PsychedelicTony
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Posts posted by PsychedelicTony
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Just absolutely chucked it down here... With rain. Bit of hail mixed in. 130m up but on the coast in North Wales. In fact looking along A55 traffic cameras looks like rain everywhere. Inland though someones gonna get an instant covering I wouldve thought.
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Raining here on the coast. After a hard frost last night.
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2 hours ago, georgiedre said:
Some wet snow this lunchtime falling at near sea level in nw wales.. Good signs for tonight. Could be surprising snowy.. I would imagine @Liam Ellis up in deiniolen is having some big flakes
Llandudno looking towards Liverpool about half an hour ago
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Its all sleet, hail and mostly RAIN here near Rhyl.
Car temp says 1c
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Just Rain from this 130m up in Llandudno. Hopefully a different story inland.
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On the otherhand last April temps were widely 21c 22c in the Northwest, similar up on the Orme. Brillaint spring sunshine. T-shirt and shorts.
Headed down to West Shore Beach, picnic, football, beers..to be greated with thick Sea Mist 14c.
Quite an amazing contrast,
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We got a decent fall last year and there was next to nothing in town but as you say largely mild here compared to Manchester.
Ive noticed it is on average just 1c colder up on the Orme than at sea level.
I'm still getting to grips with the local conditions.Seems most heavy preciptiion hits Colwyn Bay area or diverts down along the Conwy valley.
Having said that locals in the area on twitter were amazed last year when i posted the snow on the Orme.
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A lot of snow on the Welsh mountains on way home from work. Clouds looking like they were delivering more.
Nice to look at from a distance. Of course nothing lower down.
Have been used to this after living in Manchester for years and working to the south of Stockport and being able to see the Peaks. Pasted
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3 minutes ago, Weather-history said:
No, the shower has passed through a few minutes ago.
I saw myself and it sure as hell looked like snow to me.
However, as I say, I can only report hail
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8 minutes ago, Weather-history said:
I think its snowing at Llandudno
Bizarre, I'm at least 130m higher up and last shower was hail.
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35.6c RAF Northolt Sat 29th June
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Potential for Mr. P. Dangler to show his face?
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12 minutes ago, SnowThunder said:
2010 was when we had record low for December of -17, I remember in the 90's as well we had a good snow event too that wasn't as cold as 2010 but provided more snow before that I was too young to remember
The Dec 2010 low temps were ridiculous, -10 at 4pm only 3 miles outside a major urban city centre. I built my daughter a sledge out of a bread crate but then had to pull her round for an hour as it just wasn't cutting through the snow. I built up a sweat at -10!
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54 minutes ago, IM NOT REALLY HERE said:
Watching the Radar and seeing this front pivot over South Wales and parts of the south west is amazing, just shows you how in the right setup you can get hours upon hours of continuous snowfall.
Can anybody remember an event which pivoted over us like that?
It looks like it's stallling due to the ENE winds rather than a proper pivot which sends the preciptional spiralling round pivot point.
Happened a few years back, possibly Feb or March 2014 not sure, pivot point South Manchester, remained largely dry sent snow up to Yorkshire and back where it came from North Wales.
I asked on the mod thread the other day about this pivot point senario because in my experience if you are right on the pivot point. you actually get virtually nothing. The reply was at the pivot point you get the most (snow)
If it stalls over you yep. But not pivot, I could be well wrong that's why I asked. Anyone?
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1 hour ago, Joe Bloggs said:
This is such a good post.
A “cold westerly” delivers to lowland south Manchester once every 4-5 years or so. It is just about the only setup which delivers here, certainly more than a light dusting.
Every time it happens the Met Office always underplays it and it often comes as a surprise - I genuinely think yesterday morning warranted an amber warning here but the streamer was barely mentioned on forecasts the day before.
Sometimes local knowledge is the best forecast - predicting convective streamers relies on knowing what has delivered in the past, given a very specific wind direction and speed.
Do you remember the ruler straight westerly streamer of Dec 2009? Or was it 2010. Pretty sure 2009. Straight off the Irish. No more than 10/15 miles North to South. Inches and Inches off that in South Manchester. Really localised.
Another great event was the Jan2010 Northerly trough which delivered big time for a lot of the region as a whole.
I still reckon winters of 2009 and 2010 will become added to the mythological one's of '47 '63 '79 '81 etc.
Feb 1996 another one that gave a decent covering in Chorlton/South Manc although nowhere near as much as previously mentioned events.
Having moved to North Wales I'm still getting my bearings on local conditions. Weird seeing a streamer set up and no idea where it's gonna hit. When you've lived somewhere for years you instinctively know where is in the firing line, or more importantly where is not!
I'm still thinking "We are gonna cop this off the Irish" but I'm well out! Learning curve for me again.
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UK high pressure precursor to many a cold spell.
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OK maybe South East looking good to be fair. As that's a phone screen shot when is that for?
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Forgive me for massively over simplifying things, but some of these winter "events" are near enough repeater events to an extent. After living in Manchester for nearly 30 years I knew as well many of you that this current event would correct well, well south.
If Northern extent modelled Stoke or Liverpool/Hull then there's no chance. As you will know. Gone well south of most models predictions today though.
Further to that if you got a cold Westerly or West North West direction even lowland South Manchester can cop it big time. It's rare but I see Chorlton did well on Tues night, good to see the pics of a decent cover.
I reckon a lot of toys will be out of the prams tonight midlands/ some parts of south east when they get nowt.
Very poorly modelled really this "event" at short range, the weather don't give a damm about the models and just carries on. Human input will be needed for some time I reckon. For most parts of the North West these systems pushing up from the South West are a waste of time. Lose energy/ don't track far enough north / fizzle out or pivot.
I did find that sometimes on a NE though the showers made it over Pennines and we're quite intense as to give hope for next couple days in North West.
Good luck guys. It's definitely colder your way than here!
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20 minutes ago, Buddiefan said:
Yes,you have a good stream of showers set up there. Just missing the island unfortunately
Has been backbuilding since 9am. Gone very light now, think it's running out of steam. But still, can't grumble
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9 minutes ago, NoTraction said:
Icon - Welshpool
Arpege - Welshpool.
Hirlam - Liverpool
Gfs - Liverpool
Gfsp - Chester
Also to add possibly coldest night this winter tonight so ground will be hard cold which is what we want
In the balance then for me..but as I said it's still chucking it down now so good luck to others for tomorrow
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It's game on here now! So if it doesn't reach this far north tomorrow at least we've had some. Good luck for others further South.
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1 minute ago, NoTraction said:
Icon 06z also a great run for us tomorrow keeping things further south which means less marginal at the coast.
Gfs 06z slightly further north Cardif still all snow... It then goes on to build a scandi high by Tuesday putting us in an easterly flow
Hirlam 06z good run 12+ hours of snow
Arpege 06z good run 11+ hours of snow more marginal for Pembrokeshire Carmarthenshire on the coast but is out weighed by the rest of the suites
Will definitely be Amber warnings out for south wales based on that lot
Hi..what's the northern extent on each, Mid Wales?
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Mini streamer in the North showing as sleet on radar but all snow.
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North West Regional Discussion 30 December 2020 onwards
in Regional
Posted
Just had really heavy rain here in Llandudno
Bit of hail mixzd in. As you said, thoroughly miserable day. Memorable only for the rare frost this morning.