PureOcean
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So can raintoday be trusted tonight ? Coz at the moment I should have snow
Nope not really... its a predictive software they use, they track existing systems and predict its route, but the way everything is moving about in the atmosphere they will always be slightly off for the fridge stuff today, as Kent is kind of on the edge of the system, its hard to really trust that. Use Satellite images and then take readings and reports using a multitude of resources and then you will be able to plot whats going on. Its a real mess of miss-information but that makes it hilariously fun too!
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Thanks for replying
I want more but if I wanted I still have a foot deep snow in back garden for a snow angel !
There is a 15ft snowman in next village too
We have barely had a thaw away from roads and sun facing banks
I am sure you will get something down your way at some stage tonight. The way its panning out though could be late at night, but it would be nice to wake up at 5am and see something moderate!
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please steve
OK my take on what has happened is as follows and this is from looking at the satellite only.
1. The pivoting westwards has happened, but it happened much to the west of the UK over Ireland and North Ireland over the last 4 hours it comes up beautifully on the satellite.
2. What we have and why I kept telling Steve M to look at the radar is a conveyor (a fast one at that) out of Norway crossing diagonally across the North Sea with much of Southern UK in its sight. What it must have pushed in front of it was very dry air hence why no reports of precipitation reaching the ground on that eastern quadrant of the radar band.
Now that it is taking effect snow is being reported in the east but that is from a different system to what was supposed to pivot as that system has already pivoted way way to the west as stated above.
Lastly there is a huge stream of this Norwegian stuff to follow. and this could explain why in Leeds for example they are so surprised that what was a few hours ago very wet has been replaced by rapidly settling DRY SNOW.
This could be a ramp, and I could be talking absolute bollo cks but Steve please look now at the Satellite or anybody else so inclined and give me your thoughts on what I am saying please.
You are right in what you say, the question really is whats going to happen in the next 6 to 10 hours as to me it seems a lot of changes are occurring and with temps dropping too I think a lot of people will get caught out tonight, because the TV forecasts dont really pan what we are seeing develop, well not 100% anyway, there is a lot of things happening all at once tonight! Its rather active!
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Confused.com
Radar say 3mmsnow for me in easy Kent but we not due any
Can anyone spare an explanatory sentence for me to save me reading 20 pages ?! I've read some but I don't think it relates to east Kent ??!!
It looks possible that Kent will get some snow and east Kent could get a large shower later this evening, ignore the TV forecasts they are out of date for this system, its changing too fast, if you get it make a snow angel and smile, if not just huff and puff!
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Think West Kent will see some nice snow from the current readings and report, small in comparison to what others in the UK will get but noticeable. East Kent will see less early this evening but may see more later on, just running some predictions and 5 out 9 are showing some action.
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OK if you look at the radar, you can ignore the blue's they are not delivery anything, but look for green and yellows and that is where the action is, as you would expect, so at this exact moment just ignore the blues or if you are looking the light pinks are irrelevant today, just focus on darker colours, standard really but it seems to be how its working out.
I.e. where the heavy echo is, that is the snow - for those having radar issues this evening.
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Hi Wes do we keep cold air over us until then or will the snow if it comes be landing on warmer ground?
We keep relatively cold, I personally dont like too much north west as its not good for Kent but it maybe more north which is good, so if anything is out in the north sea next week Kent will get it. It should lay.
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Hi Kaddy said a strong northerly next week,is this showing in the models? seems a bold statement this far away.
Yes north to north westerly winds will kick in mid week and strong, low system gets squeezed between highs and moves into Germany, cuts off the Siberian airflow but delivers northerlies and with it potential snow too...
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Afternoon All-
whats the score with the MET O radar- everything a long way east with the frontal zone-minimal westerly curve
Looks good for us now...
S
Funny that I have been thinking the same for hours but not going to get too excited just yet. Glad you noticed it too.
