Snowboy111
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Model Output Discussion - Into February
Snowboy111 replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Grown adults arguing over the weather, something none of us can control, is rather funny at times -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
Snowboy111 replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Even a broken watch is right twice a day ! -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
Snowboy111 replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Maybe not but I’ll await your flip flop comments next week if it does show -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
Snowboy111 replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Or you could let the run finish and then see it’s in fact moving west…… -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
Snowboy111 replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Wind your necks in. 19th March. And in my eyes everything has shifter forward 1 month. March is the new Feb and has been for a while. -
Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
Snowboy111 replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
It is but when abbreviated, saying ‘an SSW’ rolls off the tongue better than ‘a SSW’ -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
Snowboy111 replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Good run as far as I’m concerned. No worries here. Again it’s building blocks. 18z showing something in the vicinity of the 12’s and keeps things on the right track for days 8/9. All to play for. Upgrades tomorrow I believe -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
Snowboy111 replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
What time is ecm out please ? -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
Snowboy111 replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
No way Atlantic is busting through that cold air either. We all know how cold air is hard to shift once established -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
Snowboy111 replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Fine margins. Main thing is a cold pattern is being established so lots to look forward to in the building blocks. One slightly differentiating run means nothing at this stage. -
Model Output Discussion - New Year and Beyond
Snowboy111 replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
If the 12z is showing that in fi, imagine what the pub run will give us!!! -
Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
Snowboy111 replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Absolutely lashing down here in Guernsey with thunder and lightning. Winds went from zero to gusty force 6 as soon as the rain hit. Defo no snow here ! -
Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
Snowboy111 replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Nothing worse than a ‘Pro’ with egg on their face. Cards close to the chest an all that. -
Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
Snowboy111 replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
What we saying then ? Big correction south for that Low ? Northern France snow fest ? -
Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
Snowboy111 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Jim ?? That his twin brother ? -
Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
Snowboy111 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Thanks for posting this. Nothing worse than being outside looking in at the party ! -
Winter 2021-22 Chat, Moans and ramps thread
Snowboy111 replied to damianslaw's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
So 3-4 days ago the models were showing a big snow event midlands south. Possible blizzards too ! And what do we have today ? Light winds and belting it down with rain in the English channel!! Temps around 12C. Cold air 350 miles away. Models are a shambles this winter. -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
Snowboy111 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Well that’s the final nail in the coffin!! Gonna be some miserable people on here today. 20 years of being on here I’ve learnt a few things along the way. 1. Never get too excited until t48 2. Everyone is an amateur on here, nothing should be taken as gospel. 3. If you’re offended by number 2, then it’s cause the weather is the weather and it’ll do whatever it wants to do not what you hope or think it’ll do ! I’ve seen enough ‘pros’ come and go on this site, many with their tails between their legs. It’s one thing to discuss outcomes and it’s another to say ‘dead cert it’ll happen’ and then get your back up when it goes wrong ! The ‘bin it’ attitude needs to change 4. The various models are still really quite poor when it comes to cold. Why there are so many it just seems pointless. Especially as half get written off as fodder as soon as the 6 hour update comes out. Should be 2/3 max. Waste of money. 5. Global warming is killing history. People reference ‘47 an ‘63. Forget it. We’ll never get a repeat of those as the climate has massively shifted in the last 10/15 years alone. Today will hurt but it’s nothing new. I don’t want knife edge stuff, I want a scandi high and med low. That’s our best and most reasonable chance for cold and snow -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
Snowboy111 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Well it’s a bust for us in the Channel Islands so I don’t care where it’ snows…………… as long as it’s these 4 locations Xmas day !!!! -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
Snowboy111 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
‘‘Twas incredible. The flat north of Guernsey got about 6 inches. The ‘hilly’ south, which at peak is 108m asl, got 12-14 inches with snow drifts as high as 14ft !!! So many trees blew down too as we had a force 7 NE. All you could hear was chain saws for days after. The best thing about that storm too was I’d given up on chart looking a week prior so ha paid no attention to what was coming. Then a mate said 2 days before it happened ‘corr you must be excited for the upcoming snow?’ to which I replied ‘no idea what you’re on about!!’ I then looked on here and nearly passed out !! Sometimes it’s much better to be surprised than have your nerves wrecked for a week model watching !! -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
Snowboy111 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yeah well spare a thought for us in the Channel Islands. I know you’ve not forgiven us since we stole your ‘channel slider’ back in March 2013 but cut us some slack please !! I’m so praying that low cuts lower ! I think you guys would lose the plot ! -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
Snowboy111 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I liked how they always rolled out certain presenters for certain weather. You knew snow was in the air when Giles, macCaskill, Kettley and McElwee. Nowadays you know bang average or none eventful is on the cards when Stav Danos or Simon king is on. Not sure on the snow presenters these days ? Avery maybe ?