[Model Output Discussion - 05/01/2016 18z onwards]

3 minutes ago, Great Plum said:

Even colder a week Tuesday!!

-6 maximum for Central Scotland. Wow would be nice if it came off

[Model Output Discussion - 05/01/2016 18z onwards]

Just now, Sweatyman said:

That'd be nice for us in brum keiran! 

Haha yes, its been showing atleast a covering of snow in the midlands area a few runs now in a row. Hope it continues all the way to T24

[Model Output Discussion - 05/01/2016 18z onwards]

 

Long way off but Friday continue to looks interesting for a good chunk of england. GFS showing mostly snow

[The Midlands - Weather Chat]

 

Far off but that would give several cm's for the whole midlands region?

[Model Output Discussion - 05/01/2016 18z onwards]

 

Nice chart at 132. High stretching up into greenland. Probably will topple but will keep colder air around our shores for longer

[Model Output Discussion - 05/01/2016 18z onwards]

Still a poor chart but atlantic a little less progressive than 12z at 108. Euro high a little higher as a result. Baby steps....

[The Midlands - Weather Chat]

53 minutes ago, Dancerwithwings said:

This will change from day to day but this is what's on offer today for the week, the snow risk charts show what is on offer at the end of the week.....Happy Days! we hope

Wow looks better than I first thought, I guess it will be a nowcasting kinda day. My area has similar fairly high elevation to you so that should help

[Model Output Discussion - 05/01/2016 18z onwards]

1 minute ago, SLEETY said:

yes but none of those charts were in the reliable time-frame ,so always liable to change ,but it never seems any really cold looking charts past 5-6 days seem to materialise anyway  ,what we have now is just average for jan,not even a cold spell if the latest temps shown are correct later in the week,today was just as cold as the temps shown later in the week,what a shame from what even the met office tweeted a few days ago ,oc in the north and 4c in the south from wed onwards next week  not happening now .

At this point I would happily take a covering of snow for the midlands then the cold spell can be replaced by warmer air which now looks odds on. Im allready looking ahead to next potential colder weather. Hopefully it will be a cold spell rather than cold snap :\

[Model Output Discussion - 05/01/2016 18z onwards]

1 minute ago, Grimsby Snow Lover said:

You may well be correct mate, but worth remembering that the cold spell hasn't even begun yet and past history has shown at cold air at the surface is quite hard to shift even if the upper temperature are on the rise in fi. With the spread shown on the gas ensembeles and the ukmonshowing a quite different scenario in feel it is too early to believe the end games shown by the gfs or ecmwf are a done deal yet. The output could flip tomorrow. You never know. Let's just enjoy the cold this week as us collies have been waiting months and months for this. 

Yeah good point, hopefully another shift in the models will happen soon (hopefully towards the UKMO solution). Just hope a change in pattern happens soon as its starting to look inevitable that we will be back in warmer air next week

[The Midlands - Weather Chat]

Can someone tell me what are the chances that Birmingham see's snow Thursday/Friday?

[Model Output Discussion - 05/01/2016 18z onwards]

Most if not all models now showing a breakdown of this cold pattern so not much hope from me. Even todays UKMO shows the cold will hang on an extra day or 2 before the warmer air returns. Thursday seems the best day of the bunch with snow chances for most areas. Such depressing charts compared to the ones we were seeing 4/5 days ago