StormyWeather28
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Posts posted by StormyWeather28
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Google forecast is going for a snowstorm for my location at 10pm haha
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14 minutes ago, mountain shadow said:
Thank God for that. Celia Daly's forecast just had temps of 4 to 6 degrees all week with nought but wintry showers.
Met office more encouraging than that
Outlook for Monday to Wednesday:
A cold few days with a mixture of clear or sunny spells and occasional sleet or snow showers giving some accumulations.
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18 hours ago, mountain shadow said:
He's obviously a bit clueless then. A couple of years ago Parts of Ireland had snow from South Westerlies originating even further West in Canada.
I had constant streamers that day. 9 inches of snow by the next morning. And other areas had it worse than me. Warm front crossed the country the following day sadly.
He's not rating this potential slider either "Regardless of the track of the low, the airmass looks too modified for anything of note, away from hills and mountains."
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Met eireann mentioning moderate accumulations likely for Tuesday.
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Just now, northwestsnow said:
If i was an employer at the BBC the weather presenting job would be all yours..
I would specialise in writing up the Met office 30 day outlook lol
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Showers turning increasingly to snow from Monday evening across the North and West with an ongoing risk in the days ahead. Sliders could bring snow almost anywhere. Most if not all at risk of snow at times this week. Details very uncertain.
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Pretty decent update. You might even see snow Sat night Sperrin. Full on blizzard conditions however high it happens.
Today:
After a mainly dry start a band of heavy rain will spread east in the morning. Then brighter weather following in the afternoon with sunny intervals and a few showers. Mild, and breezy at first. Maximum temperature 9 °C.
Tonight:
Further showers this evening, turning to snow on higher ground later this evening and overnight. Strong to gale northwest winds, severe around the coasts. Minimum temperature 1 °C.
Sunday:
Clear bright or sunny intervals and occasional wintry showers, these giving slight falls over the hills. Strong to gale north to northwest winds gradually easing. Maximum temperature 5 °C.
Outlook for Monday to Wednesday:
A cold few days with a mixture of clear or sunny spells and occasional sleet or snow showers giving some accumulations.
Updated: 03:05 on Sat 26 Jan 2019 GMT
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Guy on boards.ie weather who has one the biggest followings ruling out snow. Not he thinks it won't, he's saying it will not. I would love a crystal ball myself. Good news is majority of the time he's blunt about saying it won't in these kinds of scenarios, it usually does. So that's a good omen lol
"If the airmass is cold enough off Greenland and the windspeed high enough then the air will not modify too much and snow will result. However, this is rarely the case. The 2000-km+ sea track usually modifies the air too much and, as you say, leads to the wrong side of marginal for proper snow to all levels. This will be the case again this week." -
2 minutes ago, mountain shadow said:
The GFS 12z bring the slider in on a much more Southerly track with Southern Ireland seeing the snow and the North missing out....
There will be changes from run to run this far out. As long as the pattern is stays cold that's the main thing for now. Would be worse if it went north to Scotland then we'd be on the mild side so that's encouraging at least.
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Saw this posted elsewhere. Met office outlook. Just sharing
"And the "Stopped Clock Award" for 2019 goes to.....
December 14: Through the first half of January there is an increasing likelihood for it to turn colder bringing the increased risk of winter hazards, especially frost and fog. Some snow is also likely with temperatures expected to fall below normal. However, there is uncertainty in the timing of this change to turn colder, and it could come before the end of December.
December 18: Through the first half of January, there is an increasing likelihood that colder weather may begin to dominate with a greater chance of seeing east or northeasterly winds.
December 21: Then, further into January, most probably becoming colder and drier than normal, with an increased likelihood of easterly winds.
December 24: By mid-month there is a greater chance of colder weather, with an increasing likelihood of frost, fog and snow, with these conditions probably continuing for the rest of the period.
December 31: By the third week of January there is then an increased likelihood of a change to much colder weather generally, bringing an enhanced risk of frost, fog and snow.
