Jump to content
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?

Leo97t

Members
  • Posts

    467
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by Leo97t

  1. Maybe for you. The spell has been blistering in the inland se in a way only 1976 or 2003 has been before. Avoid sweeping statements
  2. Is the flow off the N sea from 144 I cant quite tell its marginal between 25 and 35
  3. Everyone seems to have forgotten how hot that first week of august was Maxes for Heathrow were 1st - 26.5 2nd - 30.4 3rd - 32.6 4th - 29.0 5th - 29.8 6th - 31.0 7th - 31.2
  4. That just isn't true 2018 was 18.5C to the 10th and 18.1C to the 15th
  5. I've noticed the high pressure has shifted a bit further north and east in the last day - so perhaps more of an unstable shorter spell.
  6. Even more notably it would extend the run of consecutive summer months reaching 33c/90f to 8 starting from June 2018. Perhaps even 9 if it is also reached on the 1st August. Almost certainly not happened before
  7. The only way the hot spell could extend would be for the low to rapidly sink southwards and become cut off but I don't see this as a possibility really.
  8. Most GFS 06z members are going for a brief plume around 31st July - perhaps 30C will be squeezed out after all
  9. My second favourite winter month of the decade after December 2010. I remember it was also sunny with temperatures about 15C - beautiful
  10. Yes the last 2 weeks have been poor, but there was heatwave before that. April and May were the sunniest on record and May was the 3rd warmest on record in the south. I think you need a reality check. We are overdue some poor weather
  11. I've been thinking this for ages yes - the 1990s were by far the hottest decade for augusts. The augusts since 2004 have been very normal
  12. Weird quick is the only three summers to average 25C in both July and August in London: 1976, 1995 and 2019. It was very warm in London. If it had had a little bit more sunshine it would be a solid classic
  13. Big improvement south of the m4 next week - looks really good but elsewhere will have to wait until around the 10th of July. The high looks pretty robust in its ridging and not too reliant on any shortwaves so I think this will come off. I always say that the stronger the high is modelled, the more likely it is to come off.
  14. I actually think the recent augusts since 2003 being historically bad is a myth - it has been consistently just above average. Only 2008,10,14,17 being awful and 2005,13,16,19 being really good
  15. That met update is kinda surprising it kind of came out of nowhere as everyone else has been feeling the opposite.
  16. I actually like the look of the GFS 06z I'm expecting something along those lines. With the AAM around neutral as are other background signals the NW/SE split is the favoured option. I'm concerned about Friday though doesn't look hot anymore
  17. output looking slightly worrying for the weekend with lp stuck around high pressure on four sides of It that setup can be very pervasive but still early days
  18. Hmm gradual dings afterwards of a more mobile spell on the means and this is backed up by this met office and BBC forecast being quite bullish about this transition lasting a while. I've also noticed increasing amounts of northern blocking on each GFS run I wonder if this is gonna be forcing a less settled spell
×
×
  • Create New...