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Frosty the Snowman

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Posts posted by Frosty the Snowman

    North West Regional Discussion Feb 2021 onwards

    in Northwest Weather Discussion

    Posted

    14 minutes ago, iand61 said:

    Yeah while we are deciding which side of the street can have the showers, on the other side of the Atlantic, a storm dropped upwards of two feet of snow over a thousand miles of the eastern US.

    this country really is the pits when it comes to extreme weather.

     

    This could be varying out of model discussion, but has the UK ever had an event where one of those lows has both kept it's intensity and made it all the way to our shores with cold enough air , would be some snow depths from that set up. 

    • Like 1

    North West Regional Discussion Feb 2021 onwards

    in Northwest Weather Discussion

    Posted

    3 minutes ago, Jontiman said:

    Being based in West Cumbria once again I look in envy at forecasts of heavy snow in the East, especially as I remember epic winters from my childhood in Gateshead.  However many in West Cumbria will remember exactly 25 years ago on 5th/6th February 1996, for what has become known locally as The Big Snow, when about 20 hours of constant heavy fall resulted in over a foot of laying snow (even down to the edge of the lapping waves on Seascale beach) and drifts of 3 and 4 feet burying hundreds of abandoned cars across the space of a few miles.  The photo shows a point in Whitehaven less than 10m elevation and less than 500m from the Irish Sea.  Haven't seen anything near the likes of it since.  I do wonder whether the forthcoming cold from the East and possible blocking of incoming fronts from the West may give us a re-run?  Are there models archived from back then that show the setup and any similarities with the current situation? 

    The Big Snow.jpg

    Looking at this thread it appears to have been a westerly front meeting with an existing Easterly and providing breakdown snow.

     

    Although I am sure the many on here old enough to remember it will be able to clear things up. I've heard this referred to many times as one of the holy grails for snow lovers on the West Coast, and there's a remote possibility of a rerun in the next few weeks depending on the track of the current Atlantic Low. 

    • Like 1

    North West Regional Discussion Feb 2021 onwards

    in Northwest Weather Discussion

    Posted · Edited by Frosty the Snowman

    22 minutes ago, Frosty the Snowman said:

    Just For Fun as I've too much time on my hands

     

    The met office have the showers tomorrow night dying somewhere around Burnely turning to sleet in Padiham and then nothingness in Blackburn. 

     

    That's an incredibly westward starting point for an E'LY, which suggest to me they reckon this could deliver quite widely, will keep an update over tonight and tomorrow. 

     

    Love within 20 minutes of posting this has been updated to snow in Blackburn. With the line moved westwards to somewhere between Preston and Blackburn.

     

    Imagine the closer we get to this the more confidence will increase and the further west this'll get/ 

    North West Regional Discussion Feb 2021 onwards

    in Northwest Weather Discussion

    Posted

    11 minutes ago, alr1970 said:

    OMG, locations are back on message headers on mobile. That will make tracking snow reports much easier.

     

    A good segway on to this - I know most people already do but can you please check you have your height above sea level in your location - it helps distinguish how helpful a snow report is for other users in your vicinity (20m asl - complaining of no snow or low depths in the same shower that gives 2-3cm a few miles down the road, whilst someone at 600m saying their buried and the rest of us wondering what the fuss about is all too common) 

    • Like 2

    Far north and northeast of England weather discussion

    in Far Nth and NE of England Weather Discussion

    Posted

    8 minutes ago, seabreeze86 said:

    That’s daily if I’ve read it right 2-5 Cm daily or 10-15 daily 

    I honestly think this easterly is being underplayed think there will be some big totals 

    That's the insane optimist/high ground forecast. 

     

    45cm by Monday night would be some event. the more likely scenario would be 2-5cm one day and then 7/8 another - which would still give you 15cm - nothing to be sniffed at. 

    • Like 1

    Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    7 minutes ago, 38.7°C said:

    Can someone explain what are "streamers" and "sliders"? As i see them mentioned a lot in here. Thankyou. 
    I'm more of a summer person than a winter person so i don't know these words when following winter charts. 

    A streamer is a replenishing line of showers coming from the same initial disturbance out at sea (the North Sea in this case) often creating near constant barrages of precipitation for areas in their line of sight (in this case an East to West line across the country). They can be extremely localised though compared to a low pressure system which generally has a wider area. 

    • Like 6

    Winter 2020/21 chat, ramps, moans and banter

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    Snow prediction time..... 

     

    Up to Friday 12th February at sea level near the coast for the respective region 

     

    Highlands - 100-120cm

    Eastern Scotland - 70-90cm

    North East - 60-70cm

    Cumbria - 30-40cm

    Yorkshire - 60-70cm

    North West - 30-40cm

    East Midlands - 60-70cm

    West Midlands - 40-50cm

    Wales - 40-50cm

    East Anglia - 80-90cm

    South East 80-90cm

    South West 30-40cm

    Northern Ireland - 25-35cm

    • Like 1
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