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Everything posted by Speedbird
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Model Output Discussion - the cold has arrived
Speedbird replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - the cold has arrived
Speedbird replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Indeed -
Model Output Discussion - the cold has arrived
Speedbird replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Agreed, but that chart does not show the UK as being 'in the freezer', which is the point I made. -
Model Output Discussion - the cold has arrived
Speedbird replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Hardly in the freezer for the UK and, meantime, the proper cold heads down towards Greece again . . . -
Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
Speedbird replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
There must quite a high level of confidence for a warning to be issued 4 days in advance . . . -
Met Office and BBC Weekly/Monthly Outlooks
Speedbird replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Met Office Yellow warnings now out for Highlands and Northern Scotland for snow from Wednesday 7th December -
Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
Speedbird replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Whilst each has their own merits, i can't help but feel that the evolution of the GFS 18z is more realistic that the EC 12z -
Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
Speedbird replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Incredible run in the extended - an Arctic conveyor belt -
Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
Speedbird replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
yep, dare I say that latter stages are an improvement on the 12z -
Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
Speedbird replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Lower heights over Greenland post 144 - this is a better run -
Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
Speedbird replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
and a new low forming D6-7 in the Norwegian Sea which will have our name on it -
Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
Speedbird replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Let's see where the GFS 18z goes - my hunch it will remain broadly in line with the 12z -
Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
Speedbird replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
no surprise really, the evolution didn't seem right -
Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
Speedbird replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
A new trend ? To me, it just looks wrong - could be an outlier and will be interesting to see where it sits in the pack . . . -
Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
Speedbird replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
Speedbird replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Those temperatures will be city temperatures. You can easily knock 2-3c off for rural locations and even more for towns with modest altitude. -
Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
Speedbird replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
No end in sight.