TonyH

Indeed imagine how unpopular he would be this morning if he'd told us we'd all be waking up to a covering

Hats off to Derek for calling this one correct, little in the way of snow across Wales.

Agreed its going as expected some spots epecially above 200m will get a covering tonight.

Thousands of miles over a warm Atlantic warming surface layers, plus its windy mixing the air up.

As usual height is everything

Trouble is that up to later Saturday there are 'warm' sectors coming down from the NW, doubt we will get much in the way of snow (below 200m) until Saturday night and then dependent on how showers align.

Dont get too excited many of the showers across Wales are sleet or rain this evening (not that there are many in the first place)

Looks like they veer more NW in the morning, still sub -5c uppers and sub 0c DP at that stage but milder uppers/ DPs arrive by evening. Seems not cold enough for snow all Friday then conditions set to turn more favourable and northerly during Saturday according to GFS.

-7c uppers and we are still marginal! Does nt feel cold enough here, 3.5c/ dp 0.2c.

Mild night with a little rain or drizzle at times, moderate SW breeze. Squally heavy rain and hail showers around 0900, a few more showers to 1100. Cloud broke 1100 to sunny intervals and mostly dry. Fresh to strong west/ NW wind. Rather cold. 24 hour min 2.5c @ 1727 Overnight min 5.5c yesterday evening 24 hour max 9.1c @ 0643 Daytime max 6.5c @ 0900 Rain yesterday 6.0mm Rain since 0900 today 3.5mm approx Est sun 3 hours Max gust SW 36mph @ 0812 Currently Clear spells, quite windy 3.5c/ 79%/ 1003mbar steady

Still a way off could be totally different at 4 days away.

Yep nothing since the hail showers this morning!

4.1c/ dp 0.8c ingredients getting there just need the showers!

I'm another rain fan

Cold front coming through here currently, getting heavy showers with hail and squally winds, more important though the temperature is plummeting, down from 9.1c (max) at 0700 to 5.9c now and dropping!

Speak for your own area, inland West Wales will do well from snow showers later today through to tomorrow, then marginality sets in before very cold air arrives Saturday night or Sunday!

But surely he would not let personal preferences affect his forecasting judgement?

I tweeted Derek that I expect a couple of inches here Wed/ Thu and he favourited it

No bias at all - we are in a mild sector and around 10c first thing tomorrow then a sharp drop off afternoon:

Light showers early last night, clear intervals, light NW breeze. Mostly cloudy today, a few spits of drizzle. Light to moderate west to SW breeze. Min 2.7c @ 0831 Max 7.1c @ 1258 Rain yesterday 1.0mm Trace rain since 0900 today Est sun Nil Max gust West 15mph @ 1514 Currently Cloudy 5c/ 96%/ 1024mbar falling

Spells of rain and drizzle last night, mild, light Sw then west breeze. Rather cloudy morning, sunny intervals afternoon, a few brief light showers. Moderate NW breeze. Past 24 hours to min 5.8c currently Past 24 hours Max 9.1c @ 0350 Overnight min 6.1c @ 0830 Daytime max 7.1c @ 1300 Rain yesterday 5.3mm Rain since 0900 today Trace Est sun 2 hours Max gust NW 21mph @ 1216 Currently Rather cloudy and breezy 5.8c/ 85%/ 1028mbar rising slowly

As in more likely to get snow? If so I agree.

Our northerlies ain't what they used to be https://xmetman.wordpress.com/2015/01/26/thumping-the-528-line/

I will try legritter, that is if we get any snow showers? Pretty sure we will though!

Its never nailed on