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Everything posted by northwestsnow
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The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
northwestsnow replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
At the very least the above charts showing zonal winds on a downwards curve from around the 15th, won't do any harm thats for sure! -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
northwestsnow replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
^^ Thats the million dollar question, it has had good times, and bad. No model is perfect at such ranges, i think we need to hear from Blue etc. I'm hopeful we will see changes come the festive period but in truth, i don't think anyone really knows just yet.. -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
northwestsnow replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
No problem, lets move on. BBC RAW goes for a good few hours of heavy snow for you, get that alarm clock primed SAT morning obvs.. -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
northwestsnow replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
he is of course being sarcastic in his reply to myself, its blocked to the NE, but part of the problem has been the energy in the Atlantic jet which as he has said himself numerous times is why the block will not hold.. Anyway, there are ways of debating without resorting to sarcasm - so with that in mind i will refrain from further discussion.. -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
northwestsnow replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Im talking about the Atalntic FG.. There has been of course been plenty of blocking at high latitudes -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
northwestsnow replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
The one thats brought us day after day of rain? (OK bar the odd dry one since late November). -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
northwestsnow replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
OK, we are going to have wait a wee while for a change, or potential change. But, i'm seeing glimmers by day 10 this morning of changes , GFS showing signs of Atlantic ridging and i suspect EC would eventually move in that direction. Wouldn't it be lovely to see a move away from this persistent flat Atlantic profile just as we reach christmas !! -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
northwestsnow replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I guess this Alaskan high is a key ingredient for cold fans? -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
northwestsnow replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
brilliant mate PS my son has mental health problems , there are many people all over the world with problems,issues and illnesses. On here, we are snow lovers, so we are one big family, young , old, girl and boy.. -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
northwestsnow replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Well if nothing else, EC rekindles the interest in a snowy saturday for some- Gawd the wifes not going to be happy..(another 23.99 hours a day on here).. -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
northwestsnow replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Nope, NI does OK, far enough north i guess.. -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
northwestsnow replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
You might see some flurries Fri Daniel .. -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
northwestsnow replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
MUCH better ec!! BUT, i just wish the Atlantic would give us a break, every slide there is disruption along comes another low winding up to attack.. -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
northwestsnow replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I actually think its a run loaded with potential but its very different profile to our west at 144 to ukmo so not much confidence in either.. not looked at the strat on GFS , hoping the signal for warming maintained.. -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
northwestsnow replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Wedges make sledges? -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
northwestsnow replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Looks brill.. Was it released on 1st Dec? -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
northwestsnow replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Looks like a displacement at the moment? Think chino has just posted in the strat thread- split is better. -
Stratosphere and Polar Vortex Watch
northwestsnow replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Nice to hear from you Chino, Not sure if thats what i wanted hear mind.- 3,859 replies
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The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
northwestsnow replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Mid term 6z is going to look better than the 00z run imho- bit more amplified in the NW Atlantic.. -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
northwestsnow replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Agreed, i was pinning all my hopes on UKMO 12z.. STILL just about some wriggle room left 96 onwards but think 12zs will be last chance saloon for swing back to the block.. One has to say though, EC/GFS not painting a very pretty picture mid - long term with a very active Atlantic .. -
Stratosphere and Polar Vortex Watch
northwestsnow replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
The warming looks great to our NE - but do we not need the warming to hit the Greenland region? I must admit im even more of a novice wrt the strat but looking at the archive for Febs SSW the Greeny 10 Hpa showed the PV sent packing here as well..- 3,859 replies
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The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
northwestsnow replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
It Says 00z? -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
northwestsnow replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
62%-38% On a favorable outcome MIB? -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
northwestsnow replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
SSW..1st one predicted so far from GFS? -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
northwestsnow replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Does that graphic really show snow and 7 degrees???? I suspect EC is going to be too progressive..