January 3: Towards the end of January, however, there is an increased likelihood of a change to much colder weather generally, bringing an enhanced risk of frost, fog and snow.
January 7: As the rest of the month progresses and into early February there is an increased likelihood of colder weather to become established generally, which will bring an enhanced risk of frost, fog and snow.
January 9: During the last week of January and into early February, there is an increased likelihood of cold conditions being established generally across all of the UK. This would bring an enhanced risk of snow and widespread frost, especially in the north.
January 13: For the end of January and into early February, there is an increased likelihood of cold weather being established across all of the UK, with temperatures continuing a downward trend to become cold or very cold.
January 21: As we head through February there is an increased chance of seeing very cold conditions developing with a greater probability of northerly or easterly winds.
"You've got to give them credit for persistence. However many times the weather proves them wrong they are not giving up." -
The longer frames of the ECM are completely different every run. I wouldn't get hung up on a day 10 chart. It'll be completely different in 12 hours.
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Well how disappointing. I missed that prolonged snow by 2 miles. 2 f miles lol.
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And it's stopped. Clouds breaking up overhead. None lying was very brief 5 10 minutes.
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Was outside for a smoke 20 minutes ago. Was raining. Looked out and snowing like mad now. 40m asl
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I think it will snow 100%. 2 to 3 inches. 4 for higher ground in worst affected areas. Based off a hunch ha. In these type of set ups you never really know how much there will be until the last moment and you can check what's following on in behind from the radar. I've plenty of smokes in and ready to stalk the lamppost tonight.
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18 minutes ago, ForeverPomeroysnow said:
Sets alarm for 5, gets up at 5.30, too much cloud cover no visible moon, but finds dog has peed and pooped all over the floor by stepping into it #notwinning
Hopefully not barefoot #ShiteMoon
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3 minutes ago, Rocheydub said:
Aperge Hi Res not going for snow.
First half of last winter Aperge rarely went for snow when I got it the PM set up. Not saying it will be wrong either. IMO I think the NW will see a moderate amount of snow.
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Sligo Leitrim and Donegal get most but still rubbish. Sperrins and Antrim hills as well.
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2 minutes ago, mountain shadow said:
The least said about the ECM the better. Just confirms that the cold and snow is not guaranteed.
Aye must I admit tho I got a laugh reading the model thread. I hope for snow on Monday night, not caught up about 7 to 10 days ahead
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1 hour ago, jules216 said:
About 500 to 600 m.asl. so quite a modest altitude compared to pictures of northern Alps from villages above 1000m. Last week. If you are interested our highest level snow height measured in recent history was actually 490cm in March 2005. I was home that year in march and we were jumping from 5m high rock in to snow fields and sunk neck deep, never before and after I have seen anything like that,as it was not a drift just pure level snow cover.
That would be great to experience at least once. Altitude certainly helps. I would love to spend a winter here up 500 600m with a polar W\NW would be buried ha
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Confusing. Comments are Hot and Cold, excuse the pun.
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Met Éireann - It will turn very cold on Sunday night under clear skies and just light variable breezes. Lowest temperatures will fall to between zero and minus 4 degrees with a widespread sharp frost.
Monday will be cold day and frost will only slowly clear in the morning. Moderate southwesterly winds will freshen ahead of a band of rain pushing into western areas in the afternoon and quickly spreading eastwards during the evening. The rain will turn to sleet or snow in parts of the north as top temperatures reach only 3 or 4 degrees there and elsewhere afternoon temperatures will be just 5 to7 degrees. -
GFS has consistently shown snow for my location starting 3pm Monday lasting most of Tuesday on the automated version. I never place much hope in that but the consistency is a plus. Ideally a couple of frosts to lower the ground temperature before it comes or it stops at night and freezes for a couple of hours before morning because there's every chance of a ground thaw given how mild it's been.
Ireland Regional Weather Discussion 13/12/2018 Onwards
in Regional
Posted
Weather after the 9 News she(forget her name sorry) mentioned significant snow on Tuesday and Wednesday. Sure it should be up on the RTÉ player.