northwestsnow

Suprise suprise.. Here come the Stella winter charts, in spring.

feb1991blizzard would love that in December

Some amazing synoptics on offer this morning. It's after the Lord Mayor's show for me personally after another wretched winter but I can appreciate beautiful synoptics whenever they arise.

As March approaches my attention turns to something dry at least. Little sign of that on the 00z runs.EC if anything deteriates by day 10 .. Another winter passes by with hardly any snow or cold to speak of even up here at 300m ASL. Those Atlantic ssts will need watching as we head towards Autumn ,im blaming the warm seas for the almost relentless rains since November ,locally at least..

Ali1977 typical. 4 weeks earlier a different story..

Dennis I wish I could Dennis .. we be back in November to try again

Dennis sadly Dennis its a lot more rain on EC 00Z.

KTtom for some reason I thought Dennis was in the Nertherlands

Dennis thanks for providing excellent analysis through the winter. I'm sure you are as fed up as we are but you manage to keep optimistic somehow. Sometimes the charts come off ,sometimes they don't ,that's life i guess ..

Guys there is a post mortem thread 00z runs all suggest an angry looking Atlantic midterm with potential for some very snowy weather for high ground up North . For the majority of the country it just looks crap though.

mountain shadow shame because a cold north westerly suits us both ..and that would be some sort of bonus at the end of winter..

GFS ️ EC Hopefully EC an outlier .. Nope, mean is pants..

It would be great if the hard core ( I'm looking at @Ali1977 @feb1991blizzard ) could be rewarded for their persistance. Ive thrown the towel in myself, not because snow isnt possible into march ,because i lose interest mid feb onwards for various reasons..

chrisnoy sorry Chris CC climate change

mulzy bang on . One of the reasons I would never ever dismiss the tremendous work the telecommunications experts do in their field. However, CC is the elephant and one can't help but wonder if background drivers are unable to overcome the warm SSTS in the Atlantic ( stronger jet).

TEITS agreed. I posted on the post mortem thread,a tipping point has been reached for me. The rare times we do see Northern Blocking take hold it simply is no match for the Atlantic and gets blown away rapidly.Perhaps we are seeing CC related warm Atlantic ssts taking over ? I've given up on eps etc,sick to death of reading eps look amazing at day 15 to see as day 0 counts down we get mild south westerlies,it happens every single Winter. Fair play to the hard-core coldies sticking it out.

ENS showing a cooling down just in time for Spring. I'm no nostradamus but it's a hallmark of a rubbish winter..

Imagine if we forward 50 years ( I for one won't be here ) and people talk about this current winter as frigid !! Scary ..

Rush2019 I don't post too much but I just saw your post and wanted to send you my best wishes ,take care and good luck here's to a healthy future for you

Lukesluckybunch We just got to hope we get some dry weather.

chrisnoy meteociel Chris. Click on ECMWF and the 0.4 run.

Again I will post the graph of European winters since 1850 It is absolutely pointless posting a chart from Feb 1922 saying look how mild it was on that particular day or week ,the point is the milder days are becoming more frequent ,the trend is as unambiguous as you could wish for and the warming trend since the late 1980s is clear for all to see...

Mike Poole last line all day long. After 20 years of chasing cold ive reached the tipping point. I'll visit this great site of course and ramp away when the opportunity arises ,but the days of ' oh look at those eps ' at day 15 are over because lets call a spade a spade here , 99% of those cold eps turn out to be cyber / reality cold .

Frigid again I agree with everything you wrote. CC has taken the fun out of the chase because 99% of the time the fabulous eps at day 15 turn out to be a mirage. I don't feel angry , just defeated.

Bristawl Si quite. Except that list has aways been the same ,so what's changed? And yes,things have changed ,dramatically ..