Woodboss
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Posts posted by Woodboss
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Evening all hope everyone is well and ready for what's to come. There is the potential for some very strong convection with this storm and as recent radar shows there is a very pronounced line that's developed and moving through the central channel. With very strong shear present this has the potential to produce very strong convective wind gusts potentially at quite alarming speeds. There is also the potential for a brief tornado or too with this setup! Currently here in Hassocks sustained winds are now at least 25-30 mph and gusts are now likely to be pushing north of 50mph. There is likely to be some very dangerous conditions as this line moves across and if anyone is out in this like I am then you need to be very aware and if you have any doubt then seek shelter! Good luck to anyone out experiencing this but know your limits,stay away from the immediate coast as the waves are already massive,stay away from large and exposed trees as there is a good chance of trees failing and most importantly stay safe.
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5 minutes ago, Metwatch said:
I've done quite well this year as well!
2 very close CG's sub 400m, 9th May the one during the day and 18th September at around 3am which was more like around 200m away.
Definitely one of the best years for storms in my locality along with 2020, some other cracking storms in June as well.
Made the vids shorter as I do freak out in them
Ive seen both of these and they are likely the best I've seen on here this year, you've certainly hit the jackpot so really well done! The one at night you caught is likely only 100m away,that made a similar sound to the strike I saw in the New forest as I mentioned above. The one in the field is a monstrous strike and was almost identical to what I saw here just over a week ago at night! You definitely done good with getting these on film but definitely be careful in open fields because the strike I witnessed from just 80ft away a few years back was in an open field and I was very lucky to have not been harmed and it was a very sharp reminder that I will never forget
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7 hours ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:
That's absolutely unreal! Great shot Flash
!
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7 hours ago, Metwatch said:
Gunshot thunder in Eastleigh, Hampshire.
This is very close indeed! I had a similar hit here in west Sussex just over a week ago and the strike was absolutely colossal! Around 450-500 meters from my house according to lightning maps and I felt the shock wave outside in the back yard! This I think is a good 100m closer because of the real crack at the start and because of my experience of numerous occasions where I have pushed my luck and witnessed close and sometimes dangerously close strikes! 70-80 ft is the closest for me but by far the loudest was in the new forest. A single CG struck a tree around 100m away right in front of me and the force and noise from it was astonishing. I am certain that I will never hear that sort of sound ever again from a storm, this strike was on another planet
! I think this could be under 400m away as a conservative guess from my past experience with that sort of sound but possibly a bit less too. A massive strike nonetheless!
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7 hours ago, ChannelThunder said:
Some nice structure on the high base and a few CGs to boot.
Cracking shots matey! That's a decent looking structure on that thing indeed.
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7 hours ago, sunnijim said:
A35 heading toward Dorchester,secret McDonald's by the roundabout if anyone is familet
An early morning stop off point for me when I'm driving down to Cornwall at silly o clock in the morning to avoid the traffic
! Have even seen a storm from there a few years back traveling down to st Ives one morning 
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On 01/10/2023 at 12:15, Supacell said:
Absolutely. I witnessed a squall line pass over Derby in January 2014. It went on to produce a tornado near to Retford. It's just that storms aren't as commonplace in the cooler months.
However, in simple terms storms are caused by cooler air above warm air. This can happen at anytime and arguably could lead to an increase in coastal storm activity in the Autumn, especially with a warmer SST.
Good call supacell! This can and has happened on a few occasions down here on the Sussex coast. We currently have sea temperatures here at around 18 degrees still and with cold air aloft some of the vital ingredients are in place. A warm moist plume undercutting cold uppers is also key too
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On 01/10/2023 at 11:42, Alderc 2.0 said:
Last Octobers storms were some of the strongest I’ve seen this country. Certainly seems a trend that while thundery activity is diminishing in summer proper it’s increasing in September/October, almost a bit like a very moderate Mediterranean climate.
Last October's storm's we're very pokey and pretty well organized indeed for us on the south coast! Quite possibly the most intense daytime storm I've seen in thirty years! I watched this come in from the beach near Worthing and the gust front was loaded! At least 50mph straight line winds and if I'm honest I'm being quite conservative so could have been higher as I was having difficulty standing up properly! Also a fairly decent tornado in the Hampshire/Dorset area too!
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Channel is lighting up like the national grid, good luck to all that are out tonight!
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On 05/09/2023 at 08:23, ChannelThunder said:
One year ago!
Still annoyed about my camera settings/choice of lens on this, but it did lead to me educating myself more on certain things about lightning photography that I was perhaps overlooking a little. Still, made a little bit of money off of two national papers!
I remember this night very well! By far the best that year! Great capture matey!
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Evening all, just as we approach a potentially active 24 hours or so of weather there are signs that we are now coming towards some destabilisation. Some rather pokey little cells are starting to form now between the approaching trough to the South West and the little convective mess that I'm watching moving in towards Hampshire and West Sussex. This is the point where I usually start keeping a closer eye on the radar. Best of luck to all that will be out chasing over the next day or so and hopefully we will see some decent convective activity
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13 hours ago, WeatherArc said:
This is complete, utter insanity from last nights 12z Euros members.
