Gray-Wolf
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Posts posted by Gray-Wolf
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24 minutes ago, Weather-history said:
Put the joking to one side, you have to ask the question: can the infrastructure cope with this? ie Electricty, rail lines in this country etc given that those temperatures?
Don't forget the 'melting roads' W-H!
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I seem to recall, back 'int day, raging 'discussions' (in the then 'Environment' section of the board?) as to just 'when' the UK would see its first 40C
All the 'regular' climate change deniers (back then) had it occur beyond 2070 & were hissying at my "By the 2030's.....
Seems we were all wrong eh? (I'm sure the site has records of such discussions?)
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Fantastic crop of photo's!
I've only stood & watched a Barn Owl hunting on one occasion so I'm deeply envious!!!
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59 minutes ago, Ed Stone said:
Indeed it was, Don. I, like many, may have been too quick in fingering the IOD as the cause of 2019's heat spikes? So, guessing once again, the 'new' GFS must be picking up on developments elsewhere -- North Africa and the Mediterranean perhaps?
IIRC the forecasters looking at last summer's 'Heat-dome' over the Pacific NW 'played down' the temps the models were showing thinking them 'unbelievable' only for the Models to be proven right?
By mid week we should have a better idea how things are looking,,,,,,
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Just noticed that Cell when I drove up to my Sons.....inky black out toward Halifax (Bradford) but blazing Sun here! (& very muggy!)
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Sorry Rebs.....we're having a BBQ later so we looked doomed!!!
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First clouds here in the Calder Valley.....looks like the air didn't like the ascent up from Rochdale?
Developing pretty fast too! from nowt to 2/3rds covered in half an hour?
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Well 'Calderdale' is well north of the MetO warning so I'm planning a BBQ to force the storms north........
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We still have clear skies
Will let you know eh?
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Contrary to the MetO rainfall rainfall it is not raining here, on the contrary, it's Sunny!!!
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'Space Weather.Com have a piccie from Skye last night;
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Well things seem to hotting up....
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Well how pretty is that?
We now have a snow shower in full Sun.....You don't get much of that in Winter proper (not such a strong Sun at least?)
The Joy of Snow this time of Year is that the Sun quickly takes it away leaving underfoot/roads clear!
Proper Snow globe outside though!
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Busy old Sun recently eh?
I get the feeling that this is beginning to look like a far more active cycle than many predicted?
3 more earth directed CME's yesterday alone (expected on the 31st?) & the Earth facing disc peppered with spots?
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I think it'll have to be sun lotion if I sit out later? Looking Fab out there currently!
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Well the rest of Yorkshire I hope your day has been as brimmed full of the promise of Spring as up here in the Sothern Pennines!
An absolute beaut of a day!
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Again, I thought we were promised, repeatedly over the passed 3 decades that there'd be no 'Methane Bomb'?
The Arctic Seafloor Is Degrading and Could Be a Climate Time Bomb
WWW.VICE.COMUp to a trillion tons of methane, a powerful greenhouse gas, may be locked away in the decaying ocean floor of a vast Arctic continental shelf.-
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54 minutes ago, A Face like Thunder said:
I heard the wailing of the flood warning siren at Todmorden on the BBC News last night, and it must be scary particularly for those who remember back to the War years.
I didn't know that in the German town I used to live in they use such to summon the firemen......18 storeys up & that sets a wailing!
I live in Mytholmroyd so I've heard it both 'testing' & For real event!.......it's the slow wind down from the final wail..... then the silence that follows..... that gets me!
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2 hours ago, iand61 said:
I hope so, we’re stopping the night at Sowerby Bridge and home again tomorrow and apart from Blackstone Edge, it’s Calder Valley or the long way via the M62.
I think any of the snow on the tops will have shifted by the morning?
Hopefully this will help with the rivers if that has drained before the real heavy rain arrives?
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Well that was unexpected!
I thought it was all staying South of the M62 but it has pushed much further North!
Good to see wet Atlantic snow falling in huge clumps!....
Now we'll see how the flood defences stand up to tomorrows rains (& melt from the tops?)........fingers crossed!
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Hmmm....
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I'll swap You Wold Topper!
Here on the Western slope of the Pennines it's been low cloud & clag & even a shower!
I can see clear all around us!.....grrrr.....
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Here's a thought, Marine Ice Cliff Instability (MICI) has been in operation in some of the Ocean terminating Glaciers since the Noughties, how do you think switching from 'seasonal calving' to year round calving will impact loss rates?
We all know Greenland is basically a below sea level basin fringed with mountains.
The Glaciers draining the uplands currently take ice to the Sea but there comes a point where those Glacial Valleys allow the flooding of that inland basin by the Atlantic
What happens to the Km of ice above once these breaches are ongoing?
We know that current atmospheric forcings, when last the norm, saw West Antarctica ice free & Greenland 2/3rds ice free (125,000 yrs ago?) so it is not a question of 'If' we'll see massive discharge from Greenland , just a matter of 'When'?
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I just don't get the 'Alarm' side of this at all?
We've hotly debated the subject for decades & those taking part surely recognised the potential for HUGE methane releases as the Far North warms at its accelerated rate?
Last summer saw 100F breached in the Arctic Circle, what do our newcomers think that means for the Permafrost? (& its 'cargo?)
When temps again allow for rapid microbial activity what do You think happens to those km thick layers of vegetation overlying the far North?
We might not have 'told You So' but we certainly asked similar Questions to those above in the 90's/noughties!
Model Output Discussion - Autumn arrives
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
Let's all remember how the Pacific NW 'Forecasters' downgraded what their models were showing them a year ago eh?
Bottom line is 'algorithms' don't do the "Climate Change? is it real?" thing?
They just crunch numbers from the data fed to them?
How many mad/bad' runs across how many platforms now?
&, really, if not now how soon will 40C fall?
Through the noughties , in here, I was assured it was 2070 or later.....in the noughties...