[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018]

Think Stevenage is winning tonight, unconfirmed (No Pictures) of a 5cm report on Twitter - Anyone confirm ??

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018]

1 minute ago, lewis028 said:

Finally! We now have heavy sleet, it’s turning @Paul Sherman

Its a start! Woohoo

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018]

2 minutes ago, Snowman. said:

According the radar we're getting the heaviest precip right now!

Probably has something to do with this.

Gap by kent from the channel flow which then extends to the esturay which just keeps it going north. You may need to click/press it.

 

There you go, that shows that perfectly, the wedge of warmer dps and the reason that slice is rain

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018]

I think until the event is over and we look at what has caused this wedge of land to not see anything but heavy rain versus snow we just cant say. Could be a number of things, onshore flow, rate of precip, dont know at this stage

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018]

Really is interesting the areas North of the Estuary with that wedge of warmer dewpoints and solid rain, the colder undercutting has no doubt gone through with the reports of snow now South of the Thames further East into Kent. 

Here is hoping Thursday's does not suffer the same fate North of the warmer Estuary. Am surprised about Chelmsford still having rain though as thats fully 14 miles NW of the Estuary

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018]

1 minute ago, Southender said:

Rain. Temp 3c & DP 2c in Southend.

Meh.

Yh this was my worry being so close to the Estuary with a SE Wind blowing - Not looking good for us

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018]

1 minute ago, staplehurst said:

It has been mentioned multiple times that this event will largely start as rain, and then gradually transition to sleet/snow from west to east as the cold undercut takes place. So it shouldn't really be much of a surprise if you've got rain at this early stage in the evening? It is all going to the original plan...

Dan, Mate dont waste your breathe, will message you on Facebook later 

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018]

Just now, snowray said:

Can people stop reporting blinking RAIN, its getting boring!!!

Its precipitating in Leigh On Sea  How about that 

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018]

6 minutes ago, Rambo said:

Sorry, but this place used to be fun. Why are people digging at others who have a go at forecasting the weather (for free), when the reality is the weather will do what it wants. Gets on my wick that people these days are always looking for someone else to blame for anything!

You either learn to read weather charts and make your own predictions, or just live with the fact that sometimes things dont always happen the way you want....and if you really must blame someone, blame the forecaster's who are paid for by most of us!

 

Anyway, light drizzle here at the moment. Fingers crossed the snow band keeps increasing so us in the far East might get a cm lol

Agree with this Rambo

Some shockingly childish behaviour in here tonight, its the same when a bolt of lightning does not land in someones garden in the Summer when people have a go at a forecast. 

I would probably urge the people that do have a go in here to just not bother and just leave people to post up forecasts from the Beeb or their Iphones in future, then they can stand in front of a mirror and have a go at their phones instead of venting on here.

Truly Pathetic!

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018]

Must admit am surprised at all these rain reports

I mean its not as if this was expected  was it 

 

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018]

And as I said that ECM rolls out and gives us a pasting on Thursday with it much further south and nothing marginal at all about Thursday 

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018]

Btw I have always been on the opinion that 99% of places will get a slushfest from this which will ice over in the morning, some of the hills like the South Downs etc could get 3-5cm but thats literally the 1%

The other video grab posted above is GOOD for our region as the Beeb are downplaying Thursday, which can only mean 1 thing. UPGRADES!

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018]

3 minutes ago, Froze were the Days said:

I think judging by the national forecast (earlier) when the undercut of cold air is experienced the front is expected to be quite narrow over the south east...

Wasnt privvy to that Forecast nor would I watch the drivel they spill out, but Dans Video laid it out pretty well and its pretty much going to plan from what he said.

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018]

3 minutes ago, Heisenberg said:

Yes but its raining...not snowing 

And thats what it was showing  

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018]

Guessing nobody even bothered watching the Video posted yesterday then.

