Danns
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The upgrade from the Euro4 is very welcome, seemed really strange when watching some of the precipitation models blasting quite intensive streamers/bands into the coast for them to just disappear and make no progress inland. They’re bound to be surprises during this spell and I would imagine upgrades. Can’t wait!!!
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Got to agree with the second part about getting nervous/downgrade. Looking in the mod thread many charts posted start on Sunday evening, which is frustrating because it totally discounts Saturday night I feel lots of IMBY posting can create a sense of peril especially for me who is relative newbie. The positive thing about Saturdays snow chances is it’s been brought forward, this time yesterday looked like starting 11pm now much earlier at 6pm which can only be a good signal. Another positive IMO is that the light snow symbols being shown on various apps is more of a way of saying “it’s going to snow but we’re not sure how much”. My tip is to stick in the Yorkshire thread if you want the low down on our weather and listen to people who are more knowledgeable and honest about weather prospects which are mostly always backed up with either science or vast amounts of experience. Sure helps me so thank you guys!!
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If the intense stuff stays around for anywhere between 30 minutes to an hour, we have got to be looking at another 2cms maybe more in sweet spots. That’s what will do the damage. Seem loads of people presumably set off early to work, in what I would call questionable means of transport. Might get stung by that decision. The 4x4 will help me out this morning.
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Agreed, I know the pattern is complex but numerous times this winter, there temperature forecasts have been 3 or 4 degrees out. Not so bad in the summer, but in the winter it’s the difference between dangerously icy roads and patchy frost. I suppose they can only serve up what data their given and they may be right, but if your forecasting 2m temps wrong in situations were “marginal” is the word, people could find themselves in a position that they not fully prepared for.