Models are so confusing, i am no expert with model watching however i can normally get an idea of how things will turn out even though i cannot judge FI at all. At the moment because FI is at such a short range I really have not got a clue whats going on to the point were I have not looked at the models for about a week. I just read what the more knowledgable have to say. But when the charts change so dramatically every day and in some instances every run I really have to say I just want to pull my hair our, rip all my clothes of and run down the street naked.....is that wrong? One minute we are getting 'The Beast from the east' and the next its all mild and the game is....... almost up for anything cold and then its all change back to a raging easterly. When I looked at the ensembles the other day the mean was below -5 850 uppers for the whole run. How can it change its mind so dramatically in such a short time. I would expect the models to pick up on the general trend and then slowly move away from that trend but its literally good for cold then good for mild. I dont know how much longer I can bare to keep reading the model thread but obviously like the rest of you I will. Seriously confused, disorientated and dazed!