BLS

Afternoon I think with the Icon joining the ECM and Arpege shifting Wednesday system north you will see it start to bring it south again over the next few runs! Got a feeling that was just showing how far it could go lol i think some areas such as Oxford, SW London, Surrey, Sussex, Hampshire and maybe Kent could see two events of 3-7 cms tomorrow. we should know more with the model runs later tonight and around 9/10pm maybe it will all start to firm up when the low comes onto the radar for the morning maybe. Models will be very interesting but still expect a slight shift south from either to models or in real time.

The updates are interesting because they seem to firm up the possibility of heavy and disruptive snowfall for us Wednesday but It will wiped clean by Thursday/Friday with heavy rain and warmer air. There is a possibility for more snow Saturday but that’s a massive if and so far away!! In summary I would say rain for most overnight tonight and tomorrow morning. Then from early hours Wednesday morning we could see some heavy snow that may give 2-4cm in some places and others by the coast could just see rain!! it’s all still so up in the air at the moment! Still loads of different scenarios 24 hours out!!

ECM and GFS still going for snow tonight which I still don’t think will happen! ECM is giving a good couple of CM of snow to a lot of us by 9pm Wednesday though!

I have no idea I assume it is to just cover themselves incase it does turn to snow overnight tonight and into tomorrow morning. I agree with you I see nothing other than rain tonight… the Met are also being very consistent in showing mostly rain Wednesday! They are the only ones showing minimal snow for the south and SE which is odd either they are going to be incredibly wrong and take a lot of stick or be spot on this far out! I feel there warning for the SE are to cover any potential upgrades! Further to my previous reply, the met office didn’t budge until about 3 hours before the snow for me in December! Showed rain and sleet until late afternoon when they changed to heavy snow

Also the Met office really are not having any of this snow talk for the south until maybe Wednesday evening also have a low tracking very close Thursday/Friday in the channel a shift north would be nice unlikely though

Good afternoon all! I don’t think there is any need for us to stay up and snow watch over night tonight, I can’t see it being anything over than rain unless you live on high ground over the downs etc, Sadly it looks like rain tonight and tomorrow morning before there is a chance I would say about 40% chance still at the moment we have an event Tuesday into Wednesday. Wednesday morning rush hour could be fun. If there is snow to lower levels tonight I don’t think it will settle due to the rain before it. As the temp drops tomorrow there is a chance of showers moving in and giving some bursts of snow before the low Tuesday night and Wednesday morning. Although I wouldn’t want to say anything regarding Tuesday/Wednesday until tomorrow as we have seen over the last few days how quickly things can change.

Think Monday night into Tuesday is going to be the best shout for some of us especially in Kent, but even then will probably only be a dusting. Wednesday is just so unpredictable at the moment and anything after that is even worse!!! Although GFS and ECM haven’t given up on south of London and Hampshire etc getting hit Wednesday so we can cling on to that!! it does look like rain for most of the SE Thursday onwards BUT the lows are slipping south inch by inch on some model runs! We need it to be about 150 more miles south though but there is always a chance If the cold can dig in a little bit more than being shown from Monday night onwards we could be in with a chance but it’s not looking likely. But there is still time importantly

I could be wrong but in December the met office were showing mild (ish) and rain and sleet until about 24-48 hours before the snow fell so I wouldn’t worry about what they are showing until Sunday night or Monday morning. Regarding the models ECM does not seem interested in the channel low giving much to Kent Tuesday, I think Tuesday could be a case of showers that won’t give more than a dusting potentially or it clipping the east coast! What worries me is the GFS is giving kent and the south east a burying Tuesday and Thursday/ Friday and that model has been rubbish this winter and I expect it to pull back on what it’s showing now to either just a few showers or completely dry! I would also like to see the day time temps forecast to drop as well as dew points because dull damp and overcast could be a horrible reality but fingers crossed for better snow than December just refuse to get my hopes up yet

My worry for next week here in Kent anyway but for many in the SE is that it will be cold and dry and the beginning of the week and we the LP moves in from the west it either is to far north and hit France or that the cold air will not be strong enough and we have either snow/sleet that turns to rain quick or just rain! For me and all snow lovers I wouldn’t get my hopes up for anything until late Tuesday/Wednesday high res model runs! But I guess think the worst and then if we get a good amount of snow it would be amazing lol

Snow reports coming in around 150m+ ASL in Cornwall so could be the same here as well. Some lower risk areas my get a dusting maybe? Dew points aren’t quiet there but there is still time for a change but that really is clutching at straws. Unfortunately would still expect a cold and wet rush hour for most

Latest GFS pushes the snow risk a little more north by the looks of it might not be a bad thing for lower grounds but still think will only wake up to snow on the high grounds

Can’t see anything but rain today, overnight and into Monday apart from maybe the tops of the downs. Then cold (not December level) and dry for most of the week until rain returns, bit of a nothing cold spell for us in the SE this time around!

Fresh dusting overnight here maybe 0.5-1cm looks like that band of snow did come a tad more east that expected looking at the last 24 hour radar

Oh really I can’t see anything on the radar just cloudy here atm

Hmm something seems a bit off it’s here earlier and more NE/E than expected. small chance this could creep into East Sussex later maybe inland a little I reckon. Very small chance atm

Still a good amount of snow left here and the roads are difficult still… shame that system pushing into the SW today is not going to make it to us I see that most seem to think mild at the start of the week next week before it cools off again? Potential for real cold again before Christmas as well?

Amazing snow fall here and it’s still going strong

Not that the met or anyone is picking it up so I could be horribly wrong but… this pivot could still bring a lot more snow for Kent into the earlier hours of the morning? Does anyone agree?

Heavy snow in Bearsted just outside Maidstone was raining 10 mins ago now we already have nearly 2cm

Still nothing in Bearsted

Is it me but the further inland it gets the more it’s seeming to struggle the last half hour it’s been dying off or turning to rain as it approaches Maidstone and the surrounding areas… Or am I just overthinking it? Lol

Partner who works in ashford town centre just text saying it’s snowing there

I’m not likening the increasing amounts of sleet and rain reports inland. The radar still looks good for Kent though

The sky looks full of it here, still below 0 as well I haven’t commented in a long time of course this was the first place I come back to when there is a sniff of snow lol

Don’t like the fact that the met office changed from 5 hours of heavy snow to just sleet in my area now. I get the impression they think rain is going to follow the snow!