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Posts posted by PureOcean
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Thanks for the reply mate, as I said, have been trying to study the weather on and off for a couple of years - bloody complicated though isn't it? Just when you think you've learned the terminology you have to learn more about the models...
And then the model's models
And the the model's model's models!!
Fair play to all the good forecasters here - hope I can do the same in a few (many) years.
We all get it wrong, best is to work on different plans and see what is your strength etc... and one word of advice do NOT focus on models too much, because the best computer you have is your brain... I will say this, models are 50/50 and should be used as a guide, of course some models can make you go blind you know but that's a whole different subject!
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I have to say that this is wonderful to have snow, I was started to wonder a few weeks ago if February really would give us the cold spell it looked like and we would have a no snow winter, so very pleased that its come on a Saturday night so I can play with the kids young and old tomorrow on the slopes... pure winter fun that is cheap to enjoy!
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Just before I go - the snow here is being blown on a brisk easterly... Is this keeping the cold air in?
Not showing any easterlies on my data? you 100% sure you have an easterly and its not being effected by local disturbance like a house or fence etc...? I do believe you but just not showing in on my data??? so intrigued.
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Hi PO have you noticed the wind picking up? is the cold air being pulled into the oncoming front?
Well the wind has been getting up, I was expecting it to be windy but had not thought it would be as strong, its not causing any issues and will not effect things as they stand apart from blow it about a bit that will cause some issues as it gets deeper. The wind is direct southerly at this time, I would say you have the same in herne bay as you are only 5 miles away. Has this wind caught you out?
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my little ones will have me up at some ungodly hour, they don't care what day of the week it is lol
Oh yeah I know... I have that to look forward to as well, lovely.... trouble is I wont be in bed until late....
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Same here, everything white but...
Was we supposed to get blowing snow?, come on deep snow where are you"!
The wind is certainly a factor tonight like a blizzard where I am, a white out earlier..... due to peak at about 25 mph around mid-night and then drop down by mid-morning to 15 mph etc... or put it another way blooming cold in the wind for sledging and snowman building!
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Hi guys,
Long time reader but very infrequent commenter here - purely 'because I come here to read and learn and generally don't have anything to add that the resident experts haven't said.
Loving a bit of snow tonight - would warn anyone in London that it has already halted the Central Line to Epping, no trains are running out here tonight.
Quick question for the folks in the know, have purchased a subscription to the Netweather radar and the V.6 version is very impressive!! Look like the precipitation is dying out though - I know it got here earlier than planned but will it die out in a couple of hours?? Thought it was due to hover over us until the early hours - or was that only East Kent and the east Norfolk coast?
NB. While I do my one post per year, big thanks to Steve Murr, have been reading this forum for a good few years and you have proved your worth yet again. Also TEITS, GP, C and the rest of you - you know who you are, you make this place interesting and I thank you for your input.
Cheers.
The front is due to stall, it is already slowing down on its front edge somewhat, so as it stalls it should intensify somewhat and places like Anglia, Kent, Essex should get a good whack from it. Great that you are learning, the best thing I would say is step back like you have been and just look at the sensible comments and learn gradually, the weather is fun but we are all learning and no system is ever the same, so a lot comes down to gut feelings also running alongside technical knowledge. Hope that waffle helps...
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Any proper experts know why the premium radar for the south east on net weather is a bit cranky? its almost like a piece has been cut from it and not put back quite corectly. If that makes sense! pm me if you like and know as its difficult to keep up with all of these posts!
If you are referring to the radar lines... as it tracks round it records the data, if it does not get a clear view then you will get gaps etc... its standard. Is that what you were on about?
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How many years have I been doing the weather from amateur to pro to amateur to major storm chaser and still the wife shouts out "you weather geek, put the kettle on next time you pass the kitchen!".... just cant get the wives nowadays!
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Great...should arrive in Herne Bay any minute!
Yep and remember this stuff is just light stuff although its nice at present... the big show is some way off yet!
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At last WHITSTABLE on the Kent Coast now has SNOW, nice flakes, gentle and light as expected.... just the prelude to the big show, but nice its arrived.
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Snowing in chav, I mean Faversham
Classic.... that will have them all out in Chaversham.... I bet they are in the streets already!
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Man fishing on the beach in front of my house.... went down spoke to him, told him that he might want to consider packing up shortly lots of snow on the way... ummm he said dont believe all that rubbish, load of hype... I said is that so, ok well have a nice evening.... oh is that your car down the steep ramp to the beach? Yes he said.... oh I only ask because its my sledge run, might be an idea to move it up.... no he said no need it wont snow... oh I said, ok then bye!
Well looks like I will have some fun later watching him!!! :D :lol:
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Lol - What the hell has she eaten to get heavy that quick - Sorry made me laugh
I know when I wrote that I thought.... damn, someone will pick that up! was going to edit it but thought what the heck, run with it!
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Given up now def no sledging here tomorrow,its falling but its wet boooooooooooo
It is possible that Brighton will turn back to snow later this evening, their are some signs this will occur!
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Where is the snow ?!!!!??
It will be here heavy in about 1hr 30 mins or so... you may start to see some flurries in the next 45 mins.... by mid-night you should be starting to get heavy!
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If you are living in Kent you will not see heavy snow until certainly later this evening, probably 23:00 hours onwards and then it will be constant, so please stop panicking over the size of the flakes etc... This is extremely normal with a western snow front, it will intensify over the coming hours and really get going big time early hours of the morning!
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The Enevitable has happened :-( = Sleet !! awww snap :-(
Yes it was always looking like Brighton would have this, it was on the borderline of my plots this week, so sad you have it for you, but pleased as I got it right
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If the light blue/dark blue stuff isn't reaching the ground then I can't see there being much at all..
Its just the first band that's past strood, its purely light stuff.... Trust me on this you will get plenty later this evening in Medway. Its like waiting for a hurricane you have to be patient my man... you get bands at the front of systems.
Tonight a lot of people are moaning or getting worried or anxious... dont be its going to hit Kent well, it is going exactly the way it should do and will be a significant snow fall for all at ALL levels.
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Just wanted to pop in and say the type of snow currently falling is superb here. Nice dry, powder snow which is settling and drifting.
Perfection, was wondering when you would be posting!
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Steve
This is why I was so vocal about the Block Holding firm all last week, what the Models are showing is could make this lot tonight pale into Insignificance if we get another Feb 1991 and almost to that day as well!
I firmly believe the 2nd and possibly 3rd bites of the cherry are going to be the Headline Makers! This is just the starters!
Agreed 100% on this, I think this is just the prelude...
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Going out into Sevenoaks town tonight for my mates birthday dinner (table booked for 6.30). We're obviously well aware of the snow potential but I've told everyone we should be safe until about 8.30-9 on the basis of this mornings forecasts. Is this still the case? I could have a lot of egg on my face if we get snowed in by 8...
Was also going to say the temperatures in north-east Kent today has been remarkable. A high of -3C?? About as cold as it can get on the coastline without snowcover...
You will be fine until about 9ish... I would say, the start of the snow will be light then gain in intensive as the evening goes on, its possible snow will only arrive between 9 to 11pm in Kent.
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Good Morning All,
Nice little snow fall last night in the early hours, just a quick grain snow but its white outside which is nice. Just a prelude of the fun to come late tonight!
London & The South East Regional Discussion - Part 9
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
Perfect!