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Mr.Plow

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Posts posted by Mr.Plow

  1. It's been a lousy week for weather in norwich and towards Gt Yarmouth, always seem just that little bit to warm.(Grey and cold and drizzly is not my favourite) (Sorry I just needed to get that grumble out if my system!)

    Looks like some of you have had some nice conditions and more to come, just hoping it may move over us here towards the east of norfolk but having looked at the models it seems we are not in a good spot. I may have to go out for a drive, where is the best spot this week do you think?(In this area I mean)

  2. Folowing the last few GFS runs, it shows potential snow for Norfolk during much of the day.

    It's currently rain by the coast nr Gt Yarmouth but it will be interesting to see what happens later on as I head to Norwich for the day.

    I don't feel convinced that the forecast snow will arrive. (It may snow but I can't see conditions condusive to it laying although I hope to be proven wrong)

  3. The models have been amazing though and for me that's the exciting part.

    True it was lovely to wake up to a covering of snow today but that's not what I follow this thread for for it's the second guessing of the models and reading between the lines of the experienced posters. Some very experienced posters seem to wait until there is a set of models which support their view then post and then go silent when the models show breathtaking scenarios.

    I am still a novice but I am remaining confident of block staying strong and then bringing the cold this way however I suspect it won't be until tomorrows 12z or later that we can have any degree of confidence in the outcome.

  4. So one full set of runs point to a colder outcome. (Is that including the ensembles?)

    Presumably it could all still change next run? Or does the model agreement inspire much more confidence.

    One thing about the models this year is the upgrading of cold closer to the time, feels like the (polar)opposite of previous years.

    I think the 06Z GFS and all of the 12z models are going to be awaited with crossed fingers this morning.

  5. Regarding Norwich missing out, either the urban heat island kicked in or showers hit UEA more heavily than the main city of Norwich, as I got up to 12cm here at one stage which isn't bad at all.

    I am being picky as we have had lots of snow fall overall, just not as much during the daytime as I would have liked. I have been waiting for a big short sharp burst rather than a cumulative effect.

    Now we have radar and can easily get reports from other areas It's easier to feel let down.

    If you had asked me at the start of the winter if I would take this I would have bitten your hand off!

    Been snowing for hours off and on, beautiful to watch.

    I think the Met Office were trying to cover their backside. The extent of this warm air has taken everyone, including myself, by surprise, and clearly the Met Office's models underestimated it.

    Is it mainly due to the weather direction? Winds were predicted to have been more straight easterly than we have had.

  6. Norwich seems to be thawing at the moment. Mainly rain wiith the odd flake here at the moment.

    Overall we have had lots of snow over the course of the week, it's mainly fallen ovenight though. And cerainly has not felt particulalry remarkable except for the lenght.

    Definitely better than the last few winters, but considering I had been waiting for a southerly jet and the fabed Greenland high I am left wondering what all the fuss is about.(From a purely Norwich based perspective)

    Massive blob just to my east though, and it's pepping up according to the radar a heavier shower may turn back to snow still.

    And it's till only the 10th January so lots of the winter still left!

  7. Just went through the precipitation charts from the 18z and Norfolk/East Anglia and then the South East is predicted a right pasting. Thursday from about 6 in the am throught to early hours Saturday for Norfolk then starting again on Sunday!

    I think back to the forecast I think it was Ian Mcascill - of the 1987? North Easterly.

    I wonder what the North Sea wil brew up for us?

    Anyone want to hazard a guess?

    Or even better show links to thise other precipitation charts - NAE?

  8. Yes that's a bit of a surprise- it's the same at UEA, settling easily on the grass but struggling on concrete surfaces. Usually that is a sign that either air or ground temperatures are marginal. Temperatures in the Norwich area are currently around 0 to 0.5C suggesting that it may be ground temps that are the main problem. But if snow gets heavy enough it will overcome high ground temperatures.

    Tomorrow looks like having a sizeable dumping over parts of Norfolk with snow showers coinciding with a trough and front over East Anglia.

    Thanks for the info. My boss has asked me to keep an eye on things with regards to snow as we have about 100 people in our call centre to manage.

    The snow is really coming down quite heavily now - back to the radar for me!

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