Chevron12345

Indeed I am, in reply to Frosty about the GFS 00z today...Your correct.

Well at 96hrs GFS the SE is barely holding on to any -5 air. What 2m temperatures will be or what -5 air equates too, I presume is certainly no where near freezing during the day, maybe 4-7? At 108 only a small finger of the UK under -5's but the majority under 'milder' upper air. Then Atlantic Air at -5 uppers looks like bringing a wash out/slush fest with more snowy conditions up over much higher ground. and at 144 a mess of uppers barely at -5 except for Scotland. Then the Atlantic again through the later stages as per today's model at 108. I'm not seeing any surface cold with temperatures near freezing or ice days. I'm not seeing any good snowfall days between now and end of week, unless at elevation. I'm seeing a very watered down version of the charts shown last Wednesday. Lot's of talk about the SSW must be now influencing our tiny tiny island and therefore pushing back the Atlantic - Really? All talk is now about Thursday onward. Just normal winter fare this week.

BBC weather - 7 degrees London Monday. Lol

Just post your model thoughts in here and be area biased. Forget the MOD thread.

Lets hope. I must admit, I have never seen it snow and settle, then a couple of days later snow again on top......and again....well that would be incredible.

Yeah...think that's pretty obvious.

It better push in on Tuesday, don't want to keep waiting and waiting. Otherwise it will just been cold for a period then back to mild. BBC (for what its worth) said snow events later in week, nothing about Tuesday..

Good luck mate. 2m temperatures not conductive to lying snow, but hope you see it falling.

As in what the weekends upper air models will show with respect to snow next week. We all know ppn this weekend is minimal.

Uppers will gradually get watered down as the weekend gets closer. This will effect 2m temps and lowland snow cover.

Amazing that everyone is talking about snow at day 5? Like its nailed? A lot can change in that time period.

Not going by any model output until Sunday. Especially regards to Tuesday snow. It will either not reach us and come to nothing due to increased strength of the easterly component or deliver wet horrid frontal snow with drizzle mixed in. Anything from the Atlantic carries the risk of slush in my book. Still time for this to go wettish/slushy for us in North Somerset anyway.

GFS cold uppers not as deep as the 18z. A lot more 'milder' air around with mild sections. 2m temperatures in most places (except high ground) not that cold, definately not at freezing or below during the day.

Fair enough, and yes the charts have upgraded for the period you suggest. Good luck to you, don't be too disappointed when this easterly fails again.

Never mind the trends...experience tells charts we are now seeing will not verify, with a much watered down version actually happening.

Indeed, with great charts like this at 144 the only way now is to watch as everything back tracks. Just a tease again guys.....

Overnight low of 2.2. 4.2 at 6.15 am. Not even cold enough to describe the last few days as 'cold spell'. Just a cooler spell, with hail and rain.

Just aint cold enough..simples

No snow in Yatton...i meant...and rain now.

Temp dropped to 2.6 in yatton around 3.30pm during hail shower. 100% no snow.

The Ap for Poole may show snow. But Metoffice website shows different.

ha. whats your location?

For Poole? Think he may need to check again.

Hail/Sleet, Temp from 7.1 to 3.2 Yatton

Brilliant. But will just gather dust..ha