StormLoser
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Posts posted by StormLoser
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1 minute ago, Thunderspotter said:
Change the live data setting from lightningmaps.org to the other one. It takes a few more seconds, but is much more accurate.
Thanks! I switched it to 'Both'. Hope that does the trick.
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Not sure about that Lightning Map.org. there's some odd strikes in the middle of storm-free areas to the west of me.
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Oh - a cell popping up just south of me! The "Reigate Corridor" phenomenon might be broken as a meteorological model I just made up this afternoon.
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I'm watching France, and noticing the development of what is meteorologically known as a "Reigate Corridor". This phenomenon can be seen clearly wherein the large mass of thundery rain in north-west France heading north to England will pass to the east of Reigate, and the showers forming in Cherbourg area, will move north and pass to the west of Reigate. This phenomenon will leave Reigate free of any thundery activity, and its residents utterly depressed.
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I thoroughly enjoyed my heavy rain and one rumble of distant thunder today. I should have known the Met Office's weather warning would be the death knell of anything fun.
There's not a lot going on for later this evening. The odd little cell puttering about doesn't exactly look promising. Not even sure about the veracity of the current CAPE chart either. Looks to be further south to me.
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8 minutes ago, Eagle Eye said:
What on earth is going on south of the SE. That's gotta be some highly sheared heavy drizzle.
Windy seems to show a run of northerly air close up the French coast to Boulogne. Maybe that's disrupting the trough?
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Looking interesting for Reigate at long last. Estofex even give the south a Level 1! I watched the Brighton Webcams and saw one solid strike out at sea.
There seem to be cells going up just ahead of the main trough, too.
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1 hour ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:
It’s a butser hill event I reckon.
Was it you who was planning the tissue paper art event??
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Morning
Another day, another Yellow Weather Warning. Sadly, I think the chances of electricals are low for my area. The GFS charts are limp at the best of times.
We might get a bit of rain, which will subdue the tumbleweed blowing around the sandscape that was once our garden. Rain is good.
If anything turns up, I'll let you know.
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Morning all!
Very many thanks to you for your films and photos. It looks like it was a memorable day for many of you. Naturally I got nothing here in my own personal storm-avoidance zone. And I don't think I'm up for much luck today either.
So, cheers for posting your stuff - I enjoyed looking through the posts!
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Who nicked my thunderstorms?!! Faded out, they did. What a cheek.
I hope some of you are having better luck than me.
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Morning all. Things are looking up a bit for some action, but I don't think I can push Nick Finnis a few tenners to increase his storm risk from 20% here in the Reigate area. Hmm. Come on, Mr Finnis...
The Met Office doesn't seem to know which week it is, so I'm going to count on you folks to watch what goes on. If anything happens here I'll keep you posted.
Happy hunting!
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Having crawled out of hospital after a bout of pneumonia (storm watching going well this year, isn't it?) I'm frowning over our Met Office's rather bland yellow-egg-flambe plastered with hardly a care over the centre of the UK.
Saturday GFS and Estofex seem happier with a western-oriented breakdown over north Wales and then into a wider area.
I'm not going to hold my breath for tomorrow (probably best not to, after recent circumstances) so for those of you who see some action, enjoy!
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27 minutes ago, Eagle Eye said:
And me lol
Estofex are giving us some chance in general!
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Thank you for the forecast, Mr. Finnis. I tell you what: if I slip you a few tenners, might you be able to persuade the 40% northern line of activity to move a few miles north so that I can guarantee some activity in Reigate? It would be much appreciated.
Cheers!
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Estofex keeps the action in France. Still, that ought to be near enough for us to get a Yellow Weather Warning...
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Storm? Storm? I had a look but I think these will be Sussexy-Kent clippers. Shame. I'll keep my fingers crossed...
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2 minutes ago, Thunders said:
Well, my roads flooded, lightning too, the rain was hot tho
Hot rain? That's a new one! Any good poached eggs from the pavement?
It is very localised - and that fits the forecasts.
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6 minutes ago, Norfolk Sheep said: European Storm Forecast Experiment - ESTOFEX
WWW.ESTOFEX.ORG
I think Estofex have called it correctly, not going with the stormaggedon forecasted earlier by UK outlets.
I agree with you. The Met Office have issued so many Yellow Weather warnings over the last few years I just zone out now when I see them. Even my jokes about Severe Drizzle have faded with time. I find Estofex so much more reliable.
I wish someone at the Met Office would take a long hard look about the way they deal with the insurance industry, and the effects MO behaviour in that respect has on professional forecasting. Right now it appears to be an insurance-led mess.
Anyhow, back to watching the radar for more light rain.
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5 hours ago, StormLoser said:
Plenty of showers to come, but I'm not holding up much chance of anything unusual here (Reigate - I'm back). If anything turns up, I'll post!
Yep. Only a load of showers, and no wind to speak of. I don't know if anyone else had anything interesting, but not even the showers were that noteable. We could do with some nice warm sunny days! (Followed by an energetic Spanish plume...)
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Plenty of showers to come, but I'm not holding up much chance of anything unusual here (Reigate - I'm back). If anything turns up, I'll post!
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3 minutes ago, Cloud 10 said:
Constant thunder just to my East at the moment,the best covective day up here in the North-East for a long time.
I'm at Framwellgate Moor. Constant thunder to the west of here. This is the cell that caused a brown out for me. Some big lumps of cloud about!
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Durham. Lightning, thunder now. Had a brown-out.
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11 minutes ago, Craigers said:
Can anyone confirm this at Durham? Proper signatures here
Yes, but only one rumble of thunder and a big downpour. As per comment just above. Pretty much right over this house. Nothing unusual noticed other than its very rapid development. It may do more as it continues NE.
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Storms and Convective discussion - September 2023
in Storms & Severe Weather
Posted
Nice one. Frequent, and some look positive, too.