Fourty Point Three Degrees

All these comments are bringing out the inner Karen in me that wants to scream "summer is over". Maybe I'm just wasting my energy trying to keep positive about this upcoming summer , definately a trend towards a more Atlantic driven period on todays models. A developing El Nino and too warm SST's doesn't look good either.

Where is this change coming from suddenly? I thought there was already a lot pointing to a hot July with high pressure to the E and NE with lots of thundery chances. And i thought the effects of a developing el nino won't be felt until autumn.

Which gets better on the 18z

I think gfs is overdoing the atlantic and we will fall somewhere half way between extreme heatwave and a typical N/S split. Saw it in the run up to the July 2021 spell, was originally showing a 3 day southeast only affair but improving with each run as the days grew closer, resulting in a five day country wide heatwave.

That spell was just like the July 2021 spell which was the same about 5 days long with the same intensity

Not several Just Exeter Airport

This was about 4/5 days ago when GFS produced an oddball of a chart run for today.

nothing out of the ordinary. Did the same thing through out June and July 2018

I think gfs is out on its own with its Atlantic bias and its obsession with unsettled. Anyhow its just another chart at Day 10 so nothing to be overly concerned about right now. I could be wrong but that's a risk I'm willing to take.

And yet again BBC weather app has downgraded the daily max today from 23c to just 21c. Useless inaccurate app.

I can't believe people are panicking for rain after the terrible spring we've had and after only a few weeks of dry weather into the opening days of Summer. Really? Are reservoirs dangerously low with the threat of a water shortage? Check first before posting such drivel. Imagine spending all spring waiting for a dreadful pesky weather pattern to change and when it does finally change, one for the better and people still aren't happy. We are hardly in 1976/1996 territory. The rain will come but come on let's first enjoy a decent summer while it's on offer.

The weather gods have been too generous to us in recent summers giving us 35 to 40c each year. This year I think will be one of those years where the max will be less than 35c. I will guess 34.1 at Kew Gardens sometime in mid July.

GFS 12z is just perfect for summer lovers. High pressure and warmth right out into FI.

That would be some flip in fortunes if that came to life. But good job its just a computer graphic at Day 10 for now. Just watch it get pushed back.

Saturday is an odd looking chart on Gfs with maxes struggling to get above 17C in London but its hot and humid across Central England reaching mid 20C's

The BBC weather app is an absolute joke. Does anyone have any trust in it? Its been showing 20c everyday for the past week for my town but only on the day does it drop the daily max figure down to 18c. Its useless , i have no idea how it passes to be advertised as a reliable weather app.

GFS 6z produces our first 30C next Monday 12th June. Next weekend could also see the hottest weekend of the year. Until then its just high and dry, with high and dry right through until end of the run.

Actually it does show a gap in early May with some days missing so probably did reach 25C at some point during those missing days

Ooops but here got the right one.

Not according to this it shows heathrow not surpassing 22c all May

Nothing to be concerned about, 2013 had no 25C days before June as did 1983 and 1995.

I said who can complain about THIS weather, referring to the weather on the Western side of the Pennines over my head. I am fully aware those in the East are struggling with cloud and cooler temps. I am fully aware that not everyone in the country is getting the weather I was referring to.

Seriously who can complain about this weather. It is perfect - crisp blue skies, the temp is just right, gentle breeze no wind. You won't get a better synoptic pattern than this putting aside extremes. And May would be the perfect time of year for a pattern like this too.

Reminds me of May 2012 which had a hot spell late in the month. We all know what happened next don't we.

All hes done is just taken a guess. Anyone can do that and "predict" a heatwave at some point during summer and they'll most likely be correct too.