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jamesgold

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Everything posted by jamesgold

  1. jamesgold
    Where’s the UK Met? I’m not taking that GFS seriously until I see it backed up
  2. jamesgold
    If this really is to be our best opportunity this winter, then climate change really is screwing us over, overriding all the positive-looking drivers we have this year… Anyway, this isn’t me writing off winter at all, I have hope if the strat plays ball let’s see where we are tomorrow morning, this GFS 18z was encouraging
  3. jamesgold
    Normally we’d be saying don’t discount the Ukmo at this stage… but this seems different this time
  4. jamesgold
    That fax chart just looks like they don’t know where the low will be, so if they put 3 there, one will be right ??
  5. jamesgold
    Maybe people need to stop commenting after just the first 2 frames
  6. jamesgold
    Worth waiting til the ensembles before the massive overreaction…
  7. jamesgold
    First flakes I’ve seen this winter
  8. jamesgold
    I’ll take a wait until later in the month for the MJO lag, cold Christmas
  9. jamesgold
    I think this is a case of “too cold to snow” in a way
  10. jamesgold
    Air feels so dry here in Bromley, radar says we’re under snow but it’s certainly not reaching the ground
  11. jamesgold
    For a lot of us, I really hope you’re right Radar is quite hard to tell where it’s going
  12. jamesgold
    Theoretical question… would the Chilterns help or hinder its intensity?
  13. jamesgold
    Credit to @UKWX on twitter for the lines, but I feel like this is right. It’s absolutely borderline for me in Bromley which is frustrating
  14. jamesgold
    Looking through twitter it seems that drier air might take the intensity out of this for any of us East of London. Oxfordshire/Surrey kind of areas though should do well though. Agonising for me in South London sadly
  15. jamesgold
    Well we can certainly discount UKV
  16. jamesgold
    Absolutely grim day standing out at the Crystal Palace match today. See we could be in for some surprise snow tomorrow with a little feature popping up today in the models, bring it on
  17. jamesgold
    100%, very hard to trust a northerly in autumn for our parts… Let’s remember winter hasn’t even started yet and plenty still to play for
  18. jamesgold
    Just drizzle here in Bromley
  19. jamesgold
    Right, here comes the precipitation- let’s see what happens
  20. jamesgold
    I think you’ve been led up the garden path a bit if you thought we were getting much better than this. I think the dew points were always looking too high for comfort. Possible surprises I’m hoping for especially at elevation but I’d say sleet was doing well ??
  21. jamesgold
    GFS 0z frequently at the very mild end of its ensembles, before it gets too gloomy in here
  22. jamesgold
    I agree, it’s not our best set up. The models do all seem to be actually showing snow-conducive conditions though, and closer to the time I’m sure there will be little kinks in isobars popping up for snow chances, and evaporative cooling etc… however, I’m not fully sold on this yet, I can see it being watered down with cold going too far east eventually
  23. jamesgold
    Anyone fear we’ve hit the perfect alignment of this too many days out I’d bank that GFS in a heartbeat so hopefully we can get some consistency in the next few days about the angle of the northerly
  24. jamesgold
    If there are downgrades tomorrow morning (I imagine there would be, considering how good it looks this evening) can we agree not to all throw toys out of the pram? Today shows how finely poised this all is
  25. jamesgold
    Whoops… Strong La Nina? How has this happened so fast? Are we generally expecting this to be a blip and it will recover?
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