Member 48 showing a casual 6000 j/kg (yes, 6000) of cape above Bristol
Updrafts with the same power as about 10 nuclear bombs. This must be some sort of model record? To see a figure like this even modeled in the UK is just crazy, I did a double take when I first saw it
And if that wasn't enough the control and members 13/35 are showing an environment with wind fields supportive of violent supercells and possible strong tornadoes.
Have we suddenly switched climates with oklahoma city in may???
If this came off I would never complain about the summer of 2023 again
If this came off then we'd be looking at some very dangerous thunderstorm's indeed! Very highly unlikely to be anywhere near these numbers here and even in the States this is an astonishing figure! I have a friend who lives in Texas and they had storms with cape value's approaching 5500j/kg a few years back with all other parameters in place. It produced fist sized hail and cloud tops well in excess of 50000ft causing a lot of damage! As I mentioned earlier not likely to have figures anywhere near that high here but in the unlikely event it did come off it would be pretty special!
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On 10/08/2023 at 20:27, Eagle Eye said:
Oh my, imagine if this came off or even just similar. We can dream right?
The last chart you posted certainly grabs my attention. 2-3000j/kg cape is very high for anywhere in this country but to have these numbers across the whole of Sussex and Kent and around 2000j/kg even on the coast is a very much loaded gun scenario! These figures are likely to be watered down somewhat nearer the time but if this was to come off this would provide the recipe for some serious thunderstorms! Also if deep layer shear and high dew points are conducive then we could be looking at some very nasty storms indeed! It's definitely a situation to watch out for and worth keeping a close eye on the model runs as we draw closer to the forecasted plume! I have got underneath many good storm's over the years here in the South East but the storm I witnessed from my view point on the south downs near Hove back in July 2017 was absolutely astonishing! If this turns out to be anything near what I witnessed that night it will be one to remember
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On 10/05/2023 at 17:59, Superstormuk said:
Some photos from just ouside Maidenhead yesterday evening. Some really cool structures and striations.
Great shots these are! This is a particularly interesting looking storm too. The third photo looks to me like a half decent attempt at a wall cloud looking at the structure of this!
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1 hour ago, Metwatch said:
Incredibly close lightning from an overhead thunderstorm in Warwickshire about an hour ago, closest I've seen in my life.
Apologies for the excitement there.
That is absolutely nuts great capture,was very close too!! Fair play!
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44 minutes ago, chillyblast said:
Looks bad up in the Yorkshire Dales too (10mins ago):
Jesus Christ that looks absolutely savage! Some pretty fierce winds accompanying that lot too!!
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Morning all,rain has now transitioned to snow and coming down quite steadily here just north of the South downs. Around a centimeter of lying snow on cars and roof's and just trying to settle on the pavement and back roads.
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Tonight is going to be very cold indeed for some of us here in the south east! Already minus 6 here in Hassocks and im only 9 miles from the coast but am just north of the south downs and its particularly sheltered here and with lying snow. This morning was minus 7.5 here at 7 o'clock and I'm confident that will be exceeded tonight. I'm quietly confident it could reach down to minus 10 here tonight it really is proper cold here already!
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7 hours ago, Dazzer6666 said:
Had around 2.5 hours of persistent snow in Mid Sussex (Burgess Hill) after a few mins of freezing rain initially, now seems to be easing off with maybe 3-4cm lying. Temp hasn't been above freezing all day.
I'm just down the road in Hassocks and just over 5cm in my street (tape measure verified). 9cm plus near the top of the south downs when I went up there earlier.
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Snowing quite heavily here now in Hassocks after some small icy bit's. Not far shy of an inch of snow in 20-30mins here!
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It's minus 2 here in Hassocks and should likely get a few degrees colder by 6am. Doesn't often get this cold down here anymore, especially this early in the year! Was consistently colder when I was growing up as a kid over 30 years ago. There's only really one area now in Sussex that really gets some decent cold and that's a small section of the Sussex weald between Turners hill to the west of East grinstead and Heathfied. This includes the Ashdown forest which is noticeably colder because of it's elevation and exposure to the weather conditions. I've seen some very low temperatures up the top of there several times and there were a couple of occasions that stood out for me up there. Only last year I was working in forest row on the northern side of the Ashdown and at 5pm it was minus 2,just a 5 minute drive up the road to the top on the way home and it was minus 6 and felt proper cold. The other occasion was around 10 years ago in borderline airmass conditions. It was 5 degree's and heavy rain here and up there it was 2 degrees and around 3 inches of lying snow with almost white out conditions at times. I've lived in Sussex all my life and the cold at the top of Ashdown forest has left a marked impression on a few occasions for me. Altnaharra,aboyne or braemar are likely to see the lowest this winter in my opinion but there is likely to be localised spots that can and do get colder still.
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6 hours ago, Iceman2606 said:
Stunning Mammatus clouds over Northamptonshire this afternoon.🌦
Stunning shots there iceman very well done! Looks very moody indeed!
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Some extremely heavy convective rain here right now just north of Brighton and Hove,no lightning to speak of but astounding rainfall considering there's no sparks! Quite gusty winds at times too.
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Just had a very short and sharp thunderstorm here just north of Brighton. Only a handful of strikes but very loud thunder on 2 or 3 of them which shook the ground. Torrential rain and hail for around 15mins but the wind gusts were phenomenal with a sudden veer in wind direction briefly!
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Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
Well said Paul! Sticking to the topic discussion and respecting the guidelines and each other is an absolute must for this great community!