AtlanticFlamethrower

Attention competition Make your words visual People read them (and haikus). solar min?

5.5C

Anyone concerned about the low forming right now off Portugal and over Bay of Biscay that will hit SE England and N France Sunday? 1987 Great Storm repeat? Lot of moisture and very low pressure, down to 967mb.

Good post. Sochi - My guess is that location has been chosen for political reasons. Stick with Russia you get the goodies. Vancouver had a surprisingly cold winter last year, but most years is mild, wet and grey. Rather like Britain. Again, Vancouver was likely chosen for political reasons. Olympic games = investment / jobs, raised profile for tourism etc. It's a shame because the more it's about politics the less it is about sport.

It doesn't "look good for SE England". It looks good for Kent, and it will be good for Kent because it aways is. A NEly set up like this never delivers significant PPN to London or South Essex which are also in SE England. This is due to the shape of the coast. What the majority of the population in SE England needs is a direct, fast flowing Ely but that is not being shown. There is nothing exciting about these charts yet for me. My region only just scraped 3 inches in January from accumulated dustings. The charts aren't showing a good set up for the SE snow-wise.

Not much change in the Baltic sea - some ice growth very noticeable between Denmark and Sweden. Is that even an ice bridge? Also some cooling in the region NW of the British Isles.

Okay, will record the Baltic. It's a nice image. Highest 2.5C.

I've a fair few other interests so my time here correlates very strongly with how cold the charts are looking :blink: I'm going to try and keep this thread running into March though. Happy for everyone else to continue to contribute with their imagery.

2.5C

Thanks for the makeagif link! Thanks Mike for introducing us to the "magic" 4C number. At the moment it looks like a small part of the Heliogoland region is 3C or below. I suppose if any region next to the UK were to reach this number first it would be The Wash. The London Estuary region presumably is kept milder by a warm feed from the Channel. Here's a gif of the last 5 days - Retrieved 14th-18th, meaning these gifs show days 13th-17th Jan. Next time I do a gif I'll add dates so you know when it starts and begins. I might also colour out the signs. gif 5 is where the 5C region becomes attenuated. You can also follow the progression by looking at the development of the cold pool off the coast of Norway to the top right of the image.

This might be interesting, but the free preview does not have the full text. Says it contains temperature data. Apparently in 1963, and 1947 the North Sea was so cold it was killing a lot of the white fish - cod, plaice, sole etc - in the North Sea in February and March. So much for global warming replacing native fish with new species - few more winters like this will kill off the natives!

Retrieved 15th January Another quite big change today - some of the pool of cold water between East England and Denmark-German coast appears to have moved north. Temperature in the northern part of the North Sea and North West of Scotland have cooled noticeably with the 7.5C line now much further north.

Three days' charts to update you with. The third day is the most exciting! Retrieved 12th Retrieved 13th Retrieved 14th That is a 5C link up across the North Sea from East Anglia to North German - Denmark coast. That's a fall in temperature of -2.5C since the turn of the year, - 4.5C since Christmas. Unisys SSTA chart shows the lower North Sea 1 - 1.5C below average, with 1C below average temperature water going up the North Sea west of Scotland. There is also below average temperature to our west and south, but it is milder than average directly north of Scotland.

Is there snow settling in Danbury/Chelmsford? In South Woodham it's just persistent sleet.

If river waters are cooler than sea waters then this will have a cooling effect on the seas near the coast. In the second chart below it looks like the 5C line which has expanded greatly from the Wash will reach over and join up with the 5C line growing from Denmark/Northern Germany. Surface temperatures over the next few days are expected to remain cold over the North Sea. However with a trough from the West we might expect warmer waters to be dragged up to the South West coast and the Channel. Interesting to see what happens. Retrieved 10th Jan Retrieved 11th Jan

if the Kent guys get ejected to their own thread I vote for Southend and the Essex Marshes to go with them. They are a province of Kent as far as the regional climate is concerned. then the rest of Essex and London can whinge together in happy contentment that if any one of us is getting screwed the likelihood is we're all getting screwed!

You got whacked in Feb 09... well, whacked as in 3 inches, compared to the zero we got here! We need to watch out for a Beast from the ESE. Low pressure moving west from the continent bringing seriously cold air with it. Check wetterzentrale archive for 13 Jan 1987 and Feb 6 1991. We need that.

I agree. Kent got similar snowfalls throughout the 00s. So did parts of the North and Wash area. It's not been a big snow event for London and even the majority of Essex in this region. This cold spell has had one spectacular event for W and SW of London, Surrey, Hampshire and W Kent, other than that it's notable not for its snowfall but for the sustained cold and repeated small snowfalls that have lead to gradual accumulation.

We're up to 3 inches here in South Woodham. more than we got in the 00s. most since 1991 I believe.

very light PPN in south woodham now... hope we get Leigh and Rayleigh's snow rather than a fizzled out version!

lightest snow blowing around ... as I type stepped up a gear moderate snow. 1 hour earlier than GFS predicted.

In the North Sea, which is very shallow, the sea is modified by the weather. Worldwide patterns of -ve and +ve anomalies also affect the North Sea which is another discussion Sea temps looking comparable with 2009 now in South but not further North. Retrieved 9th jan 10 This is nice cooling for just one day! Remember this is data for 8th January. By tonight I'd imagine the London estuary will be 6C. Less stored heat for mitigating cold air. Within the grey line is 7.5C. Darker blue within it is 6C. The first purple is 5C. Reef, what are the exact dates for the SSTs you showed from previous years? Great variety there.

00z GME T132 returns to an evolution that's appeared on last few GME, GEM and JMA runs but not yet on main models. Low reduced in strength, further south, block stronger, further west.

yes - this is noticeable! I read this on same theme today At least double rations for parts of Scotland then! No snow here for a while despite active radar. Going to bed. Night!

think we got a good part of this shower. this is what i like... so cold out there the wind blowing about and the dry powder snow is piling up on the window sill. not happened for more than a decade here... this is a historic moment, I feel like a page has turned...