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Kasim Awan

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Everything posted by Kasim Awan

  1. Kasim Awan
    Frustrating how the intense convective easterly is shunted well North of the UK by the Iberian high.
  2. Kasim Awan
    GEM is not what we want.
  3. Kasim Awan
    Heights rising to our West at 180h so not bad for longevity.
  4. Kasim Awan
    ICON isn't great. Cold struggling with push of milder uppers not far.
  5. Kasim Awan
    Weather changes understand that instead of making those types of posts.
  6. Kasim Awan
    Think you are right here now.
  7. Kasim Awan
    Can we return to analysing this snow event
  8. Kasim Awan
    Yes why?
  9. Kasim Awan
    You'd be surprised how quickly convection can develop in this flow. Yes the radar looks poor at present. Wait until 6/7pm.
  10. Kasim Awan
    Snow will accumulate better with these light flurries. Some observations would be helpful.
  11. Kasim Awan
    @TSNWK Convection looks good until 1/2am. There are indications 5cm has fallen in parts of Kent. My 15cm shout is still possible.
  12. Kasim Awan
    The streamer going into North Kent will develop and push West next few hours.
  13. Kasim Awan
    Edenbridge about to see 4/5mm of precipitation.
  14. Kasim Awan
    Haven't we all.
  15. Kasim Awan
    Will need to await arrival before confirming this.
  16. Kasim Awan
    These runs look bldy awesome for snow.
  17. Kasim Awan
    Looking at the cosmo model the current streamer will be replaced by a stronger one further West in a few hours.
  18. Kasim Awan
    In any heavier showers temperatures will hit 0c fairly quickly.
  19. Kasim Awan
    Definitely more than flurries tomorrow. Difficult to forecast streamer intensity however mid morning there is potential for a narrow but potent streamer into west Kent. Similar in the evening. 2-7cm possible fairly widely if it develops well with marginality an issue at times within 10 miles of coast
  20. Kasim Awan
    Getting there now the cold to our NE is definitely the bigger driver, Azores systems are just working to delay the cold so my posts are regarding details.
  21. Kasim Awan
    But makes the cold slow to advect South.
  22. Kasim Awan
    I was referring to the higher pressure over Iberia. Makes for a less amplified pattern.
  23. Kasim Awan
    GFS for me looks less amplified this run, we shall see.
  24. Kasim Awan
    Yes but also a concern as it sides with yesterday's ecm 12z.
  25. Kasim Awan
    Yesterday's Icon 12z vs today's 00z. Shift North definitely.
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