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Winter 2020/21 chat, ramps, moans and banter
Flake news replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Let them have their slush and eat it! -
Winter 2020/21 chat, ramps, moans and banter
Flake news replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
More slushy battleground events. Yippee. -
Winter 2020/21 chat, ramps, moans and banter
Flake news replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
...by which time towns near sea level need increasingly special synoptics for lingering snow, and most people are just ready for spring. -
Winter 2020/21 chat, ramps, moans and banter
Flake news replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I don't know why it's called 'northern blocking' if the 'block' is every bit as mobile as the lows around it. A true block shouldn't rapidly retrogress or decline, which seems to happen every time these days. -
Winter 2020/21 chat, ramps, moans and banter
Flake news replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Yeah 'frustrating' is the right word. We have long sequences of Atlantic-dominated winters then when one that isn't Atlantic-dominated finally comes along we still somehow fail to get sustained/genuine Arctic air. Nobody would claim it's been a mild winter, it's just that there's this nagging sense that we were just a few small adjustments away from it being a genuinely great one. Anyway, at least this way the country has avoided unwanted disruption. -
Winter 2020/21 chat, ramps, moans and banter
Flake news replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
There are some signs a benign dry high will build to the east from 2nd week Feb all the way to spring. We'll then just be left with the traditional "statistically we get more snow at Easter than Xmas" and "some of our best snowfalls can be in late march" posts to close out the 20-21 season. -
Winter 2020/21 chat, ramps, moans and banter
Flake news replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I can remember walking in shorts and tee-shirt through woodland that was completely leafless and without the sound of wildlife, and the sun never above the tree tops. It was a strange experience. -
They sometimes seem to be related to a prior tropospheric pattern that is already interesting in its own right, in that sense they appear to me to be detrimental and unwanted. In El NIno winters they're probably more welcome, helping bring an end to an active Atlantic. (Anyway, in the proud tradition of the internet, that's my loudly shouted opinion on a subject that I know nothing about.)
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Stratosphere and Polar Vortex Watch 2020
Flake news replied to SqueakheartLW's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
It bewilders me the effort some people put into twitter posts, these days i struggle to complete a senten- 1,801 replies
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Winter 2020/21 chat, ramps, moans and banter
Flake news replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
If it splashes muck up your trousers and soaks your socks and shoes, is it still officially snow? If it is then it's been my snowiest winter for best part of a decade... but it's not the kind of snow that I'm personally here for. -
Winter 2020/21 chat, ramps, moans and banter
Flake news replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
There are some vague similarities with 2013-2014, when the snow was up to the tops of the ski lifts. that year also had amplified patterns where all the amplification was in the wrong places. -
Winter 2020/21 chat, ramps, moans and banter
Flake news replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
For all the hype of SSWs and northern blocking, this week's rain could end up being the only significant weather event of the winter. -
Winter 2020/21 chat, ramps, moans and banter
Flake news replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Even in far northern England the snow has been the treacherous wet stuff pretty much everywhere below moorland level. Freeze-thaw-freeze-thaw, honestly you're not missing much. -
Winter 2020/21 chat, ramps, moans and banter
Flake news replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
No doubt there will be lots of overly-confident hindsight explanations along the lines of "well actually the MJO was unhelpful" (or heaven forbid, "widespread cold was always unlikely with that OPI".) At the end of the day there's an interplay of a bewildering number of factors that are reinforcing or negating each other in complex ways that non-numerical techniques (and sometimes even numerical techniques) will never be able to resolve. -
Winter 2020/21 chat, ramps, moans and banter
Flake news replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
And cherry picking is something you would never do. -
Winter 2020/21 chat, ramps, moans and banter
Flake news replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
It's amusing that we apparently need SSWs to get 'snow at higher levels in the north' now. I'm pretty sure that used to be what was known as standard winter weather. -
Winter 2020/21 chat, ramps, moans and banter
Flake news replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
It doesn't contradict what the publicly available stuff is showing IMO... repeated attacks from the south-west that may or not manage to push north. -
Winter 2020/21 chat, ramps, moans and banter
Flake news replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
A time of food shortages and concomitant political upheaval. -
Model output discussion - cold spell approaching?
Flake news replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It's an understandable fatalism borne of many past experiences. -
Winter 2020/21 chat, ramps, moans and banter
Flake news replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I remember the nice easterlies in the 80s, then the near-end of Scottish skiing in the 90s. The cold spells 2009/2010 really caught me off guard, had waited so long for proper winters that I'd stopped paying attention to winter weather forecasts by that point. The last 11 years have been OK for extreme weather voyeurism. -
Winter 2020/21 chat, ramps, moans and banter
Flake news replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
A strange winter, it's somehow conspiring to be genuinely wintry... and yet also completely forgettable. And it looks like the SSW won't benefit much else than the usual ' high ground in t' north' either. A bit of a damp squib. -
Winter 2020/21 chat, ramps, moans and banter
Flake news replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
The decade long infatuation with SSWs has passed its sell-by date for me... time to redress the balance and remind ourselves that other features deserve proper attention too. As for February: I just feel that when the Atlantic wakes up it's gonna be explosive, wellies and sandbags at the ready. -
Winter 2020/21 chat, ramps, moans and banter
Flake news replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
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Winter 2020/21 chat, ramps, moans and banter
Flake news replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I won't be getting excited by outlooks suggesting 'northern blocking' from now on, that's for sure. The notion that the Atlantic is to blame for our poor winters is clearly a massive oversimplification.