StormLoser

The Vision-Environnement WWW.VISION-ENVIRONNEMENT.COM Visualisez en vidéo et en direct la webcam touristique de Saint-Germain-sur-Ay, localisée dans la région Normandie, France. web cam is showing a strong storm off the French coast!

That's weird. This webcam shows nothing, and it's a Solent view! Solent View - Isle of Wight Webcams ISLEOFWIGHTWEBCAMS.CO.UK

Nothing directly in Reigate. I'm glad my previous posts were proven wrong. But the Reigate Storm Shield is holding out and preventing anything here just yet. On the plus side, I have permission from my long suffering wife to wait up and see if anything turns up.

Jersey webcam shows lightning firing every 5 seconds or so. Very active! Panorama Webcam WWW.PANORAMAJERSEY.COM

A lot of activity heading to the Channel Islands. Here's a snap from Webcam de Saint-Germain-sur-Ay.

I'm beginning to return to my original feelings from my first post this evening. This ain't looking good. Sorry, Harry.

Oh good, it looks like I am completely wrong (as usual). Had a look in on Brest webcam to see one flash of lightning. Yes, it is kicking off and let's hope it's a good one.

Thank you for encouraging me in my despondency. I trust the charts and you are correct!

I'm feeling personally dubious about this forecast. But then again I have known to be wrong (constantly). I'm studying the data but...pressure's going UP on my barometer here (and no it's not hung upside down). The skies are drying and the French stuff will likely die in the Channel. That front is slow, broken and being dried out. To my mind it has that four-letter storm-watcher's swear word written all over it. You know the one: begins with 'B'. But I refuse to jinx this. Well, should stuff happen, good hunting folks. I would dearly love to be proven wrong.

Here in sunny Reigate, our specially developed "Reigate Storm Shield" is in full action, keeping the storms away to day. The little blighters made an attack on the town from the east. However, the RSS forced the storms to veer south into nearby Crawley. Well, they are a rum bunch there, after all. Of course, should the Reigate Storm Shield fail, I'll file storm reports as normal.

A cell has shot up east of Reigate, heading our way. The development was super fast. A pure disk of downpour on the radar. Should be interesting....

Then again (looks at rain radar) I might be 100% incorrect. Ahem.

I'm not altogether convinced about the forecasts, with the MO's Amber Warning, etc. There's nothing unusual about the rain coming out the Channel, and the convergence drift tends to be a slow northwards, dissipating. I'm reckoning the weak cold front across the middle of the UK will tilt and slide east. No doubt there will be showers and some very heavy rain, but I think most of us will miss it. Estofex has the majority of activity in northern France. OK, there we go. I put my foot in it so let's see how this will play out!

Reigate is pretty much a bust. Rained this morning - much needed too. A few distant rumbles and that was it. Sun's out and it's a little cooler. No sign of anything coming our way for the rest of the day. Good luck to those in the action!

Steady rain here which is brilliant for the garden. As the heavier mass approaches from the South, we're hearing occasional rumbles of thunder. Nothing more right now. Cat is unhappy!

Thanks for the pics and videos! Stuff seems to be going up closer and closer to the SE and my general area. Perhaps I'll get lucky. The tumbleweed and cacti need some rain.

Looks like a weak trough drifting in from the SW. Might get some rain if we're lucky. Our tumbleweed is drying out...

Let's hope not! Watch as any developments split to go either side of Reigate. That's what always happens for me!

Hmm, confused set of models for today. Three different forecasts! I've got my eye on the Channel developments but currently they are drying as they move north. Meanwhile, the sun is out here, and clouds are clearing so we have some ground heating in progress. Quite a pleasant morning, actually, after the 40c (on my weather thermometer) we had on Tuesday! I'll wait and watch, and rain is badly needed anyway in our tumbleweed-filled garden.

Today reminds me of the old union, NALGO. Not a lot goes on. Even Estofex is silent.

I was pleasantly surprised to see a yellow storm warning arrive for parts of the SE tomorrow. Stepped out to 30c at 10:00am today, and higher humidity. 30c at 10:00am! Yesterday's 37c here in Reigate was a dry heat and it reminded me of south Tenerife. Today has a higher humidity. Settling down for some storm watching over the next day or so. Hopefully my no-go zone will see some action.

The worst case scenario (and therefore most likely) is that low will do a quick bend left, track across Northern France where storms remain in the Channel, before exiting north east and providing a famous East England sailing ship experience....

I was poking around the GFS for Tuesday and wondering why the Met Office finished their heat warning on Monday. If the GFS model works out, Monday night and Tuesday morning could see some very high UK temperatures before the whole lot breaks down. I'm no expert, but I think Sunday is too early for the MO warning.

Heathrow, 26.5 due to unforecasted cloud cover!

Yep - rumbling around Reigate. I can see the flashes from the Horsham storm high up.