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BruenSryan
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Posts posted by BruenSryan
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30 minutes ago, East Lancs Rain said:
I know this cloudy nothingness is so awful. It's like being under anti-cyclonic gloom in the winter. But in the summer it's worse because in the winter you expect it to be clear but in the summer you expect to see the Sun at least once in awhile. Such a shame to given how sunny it was at the beginning of the month. This summer is fast becoming one of the dreariest I can remember.
Pointless though having long daylight hours if it's just going to be a cloud fest. Nothing worse than a cloud fest in summer. I'd rather have a washout. At least it would be more interesting! But this constant cloud is really starting to drive me insane now. Just give me a thunderstorm, a heavy downpour, something!
Sounds like last summer here in a nutshell. People thought I was mad in hoping for winter because I wouldn't have to look at 16-17 hours of cloud with the shorter daylight. This one 'til now has been distinctly average in Dublin in terms of sunshine, nothing like last year nor amazing like 2018.
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Lidars look good for tonight if you manage clear spells. No chance here with the cloud coming from the west (already has come).
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NLCs visible from Howth tonight.
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1 hour ago, Raindrops said:
Humm
Edit: Yup NLC, very faint.
Could see it for a time at Sutton before the mid level cloud went and 'ate' it. Had a bit of kelvin helmholtz too illuminated by the limited visible NLC (not that noticeable in this longer exposure).
Nothing like Friday night's display. Pics at the Malahide Estuary.
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15 hours ago, East Lancs Rain said:
I don’t want to annoy anyone from the south (As I know you’ve had a soaking) but we really do need the rain up here in Northwest England. We haven’t had any proper rain for about three weeks now and our grand total for the month (according to local weather station) is a whopping 1.2 mm! About 50 times less than the SE!
The rain/shower symbols that the BBC weather app was showing for next week have disappeared and even tomorrow which was forecast to be a washout is now only forecast to have a couple of hours of light rain in the morning and then dry for the rest of the day. Temperatures are going to be cool though like in the south, only 15 to 17°C for the next few days here, with a cool NE breeze. I don’t mind though, as it’s been warm and sunny a lot recently.
Yeah, as a poster mentioned, still on only 0.8mm here this June so far (which is drier than June 2018) in Dublin and there wasn't any rain this morning again. The low pressure has been displaced further southward than models have expected. Some rain possible mid-week but not of great amounts to ease the moisture deficits that are on the rise.
It's fortunate May was wet as a much drier May combined with the dry April and dry June so far (also a relatively dry March) would have been very bad news.
Funny how the SE of England has been having a deluge whilst it's been some of the nicest days all month here. Temperatures have been cool but the strong June sun makes it pleasant. The first half wasn't very dull but often a fair amount of cloud and quite humid after first few days which I did not really like.
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11 hours ago, TheOgre said:
Wow. I wasn’t aware heat potential was that low! What was it like there on 25 July 2019?
The nation's max temp from the July heatwave was 26.6C on the 22nd when the wind was initially southwest. The max on the 25th was 25.0C. Ireland is too far west to be directly impacted by southerly flows as low pressure sets up shop close to us. We need an easterly tilt to the wind. Years that 30C was achieved: 2018, 2016, 2013, 2006, 2005, 2003, 1995, 1990, 1989, 1983, 1976, 1975.
To keep on topic with this thread, personally I have not found it to be a bad or great June so far. Almost bone dry, not cold and often humid but not a lot of sunshine. Distinctly forgettable and boring.
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12 hours ago, hillbilly said:
Had a quick look and it looks like a couple at best.Need a little more info but possibly 1965 and 1968.I dont know wether that was on a national level or just local but i guess locally there could be more.
1965 was not. 28.9C (the highest temp of the year) was achieved in May. The March and April maxima were equal in 1968 (25.6C was achieved at Santon Downham and Camden Square on 21st April). 1968 is the closest it has come since at least 1961 so 2021 would be extremely notable if this were the case.
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Been getting away with murder here this May besides temperature which have no doubt been dreadful. Sunshine is above average for this point in the month (58% of average and is in fact sunnier than the entirety of July and August 2020 now) and much of the rain has come overnight or early morning hours whilst vast majority of showers have been avoided. Certainly could be worse locally in Dublin given the synoptic pattern. This May is on par with 2019 right now for me which I did poorly that month. Worlds away from the great Mays of 2016-18 and 2020.
I prefer this May quite a lot to now over May 2015 which still stands as the worst May I've experienced.
