[Yorkshire and E England regional discussion]

Just now, cheese said:

And then nothing else at all

[Yorkshire and E England regional discussion]

Here’s the ring road In Wortley Leeds this afternoon

 

Snow now big flakes too

[Yorkshire and E England regional discussion]

1 minute ago, cheese said:

Settling on all surfaces here.

Maybe you’ll get the 2-3cm before it even starts tomorrow

[Yorkshire and E England regional discussion]

1 minute ago, Staffordshire said:

Where are you based?

Bramley/Pudsey border actually can hear the rain on the windows over the football on tv. It’s been relentless all day. The ring road at Wortley shut earlier as it was submerged 

[Yorkshire and E England regional discussion]

8 minutes ago, Love Snow said:

Full blizzard here already covered the cars hard to see on video but get the idea 

I’m probably only 6 miles from Morley and it’s hammering down with rain! Tbf it’s slightly higher where you are not by much though 

[Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?]

Just look at the difference of that cold pool to,the east. Bigger and colder and closer. 

 

[Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?]

Colder run earlier for sure. 18z  first 

 

[Yorkshire and E England regional discussion]

16 minutes ago, Brassmonkeylily said:

Well the most balanced view I have heard today .... excellent summary and explains all the options and of course the fine margins but all to play for

They don’t expect the mild weather to even get across the uk late next week. Very interesting 

[Meto Uk Further Outlook]

Mmm very interesting 10 day trend video thanks for that. At the most they think the lows will only get as far as central uk meaning significant snow here and mild weather gets no further.

[Yorkshire and E England regional discussion]

I’m currently part furloughed and my days off next week are Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday. My teenage daughter has additional needs and is currently in school as she has ADHD and Autism. She has asked me to take her to school next week to which I’ve said ‘I’m not sure it will be open’. 
 

And finally I agree with other posts it’s unbearable in the MOD thread today. Can’t even be bothered posting. And boy if you dare to question the south getting snow you’re borderline banned. 
 

P.s great to see posts from Kasim and Scott. Thoughts as always with your mum Scott

[Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?]

A quick check of some GEFS shows quite the difference in the 850's and where that boundary lies. Expected I suppose but does show the op is just another variation on where that line is

 

[Yorkshire and E England regional discussion]

22 minutes ago, winterof79 said:

Loving it in the mod thread. Amber warning post removed....lol

Lets see if anyone posts warnings for the south over the weekend

Oh you bet they will stay. Apparently the 18z isn't a good run. They Fail to mention we get a load of snow up here still. 

[Yorkshire and E England regional discussion]

Great timing this time. Car all safely parked up and I'm not in work tomorrow as I'm part furloughed. Instead looks like a nice walk in the snow instead. Looking good for a decent event now even down to low levels

[Yorkshire and E England regional discussion]

3 minutes ago, Scott Ingham said:

Sorry guys.

My mums still in a really bad way.

I just wanted to post to quickly say tonight in my opinin is being underestimated.

The trend today has been to keep the front as all snow in Yorkshire.

Euro4 12z.

Run this model through look at the parameters look at when milder air runs through.

Its AFTER precipitation has left us at 9am.

I feel 5cm - 8cm fairly widely due to the strength of the band and 3+ hours of evaporative cooling. 

Im going against the mets conservative amounts as was the case a few weeks ago 

Ill be lingering but not posting or taking charts in much detail as this would be wrong but my own opinion is the ecm12z is bang on the money for the weekend.

If anyone saw the last ec46. The coldest period was mid month after.

Notice first signs of a scandi high building 240+ hours. 

I expect this to build due to diving low pressure from a greater atlantic influence in week 2 as spotted by blue army with then another retrogression to greenland due to solid mjo phase 7/8 impacts only then flitering through and a boost off +AAM from am excellent wind pattern near the equator.

For me minimum of 10-14 days impactive cold from saturday this week omwards which for my own forecast first week of december is amazing to see come to fruition!

Take care all and enjoy some snow tomorrow morning hopefully!!

Great to hear from you Scott. Thanks for your insight into the snow for tomorrow. Really hope your mum is ok. No need to explain your absence. It’s only the weather at the end of the day and of course your attention should be on your mum at this time. Sending best wishes from us all on netweather especially the Yorkshire thread. Take care mate

[Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?]

1 minute ago, feb1991blizzard said:

Long way to go still yet, need it or something similar to verify!

Agreed. But let's not think about that till tomorrow.

[Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?]

5 minutes ago, feb1991blizzard said:

BOOM!

Just when you thought we couldn't get anymore upgrades we have Feb Boooooming. All we need now is Crewe on board and it's game set and match

 

[Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?]

Well well the GFS 18z throws open its pub doors, and says I'll take the £10,000 fine, everyone's welcome

 

 

But a word of warning. Before the 0z's it's important to let you know, the pramstore is only doing click and collect

[Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?]

While we are nervously watching the ECM from behind the sofa (well I'm behind the garden fence). 

P11 says you may need your big coat

[Model output discussion 24/01/21]

From a NH perspective some would come close to 2010.

 

[Model output discussion 24/01/21]

Well we all like to refer to the cold spell of 87. But there was a memorable quote from a certain forecaster over another event that year.
And thinking of that, we’ve had a few people calling in saying there’s going to be more than a single cherry picked GEFS member posted tonight. Well don’t worry there isn’t 

 

[Model output discussion - into the last third of January]

P18 is out to 276h and WOW

 

[Meto Uk Further Outlook]

Mmmm not sure this is an upgrade in all honesty. With these Meto updates is always wise to look for what wording they drop too. And like Mountain Shadow says significant snowfall is now dropped. I’m not saying it’s a bad update by any means, just something to be aware of

[Yorkshire and E England regional discussion]

Snowing here in West Leeds. Great input by Scott and Kasim a credit to this forum. Thanks guys

[Model output discussion - cold spell approaching?]

I'm getting really fed up waiting for the 12z GEFS. 

 

So I've decided a game of GEFS 6z Bingo is needed

Eyes down, anyone who gets a full house please shout Marginal Uppers

First up

2 little ducks frozen on the lake 22

I

1 and 9 frozen on the Tyne 19

Fat lady singing number 8

 

And on its own number 6

[Model output discussion - another cold spell on the horizon?]

Now to my untrained eye the GFS 6z and 12z have some slight differences out in FI

 

 

And the GFSP gets sent to his room with no tea