Jemma Croton

For real? AWESOME

Oooh niiiiice

On drive back from getting kids from school I could see there was definitely snow on the hills out towards Liddington direction.

I know, I know. Now casting etc. But for Swindon we’ve seen downgrades alL day so far from heavy snow to just light from 7pm for 12 hrs and now it’s jumped back to this... taking the snow righty through to tomorrow afternoon continuous

If MetO were to update their warnings again today what sort of time would they do that? I’ve onlt ever noticed them doing updates between roughly 10-11am but see on other threads people are mentioning the expect the amber warning to get further extended. I don’t think I’ve ever noticed it change later in the day before

So hopeful we’ll get some decent snow in Swindon. I have ASD with sensory issues and I’ve never experienced silence quite like when you go out early after a fresh heavy snowfall. All surfaces coated, no-one out, quiet roads and the snow seems to absorb all the other natural sounds in the environment. I’m constantly being overloaded with noise even down to the hum of electricity... I get so much peace from snow

Spitting in Swindon. Not sure on the temp but it has definitely dropped since I left the house at midday

Alas no. 2/3 kids went back to school today. 2/3 kids have been puking since 9pm. I’m up and down like a yo-yo dealing with puke-maggedons. Mistakenly brought one to my bed thinking it was a one off... back to school nerves kind of thing. So now my bed is trashed in puke and my mission for the night is to try and prevent them trashing their own beds with vomit when even at ages 6 & 8 they can’t seem to aim it in a sick bowl. So no... not on the wine. Bloody wish I was though Ohh if only this happened on a school snow day instead of first day back (trying to make it semi relevant for the thread). Woo snow... much excite/many happy. Models do cold stuff etc

Nowt tastes better than wine when you’ve stuck them out in the snow to chill some. Adds magic to that there wine it does!!

Oh now see... that’s just beautiful

Ohh now that’s beautiful

Reminder again that at this exact stage in Feb the models flipped from showing the jackpot to us not getting anything one day/one run to the next. Stay calm guys. Will be a good few days yet before the models have a grip on the SSW fully

This is a bit OT but after the stonking charts last night I want to just remind everyone what happened last year in the lead up to the BFTE. Last year because it’s most recent but those who aren’t new will know this is pretty standard while the models get a grip on a SSW. SSW happened. Models took a while to show any response. For a while it looked bleak. Then models started to show a BEAUTIFUL response... Then literally one run/one day to the next the response would TOTALLY DISAPPEAR/DOWNGRADE. and then appear again. and disappear and appear again. I want to make a dirty innuendo but I’ll just allude to one instead. My point is. Expect the next week to be a bloody rollercoaster and for hope to feel snatched away and then given back repeatedly.

Do you also stand outside Santa’s grottos handing kids notes that say Santa isn’t real??? Seriously though the excitement is justified because while yes these are FI charts... they are in the right frame of time and the right response to be an entirely plausible and “jackpot” response to the SSW. Rather than it being pie in the sky charts to lust over this is a situation where these are the expected charts to give the money shot and almost dead on when it comes to trop responses. These aren’t just yet more 240+ exciting charts

Can no-one remember model watching end of Jan this year? The SSW happened and it was major. The main models did not get reliably on board until maybe a week later showing the trop response. Even when the SSW has occurred it seems models still struggle to know what to do with it. We had a week or so in Feb thinking this would be a SSW that didn’t produce the goods and then all the models came on board and we had ridonkulus snow end of Feb and into March. I mean it’s what... 70% of split SSW that give us the good stuff historically so of course there’s more than a bit of a chance this one will sit in the yucky 30% we don’t like to talk about... but we also all know that even the winters that HAVE gone in to be a jackpot... the models have struggled to forecast the trop result at this stage. By all means don’t count your chickens yet... but also don’t throw the eggs out yet assuming they are all duds yeah??!!

Well colour me happy with that news. As much as I bloody LOVE following the charts this time of year it’s so hard to catch up after a few weeks off. Thanks for the responses folks

Guys I’ve been away over Christmas and cannot catch up properly. Can I get a status on the SSW. Displacement or split anticipated?

As far as I’m aware they stopped using MEtO last year and so don’t have access to MOGREPS etc anymore but may have replaced with their own?

What I wouldn’t give to be seeing this in a months time Still, it’s nice to jump back into snow watch with my fellow coldies this early in the season. (Hope you’ve had a good summer guys, it’s good to be back in good company). Looks like we have plenty of reloads being suggested and I’m crossing everything that this gives us a better early chance at the white stuff in a few weeks time

Gorgeous outlook for the week ahead. Who doesn’t love a good anticyclonic set up? Blinding start to the season

Might not be very warm here yet but what a change it makes to wake up and see blue skies and the sun streaming in. I feel like I’m betraying my winter loving heart

We enjoyed a nice trek to the supermarket. Pulled the babes here on the sled and then the shopping home in it. Got some enviable looks from people wading through the snow with laden arms. My crazy kids wanted lollies in the way home too ?

Before this snow/cold weather event arrived there were lots of posts comparing the possible outcome to be like 1991, 2009, 2010 etc. Appreciate it hasn’t ended yet but I though it would be an interesting discussion to look back at it and see what big historical snow event 2018 has compared to

Get your mind out of the gutter Karlos ?

Can anyone in Brixham area confirm if that funnel/tornado is legit? Also, managed to sweet talk more precise locations of potential freeIng rain from Aidan “I’d do him” McGivern