Jamie M

Aye I agree - The Theta-E plume is a little bit more extensive in the west but the east still holds the best parameters

I do tend to notice AROME does go a bit east and west flippy right up until these events although does tend to be close enough by the evening runs. I'm team UKV at the minute because it gets storms here

UKV 9z is earlier & further west ever so slightly

Was looking at some of the soundings from AROME 00z's run for Lincolnshire and they did look pretty good so might be worth charging em just in case

AROME says no bueno to Kent/Sussex storms

There we are

Had thunderfog here along the coast on the 13th August 2020 here, bright flashes of lightning through the fog as it rolled in

Models seem to have shifted east for Fri night and UKV is less aggressive

Met Office 10 day trend for today shows this

Light curve from C/2023 P1 (Nishimura) | astro.vanbuitenen.nl ASTRO.VANBUITENEN.NL Looks like it'll be a relatively hard object to see due to the early dawn sky but wouldn't stop me from trying

Discovered on 11th August by Hideo Nishimura and is currently sat at magnitude 10 in the east close to the sun in the Gemini constellation. https://minorplanetcenter.net/mpec/K23/K23P87.html It had a temporary name of HN00003 until about an hour ago - approaches perihelion on 18th September with some estimates of it getting to mag 2 (https://groups.io/g/comets-ml/message/31550?p=%2C%2C%2C20%2C0%2C0%2C0%3A%3ACreated%2C%2Cposterid%3A2016356%2C20%2C2%2C0%2C100739383). Picture is from Michael Jager -https://groups.io/g/comets-ml/message/31561

Casual 100 mm + over East Kent in 12 hours

If only UKV was right

Summer so far for composites up to 11th August

ECM also models a neat little V notch on a storm up north

Finally updated and yep that's it for the season

25.9C earlier, now 23.7C with full cloud cover

Stays with you in some way or another

Sheffield being wiped off the map was the only good part but christ the rest was certainly sumet

A lot more active than the other low pressure system

I'd use the Met Office averages - WeatherSpark could very easily have data missing or data that isn't QC'd properly which could explain the differences. The averaging periods as well of 1980 - 2016 would have a slight difference to 1991-2020

Convergence made for some good collisions between the different outflows from different showers that eventually made for a torrential downpour overhead These pictures were taken between 15:05 & 15:18 today here in Herne Bay

Ah right fair dos!

Carnkie station? Wasn't aware there was an official one there

Some lightning from this one