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Chasbrown
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Posts posted by Chasbrown
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3 minutes ago, Tim Bland said:
Boxing Day snow for some …
Damn, got tickets for Kempton Park!
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17 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:
@carinthianmay do
He definitely will know although I believe he is Austria-based.
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3 minutes ago, LRD said:
They never favoured cold. They said (and are still saying) there's a chance but wet weather will probably win out. They have not actually forecast cold. just talking about probabilities. Even in January they say it's only a low likelihood... at this point in time anyway
The fact that North America is unusually mild I take as a positive for us. I normally look at Marquette in upper Michigan, they are forecast +9c this week where normally they would be sub zero. My train of thought is that the cold must go somewhere so why not us?
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5 minutes ago, johncam said:
Aye they do , but if you remember last third of Dec was going to be cold then New year , now mid January
Got to be right sooner or later then! But joking aside things feel different this time.
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4 minutes ago, LRD said:
No idea. But it's a model. By the respected ECM. And this is the MOD thread so thought I'd mention it
Met Office mention mid January cold too so I'm all ears!
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28 minutes ago, Jacob said:
Doesn’t look like the south would get anything except cold rain
Get the cold in first!!
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29 minutes ago, swfc said:
HIi ,where exactly tia
Daily Express??!
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20 minutes ago, Kasim Awan said:
I think just frustraition at the current pattern, after a promising start.
Cheer up! Dennis will be here shortly telling us it's cold in Norway.
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1 minute ago, Wold Topper said:
What has LL dress sense got to do with it
Next time she's on have a look. Winds me up no end. But not as bad as the one on itv about 20 years ago on new years eve who was wearing a ball gown!
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2 minutes ago, BartyHater said:
Dunno if it’s OK to have a general moan in here (I’m sure someone will say if it isn’t) and as newbie I apologise in advance if this has cropped up before, but something is seriously grinding my gears…
TV weather presenters clearly no longer have set criteria with which to describe temperatures, so tonight for instance the local weather guy on BBC Spotlight described overnight lows of 5-8c as ‘cold’. 5-8c isn’t even cold as a daily max in Dec, in fact it’s close to the climatological average.
Bad as this was, sadly I’ve heard far worse. One morning a few weeks ago Isobel Lang said ‘ it really is bitterly cold out there this morning, with temps close to freezing in some places’.
I could go on and on….I won’t, as I’m sure others must have noticed some of the ludicrous language often used to describe absolutely bog standard temperatures.
To be fair I’m sure I allow it to wind me up far to much for my own good/sanity, but rather than screaming at the telly or worse still launching something at the screen, I thought I’d get it off my chest and lower my BP a bit in here.
Agree completely. I find that most of the BBC presenters are annoying in one form or another. Currently my worst 2 are Darren Bett, mild lover and Louise Lear who I believe gets dressed in the dark!
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11 hours ago, Paul said:
Just issued - written by @Nick F
Long Range Weather Forecast - Winter 2023/2024 | Netweather.tv
WWW.NETWEATHER.TV
Long range weather forecast for the UK - Winter 2023/2024. Will it be a cold winter?You could have just said generally changeable with snow possible on Northern hills!
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50 minutes ago, James1979 said:
Days of cold and gloom, 0c all day yesterday followed by cold rain, not even a flake can be produced. Same hype as last 20 years in the model thread, Thursday snow turns to Friday, turns to Saturday, blah, blah. Reality is 9 times out of 10, dry, cold, grey borefest with a wet fart of a breakdown (imby). Utter dog dirt. Used to be enjoyable variety of weather in this country but now its no storms in summer, no snow in winter, no wind storms, etc.
Can't stand the cold these days (used to love it when younger) anyway but if it has to be endured, at least give us some snow. Bring on the mild!
Oh and just 10 quid a day gas to get through this epic cold spell. Zzzz.
I understand your feelings and frustrations completely and you're not the only person feeling disappointed I imagine. The weather will do what it will and nothing we can do will change it. Looking at the model thread is enjoyable but time consuming, it seems late nights everyone is happy but depressed 6 hours later. Maybe do what I intend to do and give the model thread a swerve for a week or so?
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19 minutes ago, BalderstoneNick said:
Hi Dennis, can you explain to me what we are looking at there?
I think he means it's good for Norway.
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18 minutes ago, Metwatch said:
Parts of the north and north west could really get a dumping by next Weds - Thurs, follwing today's event in parts of the Lake District.
Waiting for some snow tonight down here, fingers crossed! I'll be in the Midlands thread mostly tonight if anyone from there is in here, join that one!
Being realistic this is going completely against the forecast from Met Office/ BBC.
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13 minutes ago, Dennis said:
good evening
after 12th new chanches seems growing....the model is maybe unknown (CMA) but ive seen this kind of pattern into other weathermodels too a few days ago
MJO 7/8/1 december /Jan24
Dennis, apologies but I'm confused again. I am aware that Norway is cold and snowy. Do you have a message for the UK or are you rubbing our noses in it?!
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16 minutes ago, Blessed Weather said:
ICON 12z very interesting. Big low unable to make progress against an emerging Scandi High:
What about the low following it?
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1 hour ago, Dennis said:
hi all on the1st dec23
very good signs on winter days ahead, around midmonth starting
Dennis, are you referring to good for Norway or the UK?
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1 minute ago, MATTWOLVES 3 said:
STOP LOOK LISTEN!
Investigate the ecm ens and tell yourself this..
Is this a normal looking NH profile for this time of the year?
Look how many ens have TPV away from Canada and Greenland!
Look how many are still keen to build heights towards the N/NW
And finally I do not think this as been a normal year,and I feel that next year will again be getting us scratch our heads.
This cold snap could have legs...there is not unanimous agreement between all the data to suggest we will be going mild and staying that way!
The plot thickens good folks.
All part of the fun that makes model watching so fascinating. But you're right, something feels different this time.
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4 minutes ago, Ali1977 said:
That about as wintery as it gets late this week on the ECM, very disappointing!!
Snow showers gathering in the North sea
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13 minutes ago, Ali1977 said:
Now it looks like we could get no snow event thurs or Friday and a short cold snap - lose lose
. Let’s see what the 12zs do!
Complicated set up though, hard to see where it’ll go next
Is this the chart for Sunday? If so we would already have had the Thursday/Friday snow event.
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19 minutes ago, Battleground Snow said:
That chart is a dream for the south east,
A huge amount of precipitation, unfortunately jma doesn't have a precipitation type menu.
Looks like a lot for everywhere
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Just now, Mcconnor8 said:
Colder uppers over the UK ahead of it, should be a snow maker for many.
How cold is it likely to be? Forecast at lunchtime showed temperatures of 5 or 6 degrees during daytime. They didn't mention night temperatures.
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I wish the BBC would drop Meteogroup and go back to the Met Office. The forecast seemed much more detailed in those days.
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4 minutes ago, blizzard81 said:
Without a doubt
It certainly feels very different this year. Looking forward to the BBC forecast at lunchtime. It will be a real headache for them I think.
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
32nd and 33rd