East Kent Snow Desert
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Everything posted by East Kent Snow Desert
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52. Wife thinks I'm a bit touched -
Cars moved off road onto drive - check Plants moved indoors - check Snow shovel (bought after BFTE in 2018 and never used) and sledges at the ready - check Outside condensing pipe and tap insulated - check Bird feeders topped up - check Let the lampost watching commence, well in 10 hrs time
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At least this time around we only need to focus on the radar and not worry about the temps and dp!
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Note sure if it was 1991 or 1996, but we had a decent easterly set up and in Thanet where I lived at the time snow depths were a cm or two but 15 miles west in Canterbury where I was working the snow was 25/30cm deep. Hopefully that doesn't turn out to be the case this time!
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Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?
East Kent Snow Desert replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Hi all. Another long time lurker here and just wanting to thank all the regular, knowledgeable posters for their time and efforts over these past couple of months. Certainly been an interesting winter thus far. That GFS 12z was good to see with no mention of marginality or the M4 for us in the south and south east. Makes a refreshing change. -
Thanks for the explanation Paul!
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Does anyone know if these images are prone to ignoring Thanet and the North East coast of Kent for snow depths or could there be a legitimate reason for this? I know the temps are often a couple of degrees higher than further west and south but surely in this instance with low 850s and DPs this is unlikely to be accurate.
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Models last Friday (other than ECM) were suggesting the cold would be in this Friday with added snow risk and now three days later we are looking at Sunday or Monday in the south east at the earliest. For me it's always a worry when the colder weather stay's 7 days or more away as there is then a chance of other influences negatively affecting our prospects. After so many promising charts this winter , I'm feeling very pessimistic today despite the METO week ahead forecast
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Exactly, no-one knows. Could be a 3 bites at the cherry scenario! We'll probably know for sure by this evening
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Whilst there was no decent snow to speak of in Kent yesterday it was certainly nice to see plenty of sun today! Over on the MOD thread the BFTE has showed up again on the GFS 12z. Only two weeks away so what could go wrong?
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Some moderate sleet here in Herne which bodes well further inland perhaps!
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As it is on the other side of the estuary atm Actually intensity picked up now and more sleety in nature
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Drizzle has temporarily turned to sleet here now!
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Spot on. If it's not from the east or north east we are scuppered on the SE coasts these days. MO thread reporting further sliders this week so more of the same to come unfortunately
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And will temps and dps drop sufficiently by then. Not getting my hopes up!
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Obs for Manston show temp risen from 1.2c at 10am to 3.7c at 11. No chance here for the time being
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Yep same here in H.Bay. Disappointing seeing as there are reports of a covering in Canterbury. Not surprising though with our locations
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Was not expecting to see those radar returns. Hopefully more to come!
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The best for SE Essex / East Kent would be later today when it moves back south east (post pivot) i reckon
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Anyone else struggling to see some of these video's posted?
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West Kent should be okay i reckon
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For you maybe
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I'm just exhausted following all this, what with the uncertainties re: direction of travel, placement of pivot, marginal on coasts, etc, etc. Mind you my East Kent location was a positive last wkend so unlikely to get lucky twice.
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Hail / graupel shower has turned surfaces white here (Herne)
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Canterbury City is only 20m asl but the hospital where I work is 150m. Distance from the coasts is the key parameter I expect
