Frigid
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Posts posted by Frigid
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2 hours ago, raz.org.rain said:
After that, the models seem to be toying with the idea of switching back to ridiculously mild. That certainly would fit the predictions that a few of us have made (warm end to february, early spring leading onto a warm and dry March).
Not sure about that, the signal is for blocking to become more prevalent as the month goes on. I'm not seeing any evidence for 'ridiculously mild' weather to follow. Ens are split between mild and cold after mid month. Quite a strong signal for -AO to mid month and the GFS are keen to prolong the cold. EC46, Exeter and BBC Update also firm on cold to continue.. Of course it could all be wrong as seen many times but it shouldn't be ignored.
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Thankfully this mild spell is short-lived. Should be over by Tuesday, and by the looks of it could turn much colder with snow chances. GFS 00z has us in cold for at least a week. SSW signals also strengthening so the potential for a colder March is there. Things are looking much better after weeks of dismal model watching
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SunSean Yes, if the supposed SSW does occur I hope we see a month similar to April 2021. It was drier and sunnier than the fabled April 2020, but temps were flipped around. Harsh frosts and most of the rainfall in the first half was from snowfall. I do recall from the 13th onwards seeing continuous unbroken sunshine.. what a lovely month.
What I don't want to see is another April 2012 or 2023, boring and dull. Can't recall a single thing from last April.
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Not as mild as I expected, certainly looked like mid 5s a week ago. Same CET as 2022, and I suspect a similar sunshine amount too. Can only recall around 3-4 deluge days, mostly dry.
So an average January, quite challenging to get anything close to average these days. Though if the last 10 days were just average, the CET would've been much lower.
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@MattStoke We can pretty much say January has hit 20C. Reminds me of when Oct 2011 hit 29.9C..
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56 minutes ago, raz.org.rain said:
winter isn't over until March has passed for me. Even if it's ludicrously mild t-shirt weather, I still call it winter as the risk of winter weather will always be around the corner until spring has properly set in.
Tbf we still get cold weather in May.. think 2021, 2020, 2019, 2013 etc. May 2020 had a potent northerly with -10C uppers in Scotland, many forget this due to the warmth a week later.
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December was one of the mildest on record. Pretty sure Christmas Eve was the mildest on record. Only appreciable amount of cold we've had are the first two days of December and 15-19th Jan. Now imagine the equivalent in summer.. terrible.
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I hope we see some cold in Spring to compensate for the lack in winter. Something similar to April 2021, very sunny and cold would be great. Can understand the frustration with it being cloudy 24/7.
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This. We pretty much get a warm record every year now, getting a cold one is incredibly rare. Last year we had two record breaking warm months, and now this. In the last 10 years the only months I'd describe as cold are February 2018, January 2021, April 2021, May 2021. The first half of 2021 was interesting as it was the first time we saw a pretty cold first half since 2013, of course it didn't last.
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19.6C.. in January. Depressing to see, yet another mild record broken.
At least it didn't make it down south, a measly 10C max here today.
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5 minutes ago, SunnyG said:
Seriously though, what's wrong with not having to over-use gas/electricity?
More to do with personal preference, but I understand for some the cold isn't viable. At least the current spell will have a positive impact for some.
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@Chasbrown Yeah I understand, but the fact February is now looking quite zonal its the opposite of what was forecasted.
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15C here, I loathe this kind of weather. Bring back the cold, sunny days we had last week.. proper winter weather
February already looks like a write off, all the background signals and seasonal forecasts are rapidly losing credibility. Truly sobering stuff this winter which looked quite promising to provide a cold month.
I'll leave this here.. no words.
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1 hour ago, raz.org.rain said:
A very spring looking map today
What a ghastly chart for February, words can't describe the utter garbage the models have been showing the past few days. Something has to change.. quick!
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Never done with cold, will take it any time of the year given how stupidly rare it is these days.
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10 hours ago, Weather-history said:
July 2020 was easily the worst summer month from those two summers. One thing going for summer 2020 was the thunder, best summer for thunder for some time. It had some similarities with summer 2004 how it panned out.
Summer 2021 was a half decent summer here with June being the best. Also some decent thunder as well.
Same thoughts, mid June 2020 had some spectacular storms. The summer as a whole was quite cool, July 2020 could've easily been the coolest since 1988 but the late heatwave scuppered that. August had possibly the most humid spell of weather I can remember, incredibly uncomfortable. The final few days were quite pleasant and cool, an early start to Autumn that year.
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Another mild February, no surprises there. Hopefully the signal switches back to cold in a weeks time.
6.6C and 130mm. Thanks
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2 hours ago, simshady said:
Hopefully a cool, if not cold spring this year. If it's not going to be cold then wet and windy please
March 2013, April 2021, May 2021 would be nice.
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Just now, NEVES SCREAMER said:
The 14c looks good
Thing is, I don't mind the mild weather.. It's the incessant rain and wind. If the upcoming spell was predominately sunny it'd be quite pleasant.
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Goodbye Winter, Hello Autumn
Hopefully we see at least one more blast of cold in Feb, the current forecast is reminiscent of the wretched December we had.
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July 2023 saw 159mm rainfall and didn't exceed 25C here.. very rare to see with years normally topping 32C+ in July. In contrast the year prior saw highs of 38C and 40mm rain.
Now that I think of it, if you swapped the first half of June 2022 with 2023 the summer as a whole would've been remarkably cool. 2023 saw two major heatwaves which led to two record breaking warm months, no comparison with some of the cooler years like 2007 and 2012.
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-9C this morning. Coldest January night since 2010, even beating the cold January 2013 and 2021 which saw longer periods of cold but nothing close to -9C.
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4 minutes ago, PsychedelicTony said:
Surely can't get anywhere near than Manchester -17c from 2010?
When they talk of January records being broken? Or is it date records?
It was about - 10 at 4pm that day.
Thick snow cover. Amazing. Don't think I will ever see that again on my doorstep.
Certainly not after moving to the coast!
That was certainly the most intense cold spell our region has experienced since 63. Think it also holds the coldest temperature on record for Manchester.
Currently -6C. I'm thinking a minima of -8/-9 is possible. -10C would be great
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1 hour ago, damianslaw said:
BBC said don't be surprised if some of the snow showers over N Scotland make it down into N Eng overnight to leave a cover. I assume it means Northumberland and NE england coastal areas.
Aa said tomorrow could throw up many snowy surprises to the region especially western parts and Cheshire.
Yep coldest January night since 2010 looks likely.. already -4C here with 12 hrs of cooling left.
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Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
Looks promising..