Turquoise
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Posts posted by Turquoise
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14 hours ago, Daniel* said:
The convective season in central London this year so far, has been nothing short of a disaster. It seems to be a good year for Midlands, again London & SE seeing worst of heat and nothing from it not a drop.
London have had numerous storms this year tbh
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a pretty uneventful day up here again, we did have a heavy shower for about 20 mins but considering the hype about today it was yet another letdown.
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Is there anything else due to for this evening in these parts??
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had the usual scenario. Thunder approched, as soon as it got near us it stopped. Passed over, and became thundery again as it moved away. At least this time we had some rain.
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Just now, Aiden2012 said:
Is it finally happening
yes. Enjoy
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had a torrential downpour just now, few distant rumbles to the west. seems to be some fresh cells kicking off again in Wales, hopefully will take on a more easterly direction as they move north.
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torrential downpour for around 20 mins here, few distant rumbles of thunder....think that is probably it for today unless the new cells in Wales developing take a more easterly direction
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Few distant rumbles, think we are too far east for it to come closer
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3 minutes ago, Weather-history said:
Met Office forecast is out
Supposed to be this at 2pm
that are always so far off the mark.
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hoping the squall line tracks just a bit further east so we get to enjoy it too
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1 minute ago, alexisj9 said:
Tbh this has always been a north event, it's still basically the same as the forecasts from earlier this week surprisingly.
True, although it was originally forecasted to be widespread across the north....now its mainly confined to the north east. Time will tell though.
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Just now, summer blizzard said:
According to people earlier it was showers in advance of the front that were the threat however these are few and far between. So far it's just the front itself invigorating thanks to Welsh uplift (and likely Pennine uplift further east).
Hard to guage from models because UKV just showed a few speradic showers.
It could be the current squall lines over Wales that will explode into something big once they hit the NE
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5 minutes ago, Harsh Climate said:
All the time lol. Like other day when French storms spewed up a load of cloud over the uk completly destroying our chances of forecasted storms. At least today there is plenty of space and favorable conditions for storms to develop.
i dont see the point in running models a full week ahead for it to show a potential event and then it change 24-48 hours before. People who planned storm chases or had things to do are left disappointed. Its always best to nowcast, radar watch and look at the sky maybe the day before and then we can get excited lol.
As for actually today, yes storm development could be anywhere, although the NE are going to do well particularly well.
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1 minute ago, Harsh Climate said:
Yeah the weather is not really following the script so far, let's see how it plays out.
it literally never does, how many times have the 'models' been wrong recently?
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Looks like Cheshire will miss out again, even though we are technically in a warning area. That usually means it's gonna be a lovely sunny day.
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2 minutes ago, Ruck Bodgers said:
Back home in Stoke, just wondering to ask if everyone seems to think it'll be a bust tomorrow due to the quickness of the cold front from what you guys have been saying?
The models are disagreeing with each other even now lol....hard to say, there is a bit of 'mackerel' sky right now not far from you so that's usually a good sign...
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Bit of accas floating about tonight, early signs of instability perhaps and for what is due tomorrow. Discrepancy among the models so it's anybodys guess now really.
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1 hour ago, Eagle Eye said:
And that's why people should wait and do their own forecasts. Rather than hyping something up based off 1 model run 3 days out. Anyway, tomorrow is only as disappointing as you make it. Enjoy everything to a big extent and you'll find much more joy in small storms, that's why I'm out here saying storm of the year after I get a moderately good shelf cloud and 2 lightning strikes.
Of course. But it doesn't help running models a week ahead and hyping up potential events when on almost every occasion it changes later on. Just makes no sense, and leaves people disappointed.
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Looks like a very disappointing day in store tomorrow, maybe the extreme NE England might get something before it intensifies over the North Sea but considering the hype earlier this week its turned out really disappointing, at least judging by the models
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30 minutes ago, summer blizzard said:
Modelling may have been much too agressive based on radar.
Yet again.
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17 minutes ago, A Face like Thunder said:
Agreed, but give them their due, they got the warning spot on for Crewe on Monday 12th June!
Not for me. I'm in Congleton lol
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Third time in a row now we have had a storm warning and it's been a beautiful sunny day instead. Not sure why they continuously get it so wrong up here but hey ho
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Few heavy showers breaking out, none of them producing sferics yet, maybe a bit more diurnal heating might help as we go through the peak of the afternoon....
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14 minutes ago, Rush2112 said:
Lovely bright orange lightning to my SSE, coming from Leek direction, can be seen also on the Winking Man live cam. Cannot hear any thunder though.
saw one distant faint flash here and thats it...not sure if any cells will pop up closer, does seem to be an uptick in activity tonight
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Storms and Convective discussion - July 2023
in Storms & Severe Weather
Posted
Ireland pretty much having daily thunderstorms for the last 2 months solid.....incredibly impressive.