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On 23/04/2021 at 15:40, Harry233 said:
Was summer 2020 not pretty poor? Yes there was quite a lot of hot days but they seemed very localised. Certainly in Scotland where I am it was a poor summer. There was only a few brief spells of good weather from what I can remember, a few days at the start and end of June. A couple of days in mid July and the first week of August. The rest of the summer was pretty much always cool and wet. Maybe I found it especially bad after such a wonderful spring but I would rate summer 2020 almost as bad as 2012.
We had it significantly worse than England. I personally hate 2020 more than 2012 because the former was quite significantly duller than the latter whilst not being as wet as 2012. Both were fairly cooler than average but not exceptionally so. August 2012 was enjoyable to an extent at least too, all of the 2020 months were absolute rubbish regardless of the spring before it. Got no benefit from the August 2020 heatwave, no storms and no very warm days.
My percentage of average sunshine for spring/summer in 2020 was 101%, almost bang on average. The record sunny spring very very slightly outdone the record dull summer in the stats but it's basically average anyway almost as if there is some kind of quota of fine weather.
It can be much worse for large parts of the UK but from a personal and local view here in Dublin, it can only get better than 2020.
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Been a sunny spring here so far compared to most with solidly above average sunshine following on from an average Nov-Feb, sunny Sep/Oct and record dull summer. No complaints from me, it's been very nice with lots of fine days since the last week of February besides the cloudy but dry first 2 weeks of March.
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Well I've been very wrong with 'paying the price for last spring'. Been a lovely one so far yet again in Dublin. Soil moisture deficits running similar to same time last year too around 20mm although it got warmer this time last year which probably helped evaporation rates and not likely to see same increase now with these colder conditions.
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6 hours ago, SummerShower said:
May 1996 was an awful month, however I believe 26c was hit on the 30th.
I don't think may 2013 hit 25c either.
Indeed, official max in May 2013 was also 23.7C as far as I'm aware.
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29 minutes ago, summer blizzard said:
I don't remember a May which has not breached 25C albeit I do think a few April's failed to hit 20C.
2015? Official max was only 23.8C at Faversham.
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Some of the warmest March days of past 120 years in the UK
29 Mar 1968 25.6C
29 Mar 1965 25.0C
09 Mar 1948 23.9C
30 Mar 1929 23.9C
27 Mar 2012 23.6C
12 Mar 1957 23.3C
28 Mar 1965 23.3C
26 Mar 1907 23.2C
25 Mar 2012 22.9C
11 Mar 1957 22.8C
16 Mar 1961 22.8C
18 Mar 1990 22.3C
Not a complete list but gives you an idea. Years that have reached 20C in March this century as of now include 2003, 2004, 2005, 2012, 2014 and 2017.
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Have seen no white Easters in my time (and 1 technical white Christmas in 2004 although 2010 had deep cover lying). 2013 probably closest but all lying snow, that occurred on Wednesday 27th March, was well gone before the Sunday.
Good Friday 1975 on 28 March was a white one here going by the archive below, following a pretty snowless and exceptionally mild winter. Unstable north to northeasterly flow that day.
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Solid 0. A lot of graupel but very little snow, 1 frost and very dull. Nothing to take from it here. It wasn't looking good for the east coast of Ireland a week prior and indeed that's what it ended up as. The frontal events completely flopped too. Pathetic
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Better than many I've seen at the least with a fair amount of frosts in Dublin, 6 days of snow falling (1 of which was mainly sleet) and all the other 5 days had snow laying but each of them a dusting at best with the exception of one 4-5cm on Sunday just gone.
If winters weren't so poor in past decade since 2013 then this winter wouldn't feel in any way special or memorable at all but the fact that it has occurred that way, it has been ok.
It's been relatively wet but nothing like some of those poor winters such as 2013-14, 2015-16 or 2019-20.
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Looks to me like standard Atlantic muck conditions here for the next while in the east - in spite of such an intriguing hemispheric profile. Frustrating to have the easterlies far north of our trough.
Ah well, roll on summer.
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January 2010 the only decent January I have seen. Had many days of falling snow but rarely any accumulations.
January 2018 brought a dusting on the 16th from a polar maritime NW'ly associated with Storm Fionn which was unusual to see here, flakes were massive.
Had a few flurries in January 2013 at best whilst mountains had a nice pasting.
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58 minutes ago, ForeverPomeroysnow said:
Bring on the spring I say
Watch that be a total write off after using up all our quota on last year.
