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Posts posted by Paul Sherman
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1 minute ago, Jackski4 said:
I wasn't worried, I've seen you all bash him many a times is he really that bad?
There is a growing band of them that preach the Mild, Not for me too say but maybe they are nudged in that direction for Joe Publics sake, gone are the days of proper forecasts and forecasters who told it how it was in the 80's and 90's
Sad Times
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Just now, Jackski4 said:
Chris Fawkes on BBC still not having it
Dont worry he will be on his rowing boat doing an outside broadcast in the Thames Estuary later with +4c Dewpoints saying "Here is the Rain"
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If this front keeps going east Poland is in with a shout
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1 minute ago, Jackski4 said:
he's in Norfolk
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2 minutes ago, Nqp15hhu said:
Think we may as well sign off north of zlondon before we depress ourselves listening to these people getting their snow fix
Define North of London ?
You talking 100 miles North of London in Norwich say ? Or Watford ?
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Just now, kold weather said:
Paul, I'm starting to get whiffs of that Dec 2010 event here...remember how that one got big time upgraded as the event started. Was only ever forecasted 5-10cms where I was and I more than doubled that.
Of course different angle of attack, but that one gave quite a wide coverage of 10-20cms, I'm wondering whether given the front is forecasted to hold up longer than expected, whether this could end up in a similar fashion and over perform?
Yh this one could catch the forecasters with their pants down - Cant wait for the fall out from this if they dont up the levels and it does turn out worse (or better for us) than expected.
Get some cracking pictures mate
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1 minute ago, saintkip said:
Just started snowing lightly in Basingstoke, reckon this is gonna be cracking
Good luck and you are in a prime spot!
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Just now, essex coast matt said:
looking at models dew points are due to be around 2c at midnight and temps about 3c and i think upper air temp due to rise later too for us on the coast
Ah ok not looked at that must admit, if thats correct then yes it will be rain.
So why did people say for the last few days this will be pure snow all the way. Very strange the way its changed
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Well if it rains here at 0.2c Temp and -1.1c Dewpoint then I am giving up Meteorology
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1 minute ago, Southender said:
Yeah, no issues there mate, so baffled as to why pretty much every model = snowless for us.
There is nothing marginal about it - I quite like all the models give us nowt can only go one way I suppose lol
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Checking in from this end of the Estuary
Temp 0.4c
Dp - 1.1
Fresh Easterly
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Wow some temperature drop happening at the moment in the SE
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100% defo Snow in Cornwall to Sea Level as well
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A massive positive just posted by a forecaster I hold in Very high regard and who is always very Conservative - He said draw a line from Wales across to North Essex and that's the snow line - Anyone South of this line could get between 3-7cm obvs more over Hills
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Haha so your saying Essex is the only place that misses out - Sob!!
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Crikey Darren you really need to chill mate What will be will be just watch the radar real time later - Don't need you in Hospital later when the snow is falling all around you
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Just driven to work - Left Leigh at - 4c went through various areas of freezing fog along my route and low temp was Minus 5c some stunning Hoar Frost on the trees
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Spookily as we tick over Midnight tomorrow and into Friday 1st February when the Snow should still be falling it will be 10 Years YES Thats 10 YEARS! To the day since the Red Alert in the South East.
Listen to the Forecast from Ms Powell. Sound familiar ? Areas of the Thames Valley and South of the M4, Who said that never happens
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3 minutes ago, kold weather said:
Interestingly Paul a lot of the high resolution models show something similar to this, so there must be something that is triggering those showers as its not just on one model (though they do vary In exact locations.
Going to be interesting in here from 3pm onwards tomorrow afternoon thats for sure
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Just now, Snowman. said:
None other than Essex Weather themselves for that chart.
What a disappointing winter it's been here.
If you put into Google "BBC Weather" and play the video from a few hours ago that might cheers you up mate
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SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018
in Regional
Posted
Yes and the sad thing is I have a friend who can get the data from UKV charts etc which he has licence too as well and that is painting a daunting picture for some locations that would blow his 5cm out of the water. Not in my neck of the woods though unfortunately, and areas with elevation obviously