Ice Man 85
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Posts posted by Ice Man 85
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3 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:
Becoming hot and humid next week? find out below
Find out what? She gives no info whatsoever.
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Just now, damianslaw said:
Unfortunately more likely - a break from the also unusually dry benign conditions of the last 14 months, back to something much wetter, and typically remaining mild.. wet mild autumns and winters are miserable in too many ways.. Looking forward to that solar minimum.. another year to get through yet..
It makes me sad to see charts like that. I am an avid lover of cold and crisp, clear winter days (where high pressure is actually welcome) are wonderful.
Then we have the conditions those charts are going for; which would be near endless rain and overcast. With mild days and nights. Not to mention the threat to peoples homes once again.
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3 minutes ago, damianslaw said:
Summer 1995 is a high benchmark for those in west Scotland, N Ireland and Cumbria, one that all summers are compared by, on account of the sustained very warm, sunny and notably dry conditions, not bettered since. Indeed on a par with 1976 I think. It was a superb summer. Would be very happy to see the rest of the year pan out like 1995, warmest driest and sunniest August on record here, followed by a very wet cool September - an unusual combination, a dry sunny warm October, a chilly November with some early snowfall, then a snowy very cold December, with exceptional cold christmas week - if 2018 could follow in similiar vein to Jan-Mar 96 I'd be very happy indeed.. not too much to ask, the sustained warm weather of the past 14 months has to break at some stage..
If the long range charts are right, it won't be this year. mild, wet and stormy by the looks of it.
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1 minute ago, Frosty. said:
You could say the same thing about extreme cold in winter but it doesn't stop most of us chasing it!
Well the long range charts are going for wet and stormy this year from the look of things. Those in cumbria and flood-prone areas might want to invest in insurance if they're right. We'd run out of alphabet letters before we hit november.
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1 minute ago, DAVID SNOW said:
GFS favours more of a continental feed, ECM, bit more of a North Sea influence.
I could be desperately hope casting though.
I fear you might be. We really need this country in a more northernly latitude. Would actually give us a better chance of proper winter too (temp-wise at least), which the long range charts are looking to deny us again. Those in cumbria etc might want to invest in flood insurance.
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1 minute ago, DAVID SNOW said:
That's a tad on the warm side Dan.
GFS12z det, near the top of its ensembles.
I noticed that about the ensembles. Still those same colours on the thickness charts produced upper 20s back in June for my area.
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8 minutes ago, DAVID SNOW said:
ECM not as hot as the GFS, long way to go before anything is nailed here though......
What is it showing out of interest? I would have though 24-25 at least.
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1 hour ago, DAVID SNOW said:
ECMWF out soon....
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From my my limited knowledge of interpreting the ECM, its going the same way as the GFS. GEM on its own right now and not many take it seriously anyway.
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6 minutes ago, Mark wheeler said:
Look away now summer coldies , nice charts for summer lovers of a bit of settled warmth .
If you class low 30s as warm (hell, most of you do). And I've never once advocated cold weather in the Summer. I'd take 20-22 (which is above average for us) with no problem. Sadly though, we clearly cannot have pleasant weather in the UK. As soon as HP shows itself, we get outputs like this; humid and uncomfortable with the lovely 18-21c nights that go with it. Bit ironic coming from someone that doesn't like oppressive temperatures like you.
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Just now, Steel City Skies said:
Gotta love this thread when a warm spells shows up in the output
22 is warm. What the GFS is showing is stifling, humid and uncomfortable.
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Pretty much sums me up right now.
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27 minutes ago, markyo said:
Latest charts look totally disgusting,every bit of me that can be crossed will be that a lot of modification takes place rapidly!
Tell me about it. All the signs are there for the Armageddon beginning next Tuesday. Its a total contrast to the 0 and 6Z though and the GEM isn't on board either. I'm hoping with all my heart its an outlier, but I don't think I'm that lucky.
Not looking good for Autumn/Winter either from the long range signals either. This is shaping up to be one rubbish year weather-wise for me.
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This is shaping up to be one horrible year weather-wise for me: mild winter, warm spring, very warm summer (damn the GFS
), warm autumn and possibly a mild winter There is no hope anymore.
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2 hours ago, CreweCold said:
Woohoo- love autumn.
Don't think the thread is that early and I don't think that the summer lovers can moan, given the weather we've had so far this summer. They must be satisfied with what they've seen so far, surely.
You'd think so, but most of them whinge if it falls below 20c
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We need something to look forward to.
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16 minutes ago, A Frayed Knot said:
1) Its 15 days away
2) Its the GFS
3) Its the GFS 18z
4) The temps on that chart are 5-10c below what 40c is saying. Even the GFS doesn't undercook that much.
5) The ensembles don't agree with it.
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For anyone who has reverse S.A.D, the summer model outputs have been akin to a diet; the 0z runs put me off my breakfast and the 12z runs put me off my tea. I literally just feel sick. Just makes you not want to wake up in the morning.
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1 minute ago, Frosty. said:
Notice on the Gfs 12z, sorry I can't post charts right now but it shows high pressure across the south next weekend but it's deceptive because there is also a front with a band of rain on it heading south but weakening as it moves into the higher pressure but at least temperatures rise again further south towards the mid 20's celsius next weekend and into week 2..still disappointingly cool and changeable further n / nw..just how much more dross does scotland have to endure this summer?
The only time I'd say "endure" would be the winter where they often get heavy and disruptive snow. As for this summer. they've been really lucky so far; barely scraped 22c after May. I'd take their summer over ours in england any day of the week.
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2 hours ago, markyo said:
Keep being positive,fingers,toes anything else crossed the longer range signals are wrong
I pray to god they are. Otherwise I'll be looking for the nearest bridge to jump from...
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37 minutes ago, Spikey M said:
As long as October knows it's place this year. None of this Indian Summer nonsense please!
Yep. The Azores High spoils every season where it shows its ugly face.
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1 hour ago, davehsug said:
The permanent autumn brigade must be delighted!
Jammy sods. I'd trade their summer for ours in england any day of the week.
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3 hours ago, markyo said:
Not surprised,i couldn't stand it either,keep ticking those days off to better days to come!
either 50-odd or 60-odd depending on where autumn starts for you. meteorological being the former, astronomical being the latter. Either way it can't come soon enough. The longer range signals are pointing to something very nasty indeed.
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Really don't like what the models are hinting at at the end of the runs. The GEM 12z is dreadful. Can't wait until this vile season (and everything associated with it) is over for another year. Where's a DeLorien when you need one?
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1 minute ago, Ed Stone said:
I agree, Ice Man...It must be the oxymoron of oxymorons!
Being able to enjoy heat is enviable imo. The thought of it is enough to make me feel sick.
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North West England Regional Weather Discussion 23/04/2017 onwards
in Regional
Posted
Don't be a tease