[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

 From This Sunday, Yamkin Will Show No Mercy In The SE 

 

 

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

BREAKING NEWS: Yamkin has cut the grass in his back garden and now ready for the snow onslaught from Sunday. Bring it on  

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

1 hour ago, jamesgold said:

Right, amber warning bingo? I reckon east anglia, Essex and Kent for sure today. Less sure about London at this point but fingers crossed

This Amber warning will most probably be extended further inland on Sunday

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

 

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

10 minutes ago, jamesgold said:

BBC forecast seemed pretty bullish there, mentions of 10-15cm for some of our area... 

Croydon Council have been updated with very interesting snow amounts too.

Snow will continue through much of Sunday and some locations will get 15 cm (5.9 inches). Snow showers during Monday & Tuesday with a further 4 cm (1.6 inches) in places. Temps will struggle to rise above freezing during the day.

Gritters/gritting teams are all primed and ready to go from Saturday evening.

Please bear in mind that Croydon Council are expecting the rain to quickly turn to snow during Saturday night.

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

5 minutes ago, simonhall6 said:

Met office have updated to heavy snow for 6 hours early hours of Sunday morning then 6 hrs of lighter snow for Brentwood (Essex)  
 

MetO have also upgraded the snow forecast for Croydon commencing Sunday all the way to Wednesday 

[Winter 2020/21 chat, ramps, moans and banter]

3 minutes ago, TSNWK said:

Hello yamkin.. over the years you have shared snippets on the rare occasions contingency planners have been not8fed off weather events..

any such notifications to date?

Hi there TSNWK, Croydon Council have been keeping a very close eye on the oncoming snowy events primed for Sunday & onwards. Gritting/gritters teams ready and ready for Saturday. Bear in mind gritters will be placed around strategic locations before the snow commences Saturday night. It's going to be a tough weekend into next week  

[Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?]

I have been following the CFS model very closely for a few months and must say it has been very good at times. Take a look at the low feature out in the west that could bring a lot more snow to S & SE parts late Wednesday/Thursday. Not saying this will happen, but worth keeping an eye on 

 

 

Now, going further afield into no mans land, a Scandi High forms allowing easterly winds to flow  Again, not saying this will happen, but something to keep an eye on 

 

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

 

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

 

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

 

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

 YouTube snapshot Courtesy of the MetO's Latest Update 

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

1 hour ago, alexisj9 said:

Only if the low to the west move SE lol.

The latest MetO YouTube video mentioned this low and will be keeping an eye on this as this could nudge up into Southern areas and give a lot of snow

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

 

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

BBC are forecasting snow for London on Sun & Mon ❄❄❄

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

2 minutes ago, NewEra21 said:

Unfortunately the trend isn't our friend for us down here in the SE & EA once again. Everything is just too far north for us to benefit, we need to see a 100-200 mile shift south over the next few runs to bring us back into the game.

I can't believe we might miss out once again while the north gets buried. Typical of our luck this winter!

I think the models will firm up on Wed/Thur 

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

 

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

 

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

 

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

GFS 18Z is following it's pub run namesake and going for a slight downgrade on the snow potential, but there is nothing to worry about just yet as this sort of model output is expected.

Tomorrow's ECM & UKMO will be interesting.

Wed/Thurs will be the start of the three main models firming up the synoptics for this weekend's potential BFTE set up.

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

9 minutes ago, jamesgold said:

Expect a major upgrade in BBC forecasts now the ECM is coming out with this. I think the “Weather for the week ahead” is recorded already now but if the ECM does continue with this it would be a major backtrack for the BBC

Let's hope the BBC forecasters don't go and use an outdated model output 

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

ECM is now on board with GFS & UKMO

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

 

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

 

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

2 minutes ago, Neilsouth said:

 

MetO is going for Easterly Winds by this weekend which is very encouraging indeed