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cheshireoak

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Posts posted by cheshireoak

  1. 7 minutes ago, James M said:

    It really bothers me too, as someone interested in astronomy. It just gets worse as the days go by, I can only hope we can find a solution one day.

    Yeah it's a frustration, especially here South of Manchester where Manchester's light pollution obscures the Northern horizon most of the time. The amount of local development isn't helping either..

    • Like 7
  2. 52 minutes ago, Joe Snow said:

    Yeah Woodford has its own microclimate it’s a shame there isn’t a official weather station there any more - NE Cheshire  Poynton, Macclesfield, Woodford, Bramhall heading up into the Peak District - higher Poynton, Lyme Park, Marple that kind of area  all do pretty well for Winter snow by NW England standards. There was 9cm on the ground here in South Cheshire when Woodford 20 miles away hit -16c in Jan 2010  when they had close to a ft of snow on the ground after the 5th Jan 2010 event. Rostherne, Knutsford & Reaseheath Hall, Nantwich stations are both pretty similar stations in terms of local climate - Reaseheath  perhaps a bit more sheltered by the Welsh Hills and at a lower altitude slightly warmer in summer, lower recorded snow depths etc... Would have been better to have a station near Macclesfield for example & Reaseheath as Cheshire stations. 

    Yes, local variations in East Cheshire can be stark. As Kasim mentioned earlier small altitude differences can make big differences in snow cover, but exact streamer orientation as controlled by wind direction can also create big snow cover variations. There are one or two significant local frost hollows in the area-the Dane valley can channel and hold cold air rolling off the hills, as can some of the hollows with lakes like Redesmere. I tend to think our coldest nights are  (obs) high pressure conditions, but with snow cover on the hills encouraging cold dense air to sink and hold  in the hollows. The macc-leek road by the canal  where it runs through a shallow valley is another local cold spot.

    • Like 6
    • Insightful 1
  3. 1 hour ago, Rush2019 said:

    January 2010 wasn't that also the big freeze at Woodford, got to - 17.6°C

    Dec 2022 froze my washing machine pipe, water would not empty, -10°C

    Currently -3°C.

    Yeah remember those. Coldest I can remember was 1981-did about -18.5 here (same time it did -26 at Shawbury). Absolutely wildly cold. Currently -4.2 and still steadily falling.

    • Like 6
  4. 1 minute ago, cheshireoak said:

    Another interesting day in the marginals-didn't freeze that night, cloud sheet held on temperatures stuck at +0.4. Quite dense fog formed between 8 and 10am, after that skies cleared. Temps now-2.7 and falling-going to be a cold one. Not sure if we might get some snow showers Thursday/Friday. Some interest on Sunday with a weather warning and potentially strong gales after that gradual return to cold-hope so enjoying the drier conditions.

    Should have been a question mark after sudden return to cold!!!!

    • Like 5
  5. Another interesting day in the marginals-didn't freeze that night, cloud sheet held on temperatures stuck at +0.4. Quite dense fog formed between 8 and 10am, after that skies cleared. Temps now-2.7 and falling-going to be a cold one. Not sure if we might get some snow showers Thursday/Friday. Some interest on Sunday with a weather warning and potentially strong gales after that gradual return to cold-hope so enjoying the drier conditions.

    • Like 5
  6. Well interesting day in marginals-decent snow until about 9.00am or so. Snow hung around until about 2.00pm then steady thaw, I guess as warm sector came through. Snow hanging around in Macc area but largely gone to south. Currently +0.5 and falling slowly with some cloud cover. Next couple of days look dry unless we get streamers setting up. (Unless I've missed something). Potential for wild and wet at the weekend.

    • Like 8
  7. 2 hours ago, Weather-history said:

    BBC forecast based on ECM 0z op run.

    Why on earth would you show this that far ahead?  They showed, a couple or so years back, an ECM 240hr chart that was a huge outlier . Unbelievable.

    apologies-just catching up. Don't think I can ever remember snow forecast that far ahead with what looks like at least a degree of confidence. interesting though.

    • Like 6
  8. 2 minutes ago, WillinGlossop said:

    Whilst here and west from here to Manchesterford in a se wind we’re in a rain shadow if we have easterly or north easterly we’re fine… definitely nw streamers off the Irish Sea also deliver here…  anyhow its miles away in weather terms… I’ll be getting excited if there are still decent Synoptics come Sunday… we’ll be driving back from weekend in Newcastle ⚽⚽⚽⚽

    Yeah  bound to happen when driving-I've got a couple of trips coming up. I guess the local factor is one of the reasons why snow is so hard to forecast. Just wish I had a little more altitude!

    • Like 7
  9. 32 minutes ago, Iceaxecrampon said:

    Bit overcooked GFS -17 Gloucester 😲

    IMG_8143.thumb.webp.926c253ba366d4e5084b534338d3b374.webp

    yeah that would be interesting. That's getting comparable to 1981. High pressure, embedded cold, snow cover and locally cold air rolling off the Peak district. locally I've seen a few minus 10 to middle teens in similar set ups. 1981 was memorable family van frozen into slush but it wouldn't start anyway cos the diesel had gone thick! Outstanding moonlit sledging though!

    • Like 9
  10. 3 hours ago, WillinGlossop said:

    Or as it’s currently modelled the dreaded se wind 🙈🙈🙈

    Interestingly Will, the old boys round here always used to reckon we got our biggest snows off a SE wind (wind blowing from Bosley cloud-I had to walk to Congleton over the fields 'cos the roads were filled in' etc, etc). I  guess from a set up like this one potentially, with a low sliding through to the south.  Straight easterlies usually sticks the marginals squarely in the rain shadow. Although I do like North Westers with embedded polar lows! (Can dream I suppose)

    • Like 7
  11. 12 minutes ago, Joe Snow said:

    Stunning outlook. Would be interested to hear @Cheshire Freeze @damianslaw & @Kasim Awan’s view on potential for severe cold & snow from a NW England perspective into mid month. You’ve got the technical knowledge I wish I had! 😄 + I think some of you also signalled a potential blocked pattern pre winter too. Are we primed for a 09/10/ Jan 2013 redux that we can count down to  or is it merely fantasy chart viewing at the moment? ⛄🥶❄️ 

    That's kind of what iIm wondering Joe (although I'm hoping more early- mid 80's!). The way weather patterns appear to work these days I wouldn't be surprised if we didn't switch very quickly from full Atlantic train to long term blocking with a slowly wandering High Pressure. 

    • Like 6
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