Frost HoIIow

An extra blanket or two... and these may come in handy as well knocks

A poor Winter if you like cold and snow. December being particularly ridiculous as even in bed it was uncomfortably warm at night with temps well into double figures, humid SW air and copious rain fall. It was so mild that I recorded colder night temps in the Summer! A slight improvement & bit of excitement in mid January with a 2 inch fall of snow which was all gone in 12 hours but other than that & a few minor dustings it has been a Winter to forget!

I think crewe is right, places above 150m could get quite a bit of snow on the ground (but short lived in nature) this week. French Arpege model going for snow cover on the high ground on Wednesday morning. Though these snow maps are rarely 100% accurate.

A bit chilly here this evening currently -1.4C

Not so sure Spring is the second warmest season. If you look at the CET and average temps from weather stations across the UK they will show Autumn is a bit warmer than Spring through recorded history. September is a warmer month than May for example, I think the seas around us are warmer in September than May. Yet there is considerably more daylight in May but September is still generally a warmer month. Most places in the UK don't record a first air frost until around the middle of October or later for some areas. Yet we can still get frosts in April or May despite the nights being a lot shorter. We had snow cover here in April 2012 but I've never known that happening in early September when the sun strength is the same as when we got that snow. We have a "lag effect" to our climate in this country due to the seas around us taking their time to cool down and warm up. Winters don't *usually* get going until some point in January despite December having the shortest day. And the risk of snow can linger on through into March and some years into April despite much more daylight. Also the warmest Summer temps are not normally in June when there is the most daylight but it's usually from some point in July to mid August when we are most likely to see the highest temps of Summer. Again it's the "lag effect"

Going to need a magnifying glass soon, the bigger blob heading this way seems to be reducing in size. It's pretty sad to be still watching this on the radar like some sado when it will no doubt evolve into 1 hailstone hitting my window. Note to self *Get a life Alan, Winter is over*

Euro4 showing no snow accumulation across our region tonight, which would suggest the showers might die out. Then again no model is infallible & it is currently snowing across some higher areas of the region right now in North Lancs.

Indeed. May 1996 style!

-2.7C here with clear skies. A weather station owned by a friend of ours less than half a mile away is currently at 0C. Just shows what living in a frost hollow can do!

After a chilly start of -1C it has been a nice day with plenty of sunshine. The sun is beginning to get enough strength to cause convection now so some cloud has bubbled up through the day but not spoilt things too much.

And in an easterly flow we do not need Jan 1987 style uppers for snow as the dew point is much lower from the continent compared to other directions so even low ground can get in on act. Would be great to get those -15C to -19C uppers from 1987 but hey ho lol

Horrible day today, persistent heavy drizzle

Indeed. 2012 & 2013 couldn't have been any different from each other as well - crazy months. 2012 unusually warm and 2013 unusually cold. March can certainly be interesting.

Is this normally a good sign the main jet digging well south?

After dense fog this morning it brightened up around 9am onwards leaving not a bad day.....but it's back to the rain tomorrow

I know you are in the east and obviously more prone to north sea snow showers etc but your height above sea level (or lack of it) probably doesn't help, I would have thought you are close to sea level. Over here in the west I have had measurable snow in mid January and also January last year. The only time I have had less than measurable snow in a Winter was early 2014 when all we had was a dusting one evening in February and I have lived in this house for over 40 years. I bet if you lived on the Wolds or thereabouts above 70 metres you would have had measurable snow in the past 37 months.

A nasty day tomorrow with lots of cold rain with the odd flake mixed in & a stiff breeze - great. What a dreadful Winter this has been. Been like pulling teeth to get more than a couple of inches deep snow. Wouldn't surprise me if we get more snow in March than anything we've had this Winter. Or even April like in 1998 & 2000.

That warning area ties in with the 6z Euro4 http://expert-images.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficharts/en/euro4/2016/02/16/basis06/ukuk/weas/16021806_2_1606.gif

-3.8C here. Getting rather chilly. Though still not the coldest temp this Winter which was -5.7C during the mid Jan cold snap.

The showers seem to be decaying as they move over the Pennines. Looks like no snow cover here tonight. The flow needs to be more east then they normally have no problems getting over. But no signs of a switch in wind direction tonight.

It's ironic that where you are in what must be one of the snowless parts of the region gets the snow tonight but elsewhere doesn't lol

Indeed. Got to admit I have seen decent snow in March. 2006, 2008, 2013 being more recent examples. All had at least 1 decent snow cover of more than a few inches. Wouldn't surprise me if we get the heaviest falls of snow next month! ....Now by April it becomes a lot harder to get a decent fall as ground temps start rising a lot with the increasing solar energy but even then I have known it to happen in the past.

Had a light snow shower in the past 30 mins, no where near heavy enough for a covering though. Still it's promising that they are getting over from the east. They just need to be more organised and heavier.

The Met have issued the advisory, but the wind is now coming from more the north which is normally rubbish for any snow here a long way inland (apart from when troughs are involved). Ideally the wind needs to be more NE/ENE to bring the snow more westwards & over the Pennines. As ever we will see. Turning very dull out there though.

I think with your location being close to the coast it could still be very marginal but you never know. It looks promising next week for sure but I think the relative lack of comments in the model thread is because of the let downs this Winter. People are tired of chasing faux cold. Hopefully we can end this Winter on a very wintry note!