Which flight are you guys getting on the 28th April? Looks like you may have another to add to the gang. Poor old BA having to put up with us lot!
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Regrettably I won't be able to make the Cardiff meet up, as I need to save every penny for America!
Plenty to sort out, looking forward to meeting everyone on tour 1, and seeing Paul, Tom and Ian again. Can't wait!
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Nicely placed for me.
Count me in.
I would also like to cross off a few more States that I have not seen a Twister yet so Missouri, South and North Dakota, Wyoming and New Mexico would be on that list.
Chase 2011 - Day 23 Discussion
in Storm Chase USA
Posted
Well, time for my first ever punt on a location. I would target Shawnee, Oklahoma.