Stabilo19

The storms leaving northern Spain look like they’re heading towards SE England (if they last that long).

MCS to hit the SE overnight? Can you imagine it. It’s not unusual for things to be shunted east at the last minute.

Tomorrow’s temps seem 1-2 degrees underdone. 850 temps will be mid to high teens in the SE (comparable or even 1 degree above today), and EA may scrape 20 degrees so mid 30s likely

I don’t think people are ready for widespread 37 C on Thursday, let alone the potential of 39 C. It’s going to be an extreme weather event (..if it comes off like that).

Maxed out at 33 degrees in NW London today - bang on forecast. Although I thought it’d go a degree or 2 higher. We’ve reached the level where the wind feels like a hairdryer. Beautiful day!

Northolt leading the way with 33 C currently. DP 15 degrees. So not as humid as it could be in the capital, lucky we don't have 20+ DPs.

16-18 850 temps today 22-23 850 temps Thursday So 39-40 C seems entirely plausible.

Anything can happen! I'm sure we all remember the stormagedon a few weeks ago that didn't exactly follow the model forecast, taking a sharp turn east.

Heathrow leading the way with 30 degrees at noon. 34 peak later? Interestingly the dew point is "only" 15 degrees, so not feeling that humid IMO.

NW London catching up to EA now, approaching 26 degrees at 10am. Max temps in 6 hours will be interesting.

Norwich area could be looking at low to mid 30s with 23 degrees at 8:30AM. Nice!

We must have been in two different Londons then because it was still fairly cloudy until 2:30-3pm for me. Much better start to the day today however. Bring on the 30s!

Hopefully the storms and cloud stay away from the east - Thursday is looking a bit shaky. Some of us want the record breaking temps to come to fruition.

Yes, that’s true. I just wanted to add a bit of balance to the thread. Some places were above and others below.

BBC and MO both went for 29 for London and parts of the SE in their graphics, and then mentioned high likelihood of 30 degrees in broadcasts. Don’t get me wrong, I want heat as much as the next person but I just thought it’s a bit misleading to say the models underdone temps as it suggests the following days will be hotter than forecast.

Erm most of the south east was covered with cloud until the afternoon - London, Surrey, Hampshire, Kent..

No, quite the opposite as many places were stuck under cloud until the afternoon and temps were overdone for many in London and the SE.

38.2 C on Thursday in London.

Seems to be maxing at 23-27 in London and the SE of England. So a few degrees down from predicted maxes of 29-30.... no point frantically worrying about what’ll happen in 3 days time if the forecast wasn’t accurate 12 hours out. With that being said - if we reached 27 in London after a mostly cloudy day then high 30s aren’t out of the question on Thursday if it’s sunny!

Apples and oranges. Some areas are seeing higher temps than models forecast and others have lower temps. Areas SE of London are struggling to break through the low 20s. So I think it's wise to be cautious regarding Thursday! We may be left with residual thunderstorm junk.

Regarding this in the MOD thread: "July record (36.7c) is 100% going. Decent chance of beating 38.5c and a slight chance of 40c If pretty much all the models are forecasting 37-38c then you can easily take that as highly likely. Even if you only add a degree you are at 38-39c If even the pessimistic beeb is forecasting 37c for London, you sit up and take notice. You can usually add 2-3c to their forecast They are forecasting 35c for my location (Haverhill, Suffolk). That is unheard of. Typically we are around 32c even in 2006, 2013,2015 Once the models are three days out, they are pretty damn reliable and this is a stable situation unlike the plume before. No signs of degradation whatsoever. Thursday is going to definitely be a record breaker. Perhaps multiple records." The temperature in London/SE is down by 3-4 degrees (multiple predictions of 26 midday, peaking at 29-30 later) right now with persistent cloud. A lower max today would mean a lower overnight min, which could impact tomorrow's max temp. So nothing is guaranteed for Thursday despite XYZ predicting record breaking temps.

It's been a pleasant week, wish it was a few degrees warmer but can't complain about the dry weather. What's noticeable is the browning of public grassy areas down here.

So, uhh.. you want the Met Office to take into account the mechanics of your window before releasing their forecasts? Lol, right! Plus the nights aren’t even warm, low teens?

Warm sunshine describes the weather just fine. Nowhere in the UK is depressingly hot or uncomfortable at the moment?

Already feeling quite warm in west London at 10am. This week vs. "heatwave week".. what a difference!