Wardlegacy

Tomorrow morning could be anything. Wet snow was falling at Teggs Nose this morning and there was still a covering from the other day but not substantial, although I guess it is all subjective. The roads are all open and clear so far.

The met office app now shows sleet tomorrow turning to heavy snow in the afternoon.

Lovely winter’s morning here with blue skies and and just over 2 inches of snow and some very slippery roads and pavements.

Can’t see any pseudoscience in there myself. But never mind. snowing heavily again here and a nice covering

Bit unfair if you look at the science and details and past events. You vastly underestimate the power of a SSW it may not bring us deep cold but 60% do and this is quite an extreme one fascinating science and certainly no Express style headline.

Not convinced it is a fail from the met office. The app showed the percentage chance of a shower it didn’t say definitely showers everywhere. The nature of these kind of showers meant some areas would do better than others and that could not be pined down until the showers developed

Plenty of snow falling and settling now at 150m so bodes well for later for lower areas

BBC app has me down for light sleet showers and sun Met Office app has me down for heavy snow. The snow has just arrived. 1-0 to Met Office.

Upgrade on the Met Office app to heavy snow again from 5 in the morning. Sure that’ll change by the time I wake up.

Well the met office app now has me down for drizzle and light rain showers tomorrow, it was heavy snow before. I should have known really. This has happened every time.

Gloucester is closer to the sea than I am. Would covering the Irish Sea in decking help?

To be honest those charts on the GFS would bring the whole country a lot of snow. Long way off though

I think we can still get severe winter weather but we seem to need much colder uppers. Although after going down to Birmingham and Gloucester after Christmas and seeing large snowfalls there then the script isn’t quite as straight forward as we may think. I am sure very similar Synoptics in the past have brought me severe deep snow whereas as Now at 160metres I am getting what I call spring snow that is slushy and has gone by the end of the day.

Sleet here at the moment turning into heavy rain. Snow line looks to be over 200metres today.

Meteogroup

The BBC have to follow and use met office warnings even if their forecast doesn’t agree with it! Met office warnings overide any other forecast.

BBC app says no chance Met Office app says heavy snow .who will be right this time?

Yes 1987 was the only time my school ever closed because the heating system froze. We went sledging and you went straight over the fence and across the road in the deep snow. My mother talks about ‘63 and bitter cold and deep snow and the roads from Alderley Edge to Macclesfield being blocked and the Coop still delivered the weekly groceries. Was just hard work pushing the pram in the snow. My father was a market gardener in 1947 and they lit fires in the fields to thaw the soil so they could harvest vegetables.

The uppers in 1987 were colder than 1963 weren’t they but 1987 only lasted about a week

The problem is now the BBC is using Meteogroup for their forecasts. Meteogroup are using data that suggests mainly dry but Met Office warnings overide whatever they are forecasting and have to be shown. This was highlighted earlier on Twitter. Hence we may get more contradictory forecasts.

I don’t believe any of it anymore. I am at 165mtrs altitude and it’s been pretty dire. The biggest problem has been lack of precipitation all winter. We’ve had a few snowfalls but nothing spectacular not even if I have driven up the hill towards the Cat.

Met office warning for snow on Sunday issued now. That wil out a stop to any snow.

No snow here so much for the lovely forecast of a covering

Spent the whole day watching the met office app showing me having 4-5 hrs of heavy snow in the morning Now it updates to light sleet

BBC have only ever had sleet for me. The met office has the snow and less sun. Will see which is the more correct tomorrow morning I guess.