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Fourty Point Three Degrees

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Everything posted by Fourty Point Three Degrees

  1. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    The rags are at it already..We have one hot day 28C on Monday before its a "severe" 20C to 25C for the rest of the week
  2. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    looks like a rinse and repeat on gfs 18z with the azores sending another ridge our way keeping things hot all in FI
  3. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    43.5 at Kew Gardens on 18th
  4. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    not much talk going on about the GEM.. Still looks very hot easily get mid to high 30s nationwide if this one comes to life
  5. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    Monday looking more hot nationwide with more heat more widespread and this is more within the reliable
  6. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    I often wonder if models were showing this kind of flip flopping right before the heat waves of July and Aug 2003.. I cant say that every model and every run along with every ensemble member was showing severe heat right out from 10 days earlier and counting it right down from T300 to T0, the same in July 2006 and 13.. It was also very hot and dry in europe in 2003 something already we're seeing so surely with all the weeks left of summer we should tap into at some point
  7. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    the 00z gefs ensembles board is still showing plenty of postage stamps options with mid to high 30s nationwide.. The control run is showing 36C to 39C nationwide for four days on the trot from the 17th.. I just don't see any downgrades and we're still 10 days away so i wont take either op or control run as the gospel nailed down weather forecast just yet
  8. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    Do you have the same comment to cold chasers in the Winter? More people die from cold in the winter than heat in summer yet people still chase cold weather and nobody complains... People can keep cool if they want but they just ignore the health risks
  9. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    Anyone know what kind of temps for Manchester to expect from the latest ECM and MET? Hope we're not going to be stuck in the low 20s under cloud, while London has days of 30C plus. GFS is out on its own.
  10. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    it would be a real sod and painful slap in the face if any heat wave failed to materialise and we end up with a trough especially now we've been taken this far down the garden path
  11. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    P7 on GFS is showing THREE days of 41C temps, dont forget you can always add on 2C lol
  12. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    the 6z is an outlier and doesn't get much support in ensembles, a lot of the members are hovering at the 20C hpa with some rising towards 25C.... and a lot of members going for 15C to 20C hpa for Liverpool.. GEM has several crazy hot members rising to 25c in London GFS is known to drop heat waves in FI then bring them back in a closer range.
  13. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    Trough lovers, dont worry theres still hope
  14. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    The thing between cold in Winter and heat in Summer is people can run home in the Winter to their central heating systems and keep warm. We just don't have nowhere to run to in the summer during heat waves to keep cool because many homes and shops don't have air cons systems. And a heat wave like this verifying I'd think power outages will occur in mid afternoon causing more people to suffer heat stroke.
  15. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    France looks like a death haven, it goes beyond August 2003 this run... Considering all the heat spikes we're starting to get in Summer (Since 2015) its only a matter of time before something serious and very extreme locks in for a number of days..
  16. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    Latest gfs is churning out a very dangerous heatwave, could be a lot of deaths if this came off. Never before have i witnessed such an extreme run. Days of low to mid 30s and high 30s even as far as Manchester. , night times not falling below 27C in some spots...
  17. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    Another boring Winter looms.. It'll be the same old chesnut, with the coldest 850s really struggling due to sods law producing all sorts of complicated synoptics. Just seems like we will be waiting forever for that cold and snowy month.
  18. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    Yes very continental like and feeling tropical in the warm pitch black darkness, already its four hours into darkness and its still boiling in the city which is very unusual for September, very rarely do we get warm pitch blackness in Summer let alone September.. But this heatwave is nothing compared to Sept 2011 which exceeded 28C for a number of days and was at the end of September and not early Sept.
  19. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    According to XC weather its still 28C at Gloucestershire Airport at 21:50. If this is not a malfunction then it must feel like Cyprus in mid July round there in pitch black aswell.
  20. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    Isn't it too early for a Winter thread? Just like Summer threads always get locked until late April if they are started right at start of Spring. I think the same should apply to Winter threads.
  21. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    Night times this week are expected to be around 19C across much of England which won't be pleasant and will still be 23C at 10pm in some spots which was just as warm as some nights during the July heatwave, if not warmer.
  22. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    Its only Sept 5th of course its not going to feel like Autumn just yet.. The Northern hemisphere is still warm. Mid 30Cs still possible in the UK until around 20th. Autumn doesn't officially begin until 21st.
  23. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    Nice charts I agree, but just wait for all the usual model downgrades & frowngrades in the next day or so.
  24. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    Lots of cloud around today and surpressed temperatures despite being underneath a large ridge of HP. Reminds me of 26th July when it was blue skies and 25C despite being under LP and trough.
  25. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    Looks like Winter begins on the first day of ermmm Autumnn
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