[Model Discussion - Spring approaches - how warm at the end of this week?]

16 minutes ago, IDO said:

With the core cold on our side of the NH for a change, even a zonal flow can deliver short sharp spells of cold as lows march across the UK arena, and Arctic air moves south:

Most of that cold will be from the following ridge, so cold and dry after a cold front slides south.

PM air following in the wake...

pretty much sums up first 2 weeks of march

[Cold hunt - models and chat]

5 minutes ago, Daniel* said:

Hi there split? ECM going for it too. March colder than any of winter months? Definitely looks like a shake up.

Oh hellow daniel 

[Cold hunt - models and chat]

These NH profiles are really stonky

Interesting to see how this develops 

[Cold hunt - models and chat]

ughUgHuGH

[Cold hunt - models and chat]

Wowwwwwww LOL 

What a sexy set of ensembles

[Cold hunt - models and chat]

1 minute ago, Oliver Wyndham-lewis said:

Why give up? That could easily change! The fact that 80% of weather models forecasted easterlies in late January, the 20% won out demonstrates this. Majority may not always be true! 

Yh true those GEFS charts been changing every 6 hours recently 

6z had a clear signs of possible colder signs gone on 12z may reappeear on 0z/18z

[Cold hunt - models and chat]

Who else wanna laugh with me

[Cold hunt - models and chat]

Ughh ffps

[Cold hunt - models and chat]

a bit more amplified on ecm 12z than 0z dont think it will mean much 

[Cold hunt - models and chat]

1 minute ago, Mattwolves said:

Now we have springtime warmth charts being posted in the hunt for cold thread!! That's it, the handbag, the towels, hell, the whole wardrobe is being thrown in.

Lets cheer u up bro

[Cold hunt - models and chat]

4 minutes ago, Ed Stone said:

no

[Cold hunt - models and chat]

1 minute ago, Mattwolves said:

Well said young man, with you all the way, and as Feb as pointed out, low solar minimum will only serve to increase our chances of some colder winters in the next few years 

Yep 

not saying 2010 will happen but we all know what the sm 10 years ago casued winters of 09/10 to turn out 

 

[Cold hunt - models and chat]

1 minute ago, Updated_Weather said:

What a way to look at it

Lol this ecm is just making me laugh

[Cold hunt - models and chat]

1 minute ago, Quicksilver1989 said:

Wrong....

1) -12C uppers are in very small patches over Eastern Europe (T192)

2) The uppers will get moderated over the North Sea.

cold enough for snow showers in east this

lets not get too greedy

[Cold hunt - models and chat]

2 minutes ago, That ECM said:

It’s not

I know that 

hence the laughing emojis

[Cold hunt - models and chat]

 did anyone SAy sw'ly 

[Cold hunt - models and chat]

Just now, bluearmy said:

it dumps about six inches of snow on you mate ……….

Um no

[Cold hunt - models and chat]

1 minute ago, Don said:

Another roller coaster ride coming?

Indeed a week of close model watching to come

[Cold hunt - models and chat]

so ffar weaker altnic ECM

[Cold hunt - models and chat]

Just now, feb1991blizzard said:

Slight correction there, i think Summer Sun actually likes high pressure, its just that obviously you need some rain to avoid droughts and i think he would rather it fall in winter, so taking this out of the equation, he likes as mild as possible and as dry as possible.

Just wanted to add that another dry summer like 2018 will not be good for the country

This winter itself has been very dry and more high pressure 

A little top up coming in the coming week but yh thats all folk

[Cold hunt - models and chat]

alright now now

[Cold hunt - models and chat]

1 minute ago, Jason M said:

I assume your being ironic here. Not how I see it this evening.

Sarcasm haha rlly alot of confusion in models 

[The Hunt for Cold continues 02/01/19]

Just now, karlos1983 said:

The GFS is so confused,it's throwing heights absolutely everywhere 

True the GFS is certainly al over the place 

It should fix up in the coming week