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23 hours ago, BruenSryan said:
Very random predictions.. probably 0% success rate but here we go.
January - Relatively mild and changeable. Cooler conditions later on but nothing notable. CET 5.1C
February - Mild start, cooler end. Much drier than 2020. CET 4.3C
March - Cold with a lot of cloud and wet to the south of the country. CET 5.6C
April - Very wet with average temperatures, cool first half before a somewhat milder second half. CET 8.3C
May - Quite westerly with a fair bit of cloud and rain. Chance of some early warmth later on in the month. CET 10.5C
June - Fairly dry but often cloudy with mild nights. CET 13.9C
July - Warm and wet with numerous threats of downpours or storms. Winds from a southeasterly quarter. CET 17.8C
August - Changeable but nothing dramatic. CET 16.9C
September - Very warm September with summer heat near the beginning. Turning more autumnal later on but staying mild. CET 15.9C
October - Another really mild month with mainly unsettled conditions dominant. CET 12.7C
November - The mild autumn continues with a typical Atlantic driven November. CET 7.9C
December - Average temperatures and foggy at times later in the month after an unsettled start. CET 4.6C
I do hope many of these are wrong especially spring. After the exceptional spring of 2020, I just feel nature will punish us with either a very benign season or a really poor one. Haven't had a really poor one for a while either especially May.
Oh yeah forgot to add, another poor October for the October fog index
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Very random predictions.. probably 0% success rate but here we go.
January - Relatively mild and changeable. Cooler conditions later on but nothing notable. CET 5.1C
February - Mild start, cooler end. Much drier than 2020. CET 4.3C
March - Cold with a lot of cloud and wet to the south of the country. CET 5.6C
April - Very wet with average temperatures, cool first half before a somewhat milder second half. CET 8.3C
May - Quite westerly with a fair bit of cloud and rain. Chance of some early warmth later on in the month. CET 10.5C
June - Fairly dry but often cloudy with mild nights. CET 13.9C
July - Warm and wet with numerous threats of downpours or storms. Winds from a southeasterly quarter. CET 17.8C
August - Changeable but nothing dramatic. CET 16.9C
September - Very warm September with summer heat near the beginning. Turning more autumnal later on but staying mild. CET 15.9C
October - Another really mild month with mainly unsettled conditions dominant. CET 12.7C
November - The mild autumn continues with a typical Atlantic driven November. CET 7.9C
December - Average temperatures and foggy at times later in the month after an unsettled start. CET 4.6C
I do hope many of these are wrong especially spring. After the exceptional spring of 2020, I just feel nature will punish us with either a very benign season or a really poor one. Haven't had a really poor one for a while either especially May.
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The only thing of note about this February in Dublin was how sunny it was. It was and still is the sunniest February on record in the region with 128 hrs recorded at Dublin Apt following on from another sunny one in 2003.
Had some very mild weather to start (though nothing we've not become accustomed to) like was said and a few severe frosts at the end. I guess 11 air frosts is still better than many winter months the past decade..
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9 hours ago, Relativistic said:
For central England yes; nationally it's impossible to tell since the records only go back to 1910.
They go back for temperature to 1884 now and for the UK as a whole, 2010 was -0.8C colder than 1890.
1981: -0.1
1890: -0.1
2010: -0.9
For England & Wales back to 1884, 1890 (-1.0) was -0.5C colder than 2010 (-0.5). Northern Ireland had its joint coldest month on record as Damian mentioned with February 1895 (-0.7). Scotland had its coldest December on record (-1.7) and coldest month since February 1947 (-2.4). Besides the air quality or smog, why 1890 was colder than 2010 in England & Wales was more than likely down to the fact it was quite an easterly month whilst December 2010 was very northerly which favoured the north to be coldest.
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July 1955: a very dry, sunny month but floods in places.....
in Historic Weather
Posted
This month holds the record highest monthly sunshine total for various stations in Ireland as well as the national record of 308.2 hrs which was strangely at Valentia Observatory - a station normally prone to cloud and exposed to southwesterlies so a weird quirk but is indicative of how unique of a month July 1955 really was.
Dublin Airport wasn't far off with 305.9 hrs, May 2020 was the closest competitor to this with 295.0 hrs.
June 1957 and June 1959 were also exceptionally sunny; 292.7 hrs at Belmullet (northwest Ireland) and 301.0 hrs at Rosslare (sunny southeast) in the respective Junes.
Yes a long time ago but July 1955 and August 1947 are terribly forgotten if you ask me, both gems of summer months in vintage years for weather too.