Phil Blake
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Everything posted by Phil Blake
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I'm not expecting too much here tbh. If the low comes in from the Atlantic bringing in easterly winds as it pulls away then we would have to wait for any cloud associated with the system to clear away before any convection can get going. Ideally we'd want any lows to disrupt and head se into Europe without affecting the UK too much
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Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
Phil Blake replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It wasn't that long ago we had sleet from -8 uppers from an easterly in the north east. I believe the air was originally sourced from the eastern med on that occasion and dew points were just slightly too warm. Air sourced from the north east should fair a bit better. -
Model Output Discussion - Autumn arrives
Phil Blake replied to Cheshire Freeze's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes looks quite dryish east of the Pennines -
Model Output Discussion - Autumn arrives
Phil Blake replied to Cheshire Freeze's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Some stations only report once or twice a week so could still potentially change I suppose. -
Model Output Discussion - Autumn arrives
Phil Blake replied to Cheshire Freeze's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
That still looks drier than average down the east too aswell as the s/e. We only had 60% of our Rain in June on the back if a drier than average spring and so far only 1 day of rain in July. This is not normal weather up here. With a mean westerly flow as per the charts mushy posts I can see the abnormal east/west split continuing