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Fourty Point Three Degrees

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Everything posted by Fourty Point Three Degrees

  1. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    Its time this part of the Northern Hemisphere had a serious heatwave affecting West Europe something prolonged and long lasting that will hit news headlines. Everywhere else in the world seems to get their fair share of heatwaves all except this climate
  2. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    Little sign of anything Summerlike in the latest GFS. I really dont see where our first 30C of the year will be coming from in this set up. Disgusting temperatures for the middle of July.
  3. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    I have a small feeling the Atlantic wont last very long and heights will rise sooner than later and erase that pesky little trough quicky as a rubber can erase 'trough' written in pencil. And latest pub run GFS doesnt look bad later on either.
  4. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    I've remained positive so far this summer but recent model output is doing its very best to kill my positive optimism. The first ten days of July is looking like a total write off in my opinion and i kinda know in the back of my mind that any Azores ridging will just continously keep being pushed back until it never happens. It will be dreadful to have to start reading posts writing off summer 2021 while in middle of July still stuck and blocked in a trough.
  5. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    GFs 6z is another dreadful run, northern blocking looking like it wants to get comfy in its usual place
  6. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    The ECM is so laughable , you gotta love that blob of green snot catapulting itself right across the Atlantic only for it to halt bang slap right over the UK next Tuesday and stay there for god knows how long.
  7. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    Bet those summer lovers living in Scotland are happy to see next weeks N/S split roadshow getting in full swing but with a clumsy topsy turvy twist.. Now they can spend a few days laughing at Londoners stuck in mid teens while its mid 20s scorching in glorious costa del Scotland..
  8. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    Yes its really goes down hill beyond 174. Good job its in FI.
  9. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    ECM looks wet for those living in the South but dryer and warmer further North you go especially for Scotland, but hey ho how often do those in South enjoy sun and warmth in Summer while Scotland is always influenced from low pressure. GFS cant make up its mind if it wants a heatwave or stick a trough over head. UKMO "likely" a ridge will build from the East in their latest 10 day trend. Who should we trust?
  10. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    Vile Ecm The ECM 12z is dreadful. Put away your polish
  11. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    JMA screenshots of July and August taken from Gavs weather videos latest JMA update. I'd say high pressure is ruling the entire Northern hemisphere for the whole of July and Aug this summer all apart from one lucky recipient who remains stuck under a trough
  12. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    I think an improvement for end of July is on the cards this little trough isnt going to last long - GEM ensembles for my area 850s is pretty much above average and stays there right to the end of the run
  13. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    100 days!!! which model are they looking at then I'd like to know
  14. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    1995 anyone?
  15. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    GFS is drunk. its always on the midnight run when it churns out a run like this. Will be sober by morning.
  16. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    Dont worry soon be winter endless mild warm days as a blob of orange snot anchors itself over the country while the whole of Europe freezes
  17. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    Next weeks exciting 3pm temps for a late June afternoon. Woopy woo
  18. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    I think its normal for this time of year to be troughed. Our equivalent to the Indian Monsoon - "return of the westerlies". Quite a few hot members in the ensembles from GEM and GFS for later in the month going above 18C.
  19. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    I think this will verify. Almost every GFS run for the past umpteen days has focused on a splash of green snot perfectly aligning itself right over the country. A lot of the other models don't look pretty either.
  20. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    Not sure if this means anything or boosts chances for a warmer dryer summer but Quasi Biennial Oscillation is currently in an Easterly phase. Summer 2018 was in an Easterly QBO phase.
  21. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    Cant see anything that suggests a massive thunderstorm on the lightning maps but there is a small yellow blob moving North which probably wont even make it to the South coast
  22. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    GFS rolling out only 60% done and so far looks identical to the 12z, nothing else but big green blob closing over the UK next weekend.
  23. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    GFS 12z not a single sight of green snot anywhere else in the NH but then just as one blob clears incomes another to replace it. Would be very unfortunate if this run verified and dampened the positive July outlook. I think its just an outlier.
  24. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    Is that another summer omega block with UK well and truly stuck on the wrong side of it as per usual
  25. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    Tomorrow my weather app is just 17C here while 29C in London. I've never seen such a big contrast in such a short distance. BBC news will probably run the usual "hottest day of the year" stories with pictures of kids playing in water fountains and adults eating ice cream while those outside London wonder what all the fuss is about
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