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I have a sneaky feeling not everything is going as planned at present with charts and radar and forecasts. I feel the front will swing west but far further down the country than predicted and I think from Anglia across south east and then along the southern region will get hit rather than it turning west north of London. I think its a case of watch this space. I also believe the blobs off Kent will find themselves coming inland as snow later this afternoon 4pm onwards and will give a covering. Very interesting day, not one to get excited over but one to enjoy watching evolve - I like days like this.
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Yes
The North Sky has that orange glow - Nothing more than a dusting at best though! Temp is absolutely bitter out there with solid ice on the cars and also virtually impossible to open car doors
As they leave you they cross my lake of the Thames and head for us here in Kent and beef up just nicely, already seeing some strengthening, so you get a dusting maybe we get more...
- well a man can dream! -
Just had a report of snow now started in Thanet, Kent... so its starting!
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Definitely some more snow about tonight for Kent, snow showers picking up, some of these could dump some quick snow... so be aware. Looks like a few more cm's if they organize big IF but things are interesting, now that will catch a lot of people out!
gotta laugh!!! -
Some interesting showers making the way down this evening, one can continue to be positive and hope for a top up!
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It certainly feels far milder today than it has recently.
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Just had a photo featured on the BBC News and national website too.... showing Whitstable beach with the snow and ice on the sea etc...
enjoy:
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Sounds good..if its icy it will help towards the ppn being snow, just need all the other factors to fall in place
Next 48 hours are crucial, I am confident like Paul has said on here that the easterly will block and that we will get a feed from the east, I believe that Kent will stay cold and we will be ok.
Soon be able to walk across to Sheppy lol
Well thats not been done since 1947... so always up for some ice fishing!
Right, off for a hot choc drink and bacon sandwich following a good two hours of snow and uploading my images to facebook.
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Whitstable 4" by the beach more inland and towards Canterbury... Solid snow, some drifting from the wind last night. Sea frozen and lots of ice, watching three guys trying to fish through the ice...
rather funny the weights crash through! -
The snowman is now finished, complete with scarf!
I have been watching, what a fun thing to do. Amazed how many cars still driving about.
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Oh my day is planned. Trip to Belfairs Woods where I am against 3 Little ones in a Battle Royale. Then a nice Hot Chocolate in the Greenhouse Tea Rooms to thaw out. No cars just sledges and Camera in hand!
Love it - Great Sunday
That sounds great fun Paul... enjoy.
I am off to sledge with the kids, then a short walk home for hot choc and thaw out, before building a snowman in the garden.
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Hi Victor its just started getting a little bit bigger now and the gusts are getting stronger
Yep we are heading into a stronger band now for a couple hours... so I would expect to see some more depth soon.
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Yep
Moderate Snow and about 1.5cm to 2.0cm of Snow.
Since the wind shift to the South East we have been getting very wet snow, temps and Dewpoints still okay but Southern facing windows are wet like a rainy old windy day look!
Stop complaining Paul, only a few hours ago you were crying over it missing you....
at least you are now in the white stuff!!! Get your sledge out tomorrow old chap! -
Having been born and bred in Whistable it was always a hard choice between Tankerton slopes or the Downs,I had to avoid the slopes one year after me and a mate used our old canoes as sledge's and he went into the back of a beach hut...more damage to his canoe but still a little bit to the hut!!!
Not the same now since they built the beach up.... I remember shooting the hill and straight into the sea at high water if you were foolish enough to stay on that long and run off the wall!... Downs are great, but they have widened it nowadays, which is a shame as it was great when you had the mid section narrow, created fun ice and dangerous sledging.... never mind. I will be at one of them for sure probably!
:D -
It's just what I've noticed on a quick walk outside down the street... (not very technical I know!)
Maybe just a local thing... thanks for verifying, its possible its SE as a few of them showing up.
- well a man can dream!
at least you are now in the white stuff!!! Get your sledge out tomorrow old chap!
London & The South East Regional Discussion - Part 12
in Regional
Posted
Right off for a brandy and break for a few hours, then will run some more checks and reports later on...