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Chiltern_Blizzard

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Everything posted by Chiltern_Blizzard

  1. Chiltern_Blizzard
    Interesting ICON much further SW for sunday. Intrigued from an IMBY who will out
  2. Chiltern_Blizzard
    What is best model for dew points? Slight concerned im at 90 asl (on downslope of chilterns). And this is current DP for 48hrs when peak snowfall expected (GFS)
  3. Chiltern_Blizzard
    Harmonie at 48 hrs.
  4. Chiltern_Blizzard
    Looking good. Waiting till tomorrow's runs before getting excited
  5. Chiltern_Blizzard
    agree. Still 2 days out.
  6. Chiltern_Blizzard
    Interesting and definitely would take this. We have had nothing this way (chilterns , Bucks). We usually do fairly well. AROME AND APERGE don't seem to give as much as this. As always still a few days out
  7. Chiltern_Blizzard
    Only 3?
  8. Chiltern_Blizzard
    Praying!
  9. Chiltern_Blizzard
    Very frustrating. I'm too far west for this event and I was too far east for the previous minor event. I swear we are always just too far out each time. I expect to see some sleet but again too marginal and i really hate snow to rain events.
  10. Chiltern_Blizzard
    Here we go again
  11. Chiltern_Blizzard
    Agreed. Lots of hype and very little delivered yet. Still time for the Thames to freeze over
  12. Chiltern_Blizzard
    Agreed. There were a few that did point this out. It got lost and shut down quite quickly. I do appreciate the model thread is for looking precisely at that...model runs.....
  13. Chiltern_Blizzard
    Ah damn! just sold them and picked up some budgie smugglers for the spring!
  14. Chiltern_Blizzard
    Forgot about that one. Incredible.
  15. Chiltern_Blizzard
    Ha! I know. 2 frosts and a cold day today....apparently thats the cold spell
  16. Chiltern_Blizzard
    Ha! Yeah I know. Just been our luck this winter so far. Been on cusp of a few things. But not one flake. My fault for getting caught up in it. I knew when the models started the "something big at 10days malarkay" that it wouldn't materialise. Was waiting for the ECM/MO change. Its only weather
  17. Chiltern_Blizzard
    Still waiting for this top 10 winter that so many predicted! Thats the issue with chasing 10+day FI outputs. Still holding out hope for late Jan
  18. Chiltern_Blizzard
    thoughts on tonight's precip slipping further south and east? Im right on the margin (Chilterns)- GFS seems to sho it covering me - but the Icon, Arome, Arpege are less confident?
  19. Chiltern_Blizzard
    Cheers. Yes, but nothing compared to some winters. We have had about 3 frosts here do far. Considerable talk about top 2 or 3 for some time. I was always worried. Interesting to see how the SSW plays out. I'm not suprised at all that the GFS has backtracked. It seems to happen year after year. Fingers crossed for upgrades.
  20. Chiltern_Blizzard
    What are chances of seeing something memorable like you mentioned a few weeks back? Are we looking to back of Jan now? Have the effects of the SSW been factored in yet?
  21. Chiltern_Blizzard
    either bands likely to meet? I'm slap bang in the middle as always!
  22. Chiltern_Blizzard
    Potential for some flurries I think along chilterns and Northern home counties as current shows slip south. Not expecting much
  23. Chiltern_Blizzard
    Cheers. This is what I thought. I presume just lots of members right on the south coast.
  24. Chiltern_Blizzard
    Anyone help me on this? So i know when to look and post?
  25. Chiltern_Blizzard
    Cheers for the reply Scott. Our area (North bucks) has had snow on a number of the models at 10 days but these have never come to fruition...so I'm curious as to if the ones at 10 days now will ever come to reality. Feels like chasing an impossible dream always out of touch until it disappears totally. Perhaps I'm too pessimistic
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