cheshireoak
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Posts posted by cheshireoak
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Think WiB has had some grief about this topic that certainly isn't necessary. Possibly not an extraordinary storm, but certainly a tight and deepening feature that looks set to cause some local issues. Here in the East Cheshire marginals storms on this track have caused some problems in the past, particularly on the rear edge when winds briefly funnel down the Irish sea and through the Mersey Estuary into the Cheshire gap. Wouldn't be surprised if some amber warnings get posted in next hour or so.
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Sticking level seems to be about 100m. Sticking OK in Macc and slushy on roads. Wetter down here on the A34 corridor but some on grass. 0.4c light/moderate snow. Could be really entertaining if it freezes.
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-1.3c breeze just getting up a bit, fog lifted, bit of a cloud sheet coming over. Wouldn't be surprised if we get a period of light snow before it turns to rain.
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Light covering above 400ft in marginal East Cheshire, but hills white over. Looks like that first batch of showers tanking through between Macc and South Manchester
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3.3c here in the marginal belt, surprisingly some sleet and wet snow in the wind. Could have chance later.
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Beat me to it Carl!!
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Good to see some heavy snow even if it's not sticking. Mids thread suggest reversion to rain is pretty fast though.
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Heavyish wet snow in the East Cheshire marginal belt at 100m asl. Not really sticking.
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Sleety with odd wet flake here between Macc and Congleton at 100masl. Not looking too thrilling.
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Raining hard between Macc and Congy, wind not got up yet. Altitude required for snow I fear-ah well (again).
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3.8 degrees and steady rain here in the marginal. Some sleetiness in the heavier bursts and temperature appears to be dropping steadily. Forecast still looks hopeful in this part of the world over night but i'm expecting snow east of a line from Congleton-Macclesfield-Stockport. As an aside yesterday's fall, short lived as it was, was a real surprise with settling snow down to about 100m.
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Definitely v windy in East Cheshire-trunks of large Oaks moving slightly. Gusts seem to be picking up so possibly not quite at peak yet-bit concerned for when winds back to NW which is often worse for this location. 4-5 degrees C. Some sleetiness-heaviest rain seems to have passed.
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80mph would definitely be lively for this part of the world. In set ups like this I've noticed areas of increased wind speed embedded in the flow-almost like micro-burst (stings?) that knock down trees or take the top out of Oaks in a definite line across the countryside. Back in the day I was sad enough to plot these on an OS map and check the bearings (!)-typically it appears to be associated with a NW or WNW flow just behind a cold front. The charts for Thursday look like a similar set up for this sort of situation.
Edit-Just spotted Weirpig's post-is that the sort of short term variation in track that we were talking about previously!
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Looks like North West and North Midlandss could get this one straight in the teeth! My part of the world in East Cheshire has got away with it over the last few years so it could be our turn. Can't see this storm do anything other than deepen, the tricky fly in the ointment could be short term variations in track especially as it looks like a small and tight feature-will be putting away and tying down tomorrow!
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Radar shows one or two more organised precipitation bands upstream-Little troughs in an unstable North Westerly flow I guess. Hard to estimate the track though. Looks like a bit of an Irish sea/Mersey streamer developing.
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0.5 degrees currently between Congleton and Macclesfield at about 100m altitude. Shower clouds rattling through. Snowed quite heavily this afternoon but didn't settle. Made hills white over with snow lying above about 150m.
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All,
First post here so please treat me gently! Interesting synoptics despite this weeks probably brief warm up. I've been lurking for many years and the charts/models seem to indicate to me the possibility of a euro-high regressing to Scandinavian/Shetland centralised high leading to the possibility of longish term blocking. As said new to this and can't quote evidence, but I've been watching for plenty of years and some of the recurring chart patterns put me in mind of winters past when something similar has happened. Can anyone add a bit of science to this?-or tell me why it won't happen!
Thanks
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Northwest Weather Discussion
in Northwest Weather Discussion
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Light covering between Macc and Congleton. -1. Radar looks interesting upstream.