I did say that between 4-7pm this thread would be dominated with people gfuqhgfpjhing about rain when thats what was exactly what was expected to happen before the undercut came in

Guessing that was the best forecast of the week

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018]

1 minute ago, beerandkebab said:

started off as 1 hour rain here on the Marlborough Down nr Swindon and for the last 30 mins has been moderate snow Paul, and surprisingly settling readily as the undercut digs in.....currently 2.1C with a dewpoint of -0.4C for reference

Thanks buddy, thats the sort of report which is vital to areas further east.

Enjoy that settling snow, should get a top up on Thursday as well.

And the growing signs of High Pressure to our North East on the models gathers pace for the 2nd week of February as well.

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018]

Dewpoints are nowhere near good enough across the entire South East ranging from 2-3c.................But there are quite a few 0c and 1c Dp's to our North West over the Midlands and its this undercutting cold we need to head from the NW into our region as the precip moves through bringing that evaporative cooling into play.

It will be interesting to see how quickly it undercuts this evening

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018]

2 minutes ago, Vesuvius said:

I think where to stick Essex was the problem.  But that’s far wider than weather, I guess.

in fairness I didn’t know what thread to choose, I mean our neck of the woods is much closer to Kent than Norfolk.

So, anyway, Crown Hill on Thursday, I’ll beat ya ?

Haha Crown Hill around 9pm on Thursday could be an evacuation route downhill only, certainly the 5 bus routes wont attempt to get up it if the ICON is correct for Thursday.

Yh I seem to remember the North part of Essex wanted to be with the East Anglians and the Southern Parts of Essex wanted to be with London and the Home Counties, then we had the problem of where Cambs, Beds and Bucks was put.

Cant please everyone

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018]

But hopefully it shows people just how hard it is to predict wether its going to be Snow/Rain/Sleet/Pellets etc on an Atlantic Front. The good thing it shows is the Milder air around late afternoon which should hopefully stop all the crying posts saying "But its 5c It;s never gunna snow" And also shows the Colder Uppers undercutting into the front turning the rain to snow.

I just wanted to hilghlight the fact to people on how things could/should play out

I never said it was exciting.

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018]

Guys

I want to get in early and try to stop the doom and gloom posts that are going to happen around 4-7pm tomorrow in this Regional Thread. Why are these posts going to happen I hear you say ?? Well simple, it will RAIN first before the precip turns to snow. You might see, WHAT A BUST, You might see, WHAT A PATHETIC COLD SPELL, You might see, WE ONLY GET SNOW FROM EASTERLIES

Please Please Please watch the Video Dan has posted up, and please watch all nearly 7 minutes of it, you might learn something, you might already know what he is describing, but more importantly it lays out what is expected to happen and why some places have people swinging from the Chandeleers with Heavy snow whilst others have a wintry mix

Thanks to Dan (Staplehurst) for putting this Video together

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018]

By all means put it too the Mods but please not 10 pages of debate on it.

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018]

4 minutes ago, Nqp15hhu said:

Why does this thread cover such a wide geographical area?

Ah the same question we have had for the past 15 years.

We tried a 3 counties and a Norfplk/Suffolk Group before but then those regionals went dead and everyone went back in with the SE & East Anglia around 9 years ago so there you have it. If you want to frequent the East Midlands, Lincs threads then by all means be my guest

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018]

Still of the same opinion from when I last posted on Friday about this not being a normal system moving into entrenched cold air. Drizzle and rain Tuesday should turn from 10pm onwards to give some snow, not expecting more than 1-3cm and locally 5cm in favoured spots with Altitude. Most of this will compact down for wednesday, expecting a cold night under no winds on wednesday night and could squeak a -4c overnight, then Thursday's system looks to be a sleety,snowy,rainy mess.

Not even looked at the weekend yet.

Hope I am wrong with the above but cant foresee too many problems, happy to be corrected though

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018]

Haha I bet Guy Fawkes is blowing that Low Pressure South, him and Darren Bent absolutely hate any idea of snow and cold in the Uk

[Cold hunt - models and chat]

Agree with all the responses ref Precip Strength etc from Steve, Snowking and MWB

Lets hope luck is on our side and lets see if the Pub Run carries on with the track