AltonMatthew
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
AltonMatthew replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I don't share the enthusiasm for the short term. Talks of snow dumps are over exaggerated as the model runs show a snow to rain event which is actually likely to be just a rain event. After this week... fluidity remains. -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
AltonMatthew replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The chase is on at only 7 days away. Could this be the moment or will it be a complete draw back closer too. Time will tell. Models certsinly drumming up the excitement today -
Same here in the North Midlands. Best to be thankful as winds can be damaging. But nothing more than a gusty eve. Over damatised as per.
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Alton Staffordshire Moorlands - typical gusty weather here as of yet ao nothing too out of ordinary. However if this storms winds are going to peak over the storms weve had in thenlast 5 years, in our remote spot with overhead power cables weve never not had a power outage. When are the peak winds forecast for my patch?
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Gusty here but agreed nothing too putnof the ordinary for our position atip of the Churnet Valley and edge of the peaks. I dont hope for the worst of it of course as the previous storms have left us without power and have been relatively mild. What time in north mids/staffordshire moorlands are we expecting the worse?
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Yes same for us here in Alton - we are in quite a good location really for snow as we are very rural being on the edge of the peak district and in the churnet valley too! My sister lives in Meir Heath and the elevation always favours their house in marginal situations. One thing I find is the difference in the snow row based on the varying elevations of the area is quite interesting.
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Well I was cynical and wasnt holding out hope but it certainly shows surprises do happen. 1.5cm of snow on the ground and still snowing here in the Staffs Moors. If the precip band moves any further south we could be looking at a fun day with the ammount coming in off the Irish Sea. The fronts are weakening as they get further inland however. But I am happy this morning!
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Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion
AltonMatthew replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Yep! Park sits behind my house. -
Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion
AltonMatthew replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Nope Alton Staffordshire. -
Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion
AltonMatthew replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Cant see justification in the models for the 3 day warning event they have put out? Especially for my patch. Are they perhaps seeing an increased risk of showery activity? -
So parts of the North Midlands including my patch are now in a 3 day weather warning for Snow. Looking at the precip charts amongst others I cant see the justification for the warnings matching the actual forecast. I am hoping this signals they may be seeing some up to date shower activity popping up which was always the hope and how some of our best snow events have happened in the past. Keeping every thing crossed we get some good snowfall this week with the cold being in place. Feeling this could be a radar and lampost watching period!
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Ill take the cheshire gap effect. These showers often give us at least a covering of snow in our neck of the woods, Stoke and Staff Moorlands. I always approached this as a cold dry period. There is just such a dry feel to the air, after all the recent rainfall it is of course a good thing in real terms for farming and the locals who have suffered some flooding already this year. I would however love an old fashioned good covering of snow that leaves us in Alton cut off! We were very lucky in December to have had a very good snowfall.